Paderborn vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 74-95

18-28 21-25 18-19 17-23

Position#16

Record9-17

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game87.3

Paderborn

Leverkusen 🏆

Position#17

Record8-18

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game85.2

Pro ARound 27· Sportzentrum Maspernplatz

Other2025-26

Meetings · Paderborn v Leverkusen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leverkusen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

67-95

-28

H10/01

Pro A

Bayreuth

#10

103-92

103

+11

A17/01

Pro A

Bochum

#11

75-83

-8

H24/01

Pro A

Koln

#12

89-88

A01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

93-99

-6

H06/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

72-91

-19

A08/02

Pro A

Gottingen

99-105 OT

105

-6

A14/02

Pro A

Munster

#18

88-67

+21

H20/02

Pro A

Giessen

59-92

-33

A06/03

Pro A

Artland

87-94

-7

H08/03

Pro A

13-21

24-27

15-21

15-26

30-24

20-21

25-19

28-28

13-26

17-19

20-15

25-23

26-28

18-13

22-21

23-26

23-22

20-31

29-18

21-28

27-19

14-20

13-30

18-22

21-19

20-27

27-23

24-23

28-21

13-19

19-14

28-13

19-18

6-23

14-33

20-18

23-27

26-15

22-26

16-26

173.8Avg total

83.2Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	80.5	87.3	167.8	-6.9	35%
Season at home (13)	82.1	85.8	167.8	-3.7	38%
Season away (13)	78.8	88.9	167.8	-10.1	31%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	90.6	173.8	-7.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	89.8	170.8	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	78.9	88.6	167.5	-9.7	26%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.7	84.0	168.7	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker (4)	80.2	76.5	156.8	+3.8	50%

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leverkusen Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

71-79

-8

H11/01

Pro A

Nurnberger

72-95

-23

A18/01

Pro A

Bayreuth

#10

99-65

+34

H25/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

65-81

-16

A01/02

Pro A

Giessen

83-72

+11

H06/02

Pro A

Gottingen

63-65

-2

A08/02

Pro A

Munster

#18

80-84

-4

A14/02

Pro A

Tubingen

#13

94-81

+13

H21/02

Pro A

Bochum

#11

72-70

A06/03

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

85-91

-6

H08/03

Pro A

11-21

13-18

26-18

21-22

23-25

14-25

13-27

22-18

24-12

30-22

24-16

21-15

13-21

19-18

9-22

24-20

24-16

20-12

20-16

19-28

13-9

11-20

29-19

10-17

24-23

17-23

21-24

18-14

28-11

22-36

24-21

20-13

20-14

17-21

17-16

18-19

25-24

16-21

23-19

21-27

156.7Avg total

78.4Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.8	85.2	163.9	-6.4	31%
Season at home (13)	81.2	84.1	165.3	-2.8	38%
Season away (13)	76.3	86.2	162.5	-9.9	23%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	78.3	156.7	+0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	78.2	157.0	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	77.3	85.6	162.9	-8.3	27%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.8	84.5	165.4	-3.7	36%
vs Weaker (4)	78.5	58.5	137.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaderbornLeverkusen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.7	43.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.9	43.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.7	22.5	43.3	-1.8	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	24.9	21.1	46.0	+3.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.1	37.7	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.8	36.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.1	22.2	41.2	-3.1	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.6	23.9	41.4	-6.3	14%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	41.0	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	24.2	40.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	20.5	39.5	-1.6	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.3	23.2	45.5	-0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	14.8	34.2	+4.8	75%	-

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

37-48

-11

H10/01

Pro A

Bayreuth

#10

50-45

A17/01

Pro A

Bochum

#11

30-45

-15

H24/01

Pro A

Koln

#12

44-41

A01/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

43-53

-10

H06/02

Pro A

Bremerhaven

41-39

A08/02

Pro A

Gottingen

41-46

-5

A14/02

Pro A

Munster

#18

41-40

H20/02

Pro A

Giessen

25-41

-16

A06/03

Pro A

Artland

49-42

H08/03

Pro A

84.1Avg total

40.1Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	44.0	84.5	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	45.6	83.7	-7.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	44.0	84.1	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	39.8	44.7	84.5	-4.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	39.2	79.2	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeverkusenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

