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Pagrati vs Aetos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-72
17-20 25-24 22-16 18-12
Position#8
Record8-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#10
Record7-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game71.3
GreeceA2Round 18
Other2014-15
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pagrati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aetos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PagratiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ilisiakos
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H29/11
A2
Kavala
#1
L
53-83
53
83
-30
A06/12
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H13/12
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A10/01
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H17/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A24/01
A2
Psychikou
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H31/01
A2
Livadia
#6
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
A07/02
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H14/02
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A28/02
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
15-20
11-21
15-19
12-23
26-21
28-22
15-20
20-20
19-16
10-24
22-20
20-25
21-23
23-18
29-21
18-21
–
–
–
–
25-20
15-16
19-17
12-31
9-20
28-20
18-22
26-19
22-23
13-25
21-18
24-21
21-26
23-20
25-27
13-21
148.5Avg total
72.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.679.2154.9-3.647%
Season at home (8)73.970.2144.1+3.675%
Season away (9)77.287.2164.4-10.022%
Last 10 (10)72.775.8148.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.784.6162.2-6.931%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.077.8155.8+0.267%
vs Weaker (2)54.042.096.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Aetos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AetosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A29/11
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H13/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H20/12
A2
Ermis Lagkada
#13
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
A10/01
A2
OFI Crete
#9
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H17/01
A2
Ilisiakos
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A24/01
A2
Kavala
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A31/01
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H07/02
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A14/02
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H28/02
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
16-20
17-15
18-21
25-13
13-14
26-17
18-16
18-23
18-9
23-25
31-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
18-13
18-23
16-18
12-23
19-19
13-15
10-15
26-19
13-14
17-21
23-21
20-20
20-20
18-15
30-11
13-21
138.2Avg total
70.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.571.3143.8+1.241%
Season at home (9)80.673.2153.8+7.356%
Season away (8)63.469.1132.5-5.825%
Last 10 (10)70.567.7138.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)63.060.0123.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.477.0154.4+0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.075.9148.9-2.922%
vs Weaker (3)62.748.0110.7+14.7100%
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
PagratiAetos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PagratiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A06/12
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H13/12
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A10/01
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/01
A2
Psychikou
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
A2
Livadia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
A2
Lefkadas
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/02
A2
Lavrio
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A28/02
A2
80.5Avg total
38.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.241.982.1-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.141.281.3-1.246%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.482.8-2.129%-
Last 10 (8)38.641.980.5-3.238%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.742.180.8-3.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.341.682.9-0.330%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Aetos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AetosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/11
A2
Filippos Veroi
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/12
A2
Lavrio
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/12
A2
Kavala
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/01
A2
Ethnikos Piraeus
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
A2
Arkadikos
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/02
A2
Iraklis
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/02
A2
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)36.235.771.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.634.472.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (6)34.337.571.8-3.217%-
Last 10 (7)35.134.769.9+0.443%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.468.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.136.973.0-0.838%-
vs Weaker (1)38.027.065.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Pagrati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pagrati wins
1
Aetos wins
DateGameScore
08/11/14Aetos v Pagrati96-67
Pagratilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/15ALavrio82-94
14/02/15HLefkadas80-87
07/02/15ALivadia91-93 OT
31/01/15HPsychikou71-84
24/01/15AFilippos Veroi79-66
17/01/15HIraklis91-83
10/01/15AArkadikos71-85
13/12/14HEthnikos Piraeus89-83
06/12/14AKavala53-83
29/11/14HIlisiakos20-0
Aetoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/15HIraklis81-67
14/02/15AArkadikos73-76
07/02/15HEthnikos Piraeus77-80 OT
31/01/15AKavala64-77
24/01/15AIlisiakos20-0
17/01/15HOFI Crete61-74
10/01/15AErmis Lagkada86-84 OT
20/12/14HLavrio90-79
13/12/14HFilippos Veroi82-60
29/11/14ALefkadas71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pagrati
A2 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game75.673.977.2
Allowed / game79.270.287.2
Point differential-3.6+3.6-10.0
Avg total154.9144.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Aetos
A2 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game72.580.663.4
Allowed / game71.373.269.1
Point differential+1.2+7.3-5.8
Avg total143.8153.8132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kavala1715288%66.253.6+12.6
2 Arkadikos1813572%70.966.0+4.9
3 Lavrio1712571%69.264.3+4.9
4 Psychikou1711665%70.466.3+4.1
5 Lefkadas1711665%73.069.5+3.5
6 Ethnikos Piraeus1710759%69.265.7+3.5
7 Livadia179853%71.271.2+0.0
8 Pagrati178947%75.679.2-3.6
9 OFI Crete1881044%64.863.8+1.1
10 Aetos1771041%72.571.3+1.2
11 Filippos Veroi1771041%60.164.4-4.2
12 Iraklis1751229%71.174.4-3.3
13 Ermis Lagkada1741324%60.064.9-4.9
14 Ilisiakos170170%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pagrati1725221882
Aetos2024161272
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