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Oviedo vs Alicante Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Projected 80-81
Projected total 161.3
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.2
Vs
49%
51%
■ OVIE 49%■ ALI 51%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game75.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oviedo v Alicante
22 Nov 2026
OVIE v ALI
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
OVIE76
ALI74
19 Oct 2024
OVIE78
ALI74
12 Mar 2024
OVIE89
ALI83
22 Dec 2022
OVIE68
ALI69
29 Jan 2022
OVIE54
ALI77
25 Apr 2021
OVIE63
ALI62
21 Mar 2020
OVIE v ALI
upcoming
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Oviedo host Alicante in the Primera FEB. Pythia makes Alicante the favourite at 51% and projects 80-81, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Oviedo are 4-4 this season (78.9 scored, 83.2 allowed a game), form WWLWL; Alicante are 8-0 this season (92.0 scored, 75.4 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo win
48.5%fair 2.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alicante win
51.5%fair 1.94
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 72
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 72
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
69-108
69
108
-39
53avg 72
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 72
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
88avg 72
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 72
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-18
19-12
15-25
23-18
16-28
18-20
14-13
27-23
16-32
16-30
10-23
10-17
29-19
12-22
16-19
19-21
28-17
21-28
31-20
25-19
24-27
23-25
16-17
19-15
24-23
20-17
18-22
18-25
17-16
23-20
21-19
12-13
21-14
19-15
18-21
18-16
13-18
19-20
15-21
160.4Avg total
78.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.983.2162.1-4.450%
Season at home (4)79.275.8155.0+3.575%
Season away (4)78.590.8169.2-12.225%
Last 10 (10)78.482.0160.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
vs Similar (13)77.975.8153.7+2.262%
vs Weaker (12)87.076.3163.3+10.792%
This opponent (Alicante) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlicante
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 71
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
72-113
72
113
-41
60avg 71
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
83avg 71
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
71avg 71
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 71
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 71
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-66
106
66
+40
98avg 71
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 71
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-21
17-18
16-17
27-33
20-30
13-25
12-25
22-26
21-23
25-15
28-18
24-16
14-16
22-11
21-21
20-20
21-21
20-13
23-20
16-16
16-22
24-22
27-19
29-26
32-18
23-5
22-17
23-22
21-23
19-25
26-9
12-23
20-14
20-18
32-29
22-18
34-12
24-13
20-23
166.5Avg total
87.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.075.4167.4+16.6100%
Season at home (5)96.676.2172.8+20.4100%
Season away (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.579.0166.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)95.076.6171.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.388.6163.9-13.49%
vs Similar (7)77.682.7160.3-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.477.6166.0+10.883%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154.5
Over 154.5
65.2%
Under 154.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
53.5%
Under 159.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
41.5%
Under 164.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Oviedo total 77
Over 77
63.2%
Under 77
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo total 81
Over 81
47.4%
Under 81
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo total 85
Over 85
32.1%
Under 85
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alicante total 74
Over 74
75.3%
Under 74
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alicante total 78
Over 78
61.0%
Under 78
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alicante total 82
Over 82
45.1%
Under 82
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Oviedo -3
OVIE -3
39.4%
ALI +3
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
OVIE
No market prices yet.
ALI
No market prices yet.
Spread Oviedo 0
OVIE 0
48.5%
ALI 0
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
OVIE
No market prices yet.
ALI
No market prices yet.
Spread Oviedo +3
OVIE +3
57.7%
ALI -3
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
OVIE
No market prices yet.
ALI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
OviedoAlicante
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
40.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.280.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.478.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.983.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.980.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.642.479.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (13)41.039.780.7+1.362%-
vs Weaker (12)41.839.981.8+1.958%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.1-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.543.886.3-1.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.076.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.543.984.4-3.518%-
vs Similar (7)35.742.177.9-6.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.838.280.0+3.558%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.9
56.5%
53.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.8
31.8%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
74.2%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alicante: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
53.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
32.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
74.2%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oviedo
LWLWWWLLLW
Alicante
WWWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#1
-1.2
Net rating
+3.5
108.8
Offensive rating
115.2
110.0
Defensive rating
111.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
36.0%
46.0%
Assist %
51.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 115.2Defence110.0 · 111.7Shooting51.9% · 52.5%3-point %31.8% · 36.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Oviedo   ■ Alicante
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Oviedo wins
5
Alicante wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Oviedo v Alicante76-74
12/12/25Alicante v Oviedo88-89
12/03/25Alicante v Oviedo87-79
19/10/24Oviedo v Alicante78-74
12/03/24Oviedo v Alicante89-83
15/12/23Alicante v Oviedo83-73
21/04/23Alicante v Oviedo78-69
22/12/22Oviedo v Alicante68-69
29/01/22Oviedo v Alicante54-77
08/10/21Alicante v Oviedo96-97 OT
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHestia Menorca65-75
07/11/26HCordoba70-63
01/11/26APalmer Basket79-80
24/10/26HZamora81-77
16/10/26ATizona Burgos101-100 OT
10/10/26HFibwi Palma99-86
03/10/26HGranada67-77
26/09/26AGran Canaria69-108
06/06/26AEstudiantes71-79
22/05/26HGipuzkoa82-75
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HFibwi Palma100-66
07/11/26HPalmer Basket97-93 OT
30/10/26ATizona Burgos89-79
25/10/26HGipuzkoa106-66
16/10/26AOurense83-79
10/10/26HGran Canaria84-74
03/10/26AHestia Menorca81-64
26/09/26HFuenlabrada96-82
22/05/26HEstudiantes72-113
17/05/26AEstudiantes67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game78.979.278.5
Allowed / game83.275.890.8
Point differential-4.4+3.5-12.2
Avg total162.1155.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Alicante
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.096.684.3
Allowed / game75.476.274.0
Point differential+16.6+20.4+10.3
Avg total167.4172.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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