PythiaBasketballBETA
LNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Auditorio Hermanos Carreon
Panteras host Soles on 5 November 2026 in the LNBP, with Soles the clear favourite as the model gives them a 69% chance of victory versus 31% for Panteras. Panteras finish the season 23-13, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 85.4, while Soles sit 27-8, scoring 86.0 and allowing only 73.7, the best defence in the league. At home Panteras are 13-5, 89.9 points for and 85.2 against, whereas Soles are 12-5 on the road, 88.7 for and 76.3 against. The last five games show Soles winning four of five, including a 87-75 win over Panteras on 3 November, while Panteras have two wins and three losses, with a 75-87 defeat to Soles at home on the same day. Head-to-head, Soles lead 6-4 over ten meetings, most recently beating Panteras 87-75. Pythia projects a 80-86 score, 165.5 total points and a 5% chance of overtime, with Soles covering the spread. The final game will test whether Panteras can overturn the recent trend and upset the top-ranked Soles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (36) | 88.0 | 85.4 | 173.4 | +2.6 | 64% |
| Season at home (18) | 89.9 | 85.2 | 175.2 | +4.7 | 72% |
| Season away (18) | 86.1 | 85.7 | 171.7 | +0.4 | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.1 | 86.5 | 172.6 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.0 | 84.4 | 166.4 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 78.1 | 83.5 | 161.6 | -5.4 | 38% |
| vs Similar (10) | 91.7 | 88.1 | 179.8 | +3.6 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 93.3 | 86.3 | 179.7 | +7.0 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (35) | 86.0 | 73.7 | 159.7 | +12.3 | 77% |
| Season at home (18) | 83.4 | 71.3 | 154.8 | +12.1 | 83% |
| Season away (17) | 88.7 | 76.3 | 165.0 | +12.4 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.7 | 71.2 | 158.9 | +16.5 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.2 | 74.6 | 159.8 | +10.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (30) | 86.8 | 73.6 | 160.4 | +13.2 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.0 | 44.7 | 89.7 | +0.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.3 | 43.1 | 89.4 | +3.2 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.6 | 46.5 | 90.1 | -2.9 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 43.5 | 87.2 | +0.2 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 45.4 | 90.8 | +0.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 40.6 | 44.0 | 84.6 | -3.4 | 38% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 46.7 | 43.6 | 90.3 | +3.1 | 70% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 46.6 | 46.0 | 92.6 | +0.6 | 58% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.0 | 37.5 | 83.5 | +8.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.1 | 35.9 | 81.1 | +9.2 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 47.1 | 39.2 | 86.3 | +7.9 | 86% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 36.5 | 83.3 | +10.3 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 40.2 | 86.0 | +5.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (30) | 46.0 | 37.5 | 83.5 | +8.6 | 80% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.4 | 22.0 | 54.1% | 44.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.0 | 7.1 | 34.8% | 21.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.0 | 19.4 | 71.7% | 19.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.0 | 21.8 | 54.1% | 43.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 9.8 | 34.8% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.6 | 14.4 | 71.7% | 14.4 |
Panteras
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | Panteras v Soles | 75-87 |
| 03/11/26 | Panteras v Soles | 87-84 |
| 31/10/26 | Soles v Panteras | 83-65 |
| 30/10/26 | Soles v Panteras | 80-76 |
| 22/09/26 | Soles v Panteras | 76-77 |
| 20/09/26 | Soles v Panteras | 77-67 |
| 18/10/25 | Soles v Panteras | 75-82 |
| 15/10/25 | Panteras v Soles | 83-88 |
| 14/10/25 | Panteras v Soles | 104-99 |
| 11/10/25 | Soles v Panteras | 94-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Soles | 75-87 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Soles | 87-84 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Soles | 65-83 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Soles | 76-80 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Lobos Plateados | 107-88 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Lobos Plateados | 93-84 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Lobos Plateados | 88-80 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Lobos Plateados | 100-111 OT |
| 08/10/26 | H | Diablos Rojos | 93-92 OT |
| 07/10/26 | H | Diablos Rojos | 77-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | Panteras | 87-75 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Panteras | 84-87 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Panteras | 83-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Panteras | 80-76 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Abejas | 92-70 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Abejas | 100-60 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Abejas | 102-58 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 75-92 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 88-86 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Diablos Rojos | 86-43 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 64% |
| Home | WLWWL | 72% |
| Away | WWWLL | 56% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 36 | 18 | 18 |
| Win % | 64% | 72% | 56% |
| Points / game | 88.0 | 89.9 | 86.1 |
| Allowed / game | 85.4 | 85.2 | 85.7 |
| Point differential | +2.6 | +4.7 | +0.4 |
| Avg total | 173.4 | 175.2 | 171.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 28% | 33% | 22% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 73% (11) | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 77% |
| Home | LWWWW | 83% |
| Away | WWWLW | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 35 | 18 | 17 |
| Win % | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Points / game | 86.0 | 83.4 | 88.7 |
| Allowed / game | 73.7 | 71.3 | 76.3 |
| Point differential | +12.3 | +12.1 | +12.4 |
| Avg total | 159.7 | 154.8 | 165.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 51% | 44% | 59% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (8) | 80% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles | 35 | 27 | 8 | 77% | 86.0 | 73.7 | +12.3 |
| 2 |  Astros | 35 | 27 | 8 | 77% | 88.5 | 80.1 | +8.4 |
| 3 | Panteras | 36 | 23 | 13 | 64% | 88.0 | 85.4 | +2.6 |
| 4 |  Lobos Plateados | 34 | 21 | 13 | 62% | 85.6 | 82.0 | +3.6 |
| 5 |  Fuerza Regia | 36 | 22 | 14 | 61% | 90.0 | 86.7 | +3.3 |
| 6 |  Dorados | 34 | 20 | 14 | 59% | 87.6 | 86.5 | +1.1 |
| 7 |  Mineros | 34 | 17 | 17 | 50% | 86.2 | 85.3 | +0.9 |
| 8 |  Abejas | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41% | 83.4 | 86.8 | -3.3 |
| 9 | Diablos Rojos | 31 | 12 | 19 | 39% | 82.4 | 85.7 | -3.3 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 19 | 39% | 84.9 | 88.9 | -4.1 |
| 11 |  Gambusinos | 30 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 80.1 | 83.8 | -3.7 |
| 12 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 32% | 81.3 | 85.1 | -3.9 |
| 13 | Freseros | 30 | 9 | 21 | 30% | 84.3 | 92.2 | -7.9 |
| 14 |  Correcaminos | 28 | 4 | 24 | 14% | 82.5 | 94.1 | -11.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panteras | 19 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 79 |
| Soles | 26 | 30 | 38 | 16 | 110 |
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