24-39

-15

H11/01

Pro A

Nurnberger

37-50

-13

A18/01

Pro A

Bayreuth

#10

54-34

+20

H25/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

32-39

-7

A01/02

Pro A

Giessen

44-28

+16

H06/02

Pro A

Gottingen

24-29

-5

A08/02

Pro A

Munster

#18

41-46

-5

A14/02

Pro A

Tubingen

#13

50-47

H21/02

Pro A

Bochum

#11

37-35

A06/03

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

41-45

-4

H08/03

Pro A

77.6Avg total

38.4Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.4	79.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	40.4	81.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	40.3	76.6	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.7	41.7	79.4	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.9	41.6	82.5	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.5	32.0	69.5	+5.5	75%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.1	38.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.2	44.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.1	38.5	+0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.4	19.3	37.6	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	12.5	33.8	+8.8	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.3	45.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	14.0	33.8	+5.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.2	80.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	41.6	80.7	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	40.7	80.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	45.3	87.7	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.6	85.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.3	39.0	81.3	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	37.2	77.5	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.7	79.9	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.3	78.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	42.0	81.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.1	79.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.8	78.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.5	43.9	83.5	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.3	41.4	79.6	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	26.5	67.5	+14.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paderborn wins

Leverkusen wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/26	Leverkusen v Paderborn	73-84
08/02/25	Leverkusen v Paderborn	78-67
12/10/24	Paderborn v Leverkusen	72-74
18/02/23	Leverkusen v Paderborn	96-103 OT
08/10/22	Paderborn v Leverkusen	96-65
09/04/22	Leverkusen v Paderborn	102-85
26/12/21	Paderborn v Leverkusen	101-89
06/02/21	Paderborn v Leverkusen	101-93 OT
23/12/20	Leverkusen v Paderborn	81-74
25/01/20	Leverkusen v Paderborn	103-82

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/26	H	Artland	87-94
06/03/26	A	Giessen	59-92
20/02/26	H	Munster	88-67
14/02/26	A	Gottingen	99-105 OT
08/02/26	A	Bremerhaven	72-91
06/02/26	H	Phoenix Hagen	93-99
01/02/26	A	Koln	89-88
24/01/26	H	Bochum	75-83
17/01/26	A	Bayreuth	103-92
10/01/26	H	Kirchheim	67-95

Leverkusenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/26	H	Phoenix Hagen	85-91
06/03/26	A	Bochum	72-70
21/02/26	H	Tubingen	94-81
14/02/26	A	Munster	80-84
08/02/26	A	Gottingen	63-65
06/02/26	H	Giessen	83-72
01/02/26	A	Bremerhaven	65-81
25/01/26	H	Bayreuth	99-65
18/01/26	A	Nurnberger	72-95
11/01/26	H	Crailsheim Merlins	71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paderborn

Pro A 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	35%
Home	LLLWL	38%
Away	WWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	35%	38%	31%
Points / game	80.5	82.1	78.8
Allowed / game	87.3	85.8	88.9
Point differential	-6.9	-3.7	-10.1
Avg total	167.8	167.8	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	23%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

Leverkusen

Pro A 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	31%
Home	LWWWL	38%
Away	LLLLW	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	31%	38%	23%
Points / game	78.8	81.2	76.3
Allowed / game	85.2	84.1	86.2
Point differential	-6.4	-2.8	-9.9
Avg total	163.9	165.3	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	23%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	67% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Phoenix Hagen	26	22	4	85%	96.0	81.2	+14.8
2	Crailsheim Merlins	27	21	6	78%	87.9	77.2	+10.7
3	Gottingen	26	19	7	73%	87.7	80.8	+6.9
4	Bremerhaven	27	19	8	70%	85.9	80.6	+5.3
5	Giessen	27	16	11	59%	85.0	79.7	+5.3
6	Kirchheim	27	16	11	59%	84.4	80.7	+3.7
7	Artland	26	15	11	58%	91.7	88.0	+3.7
8	Bochum	27	14	13	52%	85.7	84.8	+0.9
9	Koblenz	26	12	14	46%	87.5	91.3	-3.7
10	PS Karlsruhe	26	12	14	46%	80.7	84.7	-4.0
11	Nurnberger	26	11	15	42%	83.2	83.6	-0.4
12	Koln	26	11	15	42%	82.7	86.7	-4.0
13	Bayreuth	26	10	16	38%	83.3	86.3	-3.0
14	Tubingen	26	9	17	35%	79.9	86.0	-6.1
15	Paderborn	26	9	17	35%	80.5	87.3	-6.9
16	Leverkusen	26	8	18	31%	78.8	85.2	-6.4
17	Wolmirstedt	27	7	20	26%	80.5	87.5	-7.0
18	Munster	26	6	20	23%	74.2	84.9	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paderborn	18	21	18	17	74
Leverkusen	28	25	19	23	95

← all games of the day

Paderborn vs Leverkusen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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