Oregon hosts East Washington on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Oregon the clear favourite, rating them 84% to win largely because of their 1-0 record, 87.0 points per game and 69.0 allowed per game, placing them 129th in the league, while East Washington sits 280th with 0-1, 65.0 points per game and 74.0 allowed per game; Oregon's single home game shows a 1-0 record and the same points figures, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 87-69 victory over Montana at home, a 60-70 loss to Maryland and a 85-79 win over Washington; East Washington's last five also record two wins and three losses, with a recent 65-74 loss to Stanford away, a 68-81 loss to Idaho at home and a 84-79 win over Weber State at home; the only head-to-head meeting was Oregon's 69-52 win in December 2020; Pythia projects an 82-70 score, 151.9 total points, an 84% home win probability, a 16% away win probability, a -16.0 home line with a 33% chance of covering, a 150.0 total line with a 54% over probability and a 3% overtime chance, ending with the concrete fact that Oregon's 82-point projection reflects their dominant 87.0 average scoring.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oregon winWon
83.9%fair 1.19
Best odds1.05
Implied91.5%
Edge-7.6pp
East. Washington winLost
16.1%fair 6.21
Best odds14.00
Implied8.5%
Edge+7.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145Actual: Over 145
Over 145
66.4%
@ 1.50+3.9pp
Under 145
33.6%
@ 2.50-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 150 · main lineActual: Over 150
Over 150
54.3%
@ 1.95+3.8pp
Under 150
45.7%
@ 1.93-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155
Over 155
41.8%
@ 2.65+6.8pp
Under 155
58.2%
@ 1.43-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.43
📊 3. Team Totals
Oregon total 80Actual: Oregon over 80
Over 80
56.7%
Under 80
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon total 84 · main lineActual: Oregon over 84
Over 84
40.1%
@ 1.86-9.7pp
Under 84
59.9%
@ 1.84+9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
Oregon total 88Actual: Oregon over 88
Over 88
25.2%
Under 88
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East. Washington total 63Actual: East. Washington over 63
Over 63
77.0%
Under 63
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East. Washington total 67 · main lineActual: East. Washington over 67
Over 67
62.8%
@ 1.88+13.2pp
Under 67
37.2%
@ 1.85-13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
East. Washington total 71Push
Over 71
46.6%
Under 71
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Oregon -19Actual: Oregon -19
OREG -19
23.8%
@ 2.22-17.8pp
EAST +19
76.2%
@ 1.58+17.8pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Bet365
2.22
EAST
Bet365
1.58
Spread Oregon -16 · main lineActual: Oregon -16
OREG -16
32.9%
@ 1.88-18.1pp
EAST +16
67.1%
@ 1.96+18.1pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
EAST
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
Spread Oregon -13Actual: Oregon -13
OREG -13
43.5%
@ 1.50-19.0pp
EAST +13
56.5%
@ 2.50+19.0pp
Best 5 market prices
OREG
Bet365
1.50
EAST
Bet365
2.50
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
OregonEast. Washington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
East. Washington +19
76.2%
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
-
+17.8pp
Lost
East. Washington +19.5
76.8%
1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Lost
East. Washington +20.5
79.4%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Lost
East. Washington +17
70.3%
1.79
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
-
-
+16.4pp
Lost
East. Washington +20
78.8%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Lost
East. Washington +21.5
81.7%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Lost
East. Washington +21
81.3%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Lost
East. Washington +22.5
83.9%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Lost
East. Washington +18
73.3%
1.67
Bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
1.65
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
East. Washington +17.5
71.2%
1.75
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
+14.9pp
Lost
East. Washington +22
83.5%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Lost
East. Washington +23.5
85.8%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Lost
East. Washington +18.5
74.1%
1.64
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
-
-
+14.2pp
Lost
East. Washington +23
85.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Lost
East. Washington over 63.5
74.6%
1.48
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
East. Washington +24
87.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Lost
East. Washington +24.5
87.6%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Lost
East. Washington over 64.5
71.3%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
East. Washington over 62.5
77.7%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
East. Washington over 60.5
83.2%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Oregon under 87.5
72.4%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Lost
Oregon under 88.5
75.7%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Lost
East. Washington over 59.5
85.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Oregon under 93.5
88.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Lost
East. Washington over 57.5
89.6%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
East. Washington over 61.5
80.5%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Oregon under 90.5
81.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Lost
East. Washington over 58.5
87.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Oregon under 100.5
97.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Oregon under 92.5
86.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
Oregon under 94.5
90.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
Oregon under 98.5
95.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
East. Washington over 53.5
95.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Oregon under 102.5
98.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Oregon under 96.5
93.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Lost
East. Washington over 51.5
96.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
East. Washington over 55.5
92.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
East. Washington over 56.5
91.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Oregon under 89.5
78.7%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Lost
East. Washington over 54.5
94.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
East. Washington over 52.5
96.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Oregon under 103.5
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
East. Washington over 50.5
97.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Over 143
70.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Over 142
73.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Over 125.5
94.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Over 141.5
73.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Over 142.5
71.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Over 126.5
94.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Over 130.5
90.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Under 176.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Over 140.5
75.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Under 175.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Over 131.5
89.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Over 135.5
84.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Under 171.5
88.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Over 136.5
82.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Under 170.5
87.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Under 161.5
72.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Lost
Under 166.5
81.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Lost
Oregon +3.5
89.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Oregon (regulation)
82.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.04
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
East. Washington under 80.5
84.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Under 165.5
79.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Lost
Under 160.5
70.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Lost
Oregon over 75.5
73.0%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Oregon -1.5
82.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Oregon win
83.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Pinnacle
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
WilliamHill
1.03
-7.6pp
Won
East. Washington under 78.5
79.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
East. Washington under 77.5
76.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Won
East. Washington under 76.5
73.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-10.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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