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Oregon W vs Hawaii W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Projected 72-62
Projected total 133.6
Final 87-54
28-10 19-23 24-10 16-11
Position#154
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Oregon W 🏆
USA
Vs
81%
19%
■ OREG 81%■ HAWA 19%
Pythia win probability
Hawaii W
USA
Position#362
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Oregon W will host Hawaii W in the NCAA Women's competition on 2 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Oregon W the clear favourite, assigning it an 81% chance of winning largely because of its dominant season record and high points per game, while Hawaii W carries only a 19% probability of victory. Oregon W's last five outings include a 3-2 record, with a recent loss to Texas Longhorns W 58-100 away on 22 March 2026 and a win over Virginia Tech W 70-60 at home on 20 March 2026, and a defeat by Michigan Wolverines W 58-80 away on 6 March 2026. Hawaii W finished its most recent five games 4-1, with a loss to UC San Diego Tritons W 48-60 away on 14 March 2026, a win over UC Irvine Anteaters W 67-63 away on 13 March 2026, and a victory against CS Fullerton W 72-61 at home on 12 March 2026. The model projects a 72-62 score for Oregon W, a total of 133.6 points, and an overtime probability of 4%. The final game will see Oregon W attempt to extend its winning streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon W winWon
81.3%fair 1.23
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hawaii W winLost
18.7%fair 5.35
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oregon WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington W
#96
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A16/02
NCAA Women
Nebraska Cornhuskers W
#143
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H20/02
NCAA Women
Indiana W
#171
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A22/02
NCAA Women
Purdue W
#247
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A26/02
NCAA Women
Washington W
#96
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H01/03
NCAA Women
Purdue W
#247
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H05/03
NCAA Women
Maryland W
#63
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A06/03
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A07/03
NCAA Women
Virginia Tech W
#75
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H20/03
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#12
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A22/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
19-5
6-10
9-14
20-20
13-17
19-24
28-15
10-17
18-20
15-7
22-28
17-17
22-11
12-13
20-24
9-15
18-21
20-17
22-17
21-12
26-12
17-25
18-15
15-21
16-11
21-25
21-11
13-18
11-15
19-23
15-24
22-11
13-18
20-11
15-20
21-28
13-17
8-28
16-27
137.5Avg total
66.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.970.6137.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)68.274.4142.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.175.0143.1-6.933%
vs Similar (11)70.367.8138.1+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.361.3138.6+16.080%
This opponent (Hawaii W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hawaii WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge W
#289
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H15/02
NCAA Women
Cal Poly W
#364
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A20/02
NCAA Women
UC Santa Barbara W
#97
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A21/02
NCAA Women
UC Davis W
#95
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H27/02
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H01/03
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A06/03
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
W
74-39
74
39
+35
A07/03
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
72-61 OT
72
61
+11
H12/03
NCAA Women
UC Irvine Anteaters W
#37
W
67-63 OT
67
63
+4
A13/03
NCAA Women
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A14/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
15-18
15-5
18-12
19-14
14-10
21-15
17-15
13-12
14-13
9-10
22-17
11-9
19-11
12-13
25-13
10-8
23-14
20-11
14-16
15-12
29-18
21-12
24-14
22-5
13-8
20-17
19-9
20-17
16-14
16-16
9-14
20-16
19-14
13-12
8-18
13-9
15-11
9-20
11-20
121.0Avg total
67.6Scored
53.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.653.4121.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)70.055.8125.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)58.364.6122.9-6.329%
vs Similar (12)62.260.0122.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (10)69.751.9121.6+17.890%
This opponent (Oregon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 126Actual: Over 126
Over 126
68.1%
Under 126
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Over 131
Over 131
56.2%
Under 131
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Over 136
Over 136
43.7%
Under 136
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Oregon W total 66.5Actual: Oregon W over 66.5
Over 66.5
70.6%
Under 66.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon W total 70.5Actual: Oregon W over 70.5
Over 70.5
55.6%
Under 70.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oregon W total 74.5Actual: Oregon W over 74.5
Over 74.5
39.6%
Under 74.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hawaii W total 56.5Actual: Hawaii W under 56.5
Over 56.5
69.5%
Under 56.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hawaii W total 60.5Actual: Hawaii W under 60.5
Over 60.5
54.5%
Under 60.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hawaii W total 64.5Actual: Hawaii W under 64.5
Over 64.5
39.0%
Under 64.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Oregon W -3Actual: Oregon W -3
OREG -3
75.3%
HAWA +3
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
OREG
No market prices yet.
HAWA
No market prices yet.
Spread Oregon W 0Actual: Oregon W 0
OREG 0
81.3%
HAWA 0
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
OREG
No market prices yet.
HAWA
No market prices yet.
Spread Oregon W +3Actual: Oregon W +3
OREG +3
86.9%
HAWA -3
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
OREG
No market prices yet.
HAWA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
Oregon WHawaii W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oregon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington W
#96
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A16/02
NCAA Women
Nebraska Cornhuskers W
#143
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/02
NCAA Women
Indiana W
#171
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A22/02
NCAA Women
Purdue W
#247
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A26/02
NCAA Women
Washington W
#96
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H01/03
NCAA Women
Purdue W
#247
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H05/03
NCAA Women
Maryland W
#63
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/03
NCAA Women
Michigan Wolverines W
#29
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A07/03
NCAA Women
Virginia Tech W
#75
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/03
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#12
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/03
NCAA Women
65.4Avg total
32.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.166.0+1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.129.967.9+8.260%-
Last 30 away (15)29.734.464.1-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.666.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.836.066.8-5.211%-
vs Similar (11)33.730.664.4+3.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.830.367.1+6.560%-
This opponent (Hawaii W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hawaii WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge W
#289
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H15/02
NCAA Women
Cal Poly W
#364
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A20/02
NCAA Women
UC Santa Barbara W
#97
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A21/02
NCAA Women
UC Davis W
#95
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H27/02
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H01/03
NCAA Women
UC Riverside W
#286
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A06/03
NCAA Women
Long Beach State W
#357
W
35-13
35
13
+22
A07/03
NCAA Women
CS Fullerton W
#163
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H12/03
NCAA Women
UC Irvine Anteaters W
#37
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A13/03
NCAA Women
UC San Diego Tritons W
#66
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A14/03
NCAA Women
58.7Avg total
33.5Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.227.757.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.629.058.6+0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)31.125.856.9+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)33.525.258.7+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)36.424.861.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)25.428.353.7-2.943%-
vs Similar (12)30.628.759.2+1.958%-
vs Weaker (10)32.626.358.9+6.360%-
This opponent (Oregon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon W wins
0
Hawaii W wins
No previous meetings.
Oregon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ATexas Longhorns W58-100
20/03/26HVirginia Tech W70-60
07/03/26AMichigan Wolverines W58-80
06/03/26AMaryland W73-68
05/03/26HPurdue W82-64
01/03/26HWashington W69-70
26/02/26APurdue W71-65
22/02/26AIndiana W65-72
20/02/26HNebraska Cornhuskers W80-76
16/02/26AWashington W43-51
Hawaii Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AUC San Diego Tritons W48-60
13/03/26AUC Irvine Anteaters W67-63 OT
12/03/26HCS Fullerton W72-61 OT
07/03/26ALong Beach State W74-39
06/03/26AUC Riverside W89-56
01/03/26HCS Fullerton W67-49
27/02/26HUC Davis W67-46
21/02/26AUC Santa Barbara W58-52
20/02/26ACal Poly W71-54
15/02/26HCS Northridge W63-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hawaii W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oregon W2819241687
Hawaii W1023101154
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