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Palmeiras vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2014
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-68
17-11 11-20 16-15 29-22
Position#10
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBBRound 9
Other2014-15
Meetings · Palmeiras v Paulistano
09 Dec 2014
PALM73
PAUL68
05 Jan 2014
PALM75
PAUL68
29 Nov 2012
PALM79
PAUL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmeiras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalmeirasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H15/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A19/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A13/11
NBB
Limeira
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H19/11
NBB
Cearense
#16
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H21/11
NBB
Macae
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A25/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A27/11
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
15-14
26-24
23-20
14-15
16-16
15-19
15-14
21-18
19-14
18-18
17-22
13-11
14-16
10-11
18-18
16-12
17-17
17-20
14-27
17-20
29-14
21-17
19-19
16-13
24-20
30-27
24-27
17-24
19-17
20-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
22-31
20-17
17-29
23-19
24-17
20-20
148.7Avg total
75.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.975.5151.4+0.438%
Season at home (2)90.078.5168.5+11.5100%
Season away (6)71.274.5145.7-3.317%
Last 10 (10)75.073.7148.7+1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.680.0162.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.984.1160.0-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.378.2156.6+0.144%
vs Weaker (5)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H24/05
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A31/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
91-99
91
99
-8
H31/10
NBB
Macae
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H07/11
NBB
Limeira
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H12/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#14
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A18/11
NBB
Franca
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A20/11
NBB
Unitri Universo
#13
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H26/11
NBB
Minas
#6
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H28/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
27-11
21-14
20-24
17-22
23-16
17-21
16-19
29-18
19-27
25-33
18-21
24-15
23-16
13-27
22-18
22-24
11-15
18-17
33-29
20-15
23-21
24-17
12-26
20-23
17-9
21-30
16-19
10-23
22-18
25-10
24-25
17-20
21-10
22-12
18-17
15-15
8-11
16-23
23-34
159.4Avg total
80.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.881.0161.8-0.250%
Season at home (6)81.881.8163.7+0.050%
Season away (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.079.4159.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)77.877.6155.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.590.0172.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.180.5161.6+0.558%
vs Weaker (9)81.070.9151.9+10.189%
This opponent (Palmeiras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
PalmeirasPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalmeirasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#5
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H15/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#5
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A19/04
NBB
Rio Claro
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A13/11
NBB
Limeira
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A17/11
NBB
Brasilia
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/11
NBB
Cearense
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/11
NBB
Macae
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A27/11
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A07/12
NBB
69.4Avg total
36.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.975.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.232.375.5+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)35.938.774.6-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.369.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.140.177.3-3.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.436.474.8+1.956%-
vs Weaker (5)44.028.272.2+15.8100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/05
NBB
Flamengo
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H31/10
NBB
Macae
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H07/11
NBB
Limeira
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#14
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/11
NBB
Franca
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/11
NBB
Unitri Universo
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/11
NBB
Minas
#6
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H28/11
NBB
72.9Avg total
38.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.377.7+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.076.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.838.978.6+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.872.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.067.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.538.581.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.239.278.3+0.042%-
vs Weaker (9)42.433.275.7+9.289%-
This opponent (Palmeiras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palmeiras wins
3
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
13/03/14Paulistano v Palmeiras76-67
05/01/14Palmeiras v Paulistano75-68
05/02/13Paulistano v Palmeiras83-69
29/11/12Palmeiras v Paulistano79-86 OT
Palmeiraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/14AMogi84-85
27/11/14AFlamengo77-81
25/11/14AMacae72-77
21/11/14HCearense94-87
19/11/14HBrasilia86-70
17/11/14ALimeira64-76
13/11/14ASao Jose55-56
05/11/14ARio Claro75-72
19/04/14ASao Jose60-64
15/04/14HSao Jose83-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/14HMinas62-83
26/11/14HUnitri Universo78-59
20/11/14AFranca81-76
18/11/14ABauru74-81
14/11/14HRio Claro94-89 OT
12/11/14HLimeira84-85
07/11/14HMacae82-76
31/10/14HFlamengo91-99
31/05/14AFlamengo73-78
24/05/14HSao Jose81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmeiras
NBB 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%100%17%
Points / game75.990.071.2
Allowed / game75.578.574.5
Point differential+0.4+11.5-3.3
Avg total151.4168.5145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)-20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.881.877.5
Allowed / game81.081.878.5
Point differential-0.2+0.0-1.0
Avg total161.8163.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Limeira87188%82.475.6+6.8
2 Minas86275%73.167.9+5.2
3 Bauru64267%85.577.2+8.3
4 Franca96367%78.474.4+4.0
5 Flamengo64267%88.886.3+2.5
6 Mogi64267%78.776.5+2.2
7 Sao Jose85362%73.468.9+4.5
8 Pinheiros74357%85.481.7+3.7
9 Paulistano84450%80.881.0-0.2
10 Unitri Universo84450%76.581.6-5.1
11 Palmeiras83538%75.975.5+0.4
12 Macae72529%77.482.0-4.6
13 Brasilia72529%78.984.3-5.4
14 Sorocabana82625%77.083.5-6.5
15 Cearense61517%76.086.8-10.8
16 Rio Claro81712%73.579.1-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palmeiras1711162973
Paulistano1120152268
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