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Pantterit vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 82-84
Projected total 166.3
Final 93-66
18-27 22-13 21-13 32-13
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game89.2
Vs
42%
58%
■ PANT 42%■ TOPO 58%
Pythia win probability
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.8
FinlandI Divisioona A· Herttoniemenranta sports hall
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Pantterit host ToPo Helsinki on 15 November 2026 in the I Divisioona A, with the model favouring ToPo Helsinki as the likely winner at 58% to Pantterit's 42%. Pantterit finish the season 2-3, scoring 81.2 points per game and conceding 89.2, while ToPo also sit 2-3, averaging 84.4 points and allowing 81.8; both teams occupy the ninth and eighth spots respectively. Pantterit are unbeaten at home, 2-0, with a 93.0 points per game average and 82.5 allowed, whereas ToPo's road record is 1-1, 89.0 points per game and 80.0 allowed. In the last five games each side has two wins and three losses. Pantterit's recent outings include a 78-92 loss to ACO Basket away, a 92-75 home win over Pyrinto Akatemia, and a 71-80 away defeat to Lappeenranta; ToPo's recent results feature an 80-75 home win over Huima, an 82-84 away loss to Karkkila, and a 90-92 home loss to Raholan Pyrkiva. The model projects a final score of 82-84, a total of 166.3 points, and a 5% chance of overtime, with ToPo's 58% probability of covering the spread. The game will be decided by a narrow margin, as the projected points balance indicates a close contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pantterit winWon
41.9%fair 2.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ToPo Helsinki winLost
58.1%fair 1.72
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PantteritFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPantterit
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#3
L
71-109
71
109
-38
18avg 18
A09/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#5
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H18/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A22/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
H01/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A06/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
12-34
16-26
11-21
16-15
21-24
24-24
11-9
25-14
17-16
9-29
20-21
27-17
26-23
20-19
19-16
15-22
14-22
19-25
30-23
170.4Avg total
81.2Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.289.2170.4-8.040%
Season at home (2)93.082.5175.5+10.5100%
Season away (3)73.393.7167.0-20.30%
Last 10 (5)81.289.2170.4-8.040%
Last 5 (5)81.289.2170.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.5100.5175.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
80avg 74
H15/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 74
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
75-74
75
74
+1
63avg 74
H22/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
88-105
88
105
-17
88avg 74
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
72-94
72
94
-22
64avg 74
H29/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
23avg 74
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#12
W
96-76
96
76
+20
no box
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#8
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
H06/11
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-16
19-10
19-17
20-25
22-29
20-19
20-17
26-18
14-23
16-10
19-23
15-26
37-35
20-22
16-22
22-23
15-27
16-21
19-23
12-25
21-19
22-18
19-20
23-17
26-17
17-24
30-18
13-22
37-24
16-27
24-19
17-25
22-23
28-20
15-16
18-25
15-17
24-17
23-16
165.0Avg total
81.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.481.8166.2+2.640%
Season at home (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
Season away (2)89.080.0169.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)81.583.5165.0-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.481.8166.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.487.0164.4-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.580.5164.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (12)82.675.4158.0+7.267%
This opponent (Pantterit) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
69.7%
Under 157.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
58.3%
Under 162.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
46.3%
Under 167.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Pantterit total 78.5Actual: Pantterit over 78.5
Over 78.5
62.9%
Under 78.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pantterit total 82.5Actual: Pantterit over 82.5
Over 82.5
47.7%
Under 82.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pantterit total 86.5Actual: Pantterit over 86.5
Over 86.5
32.9%
Under 86.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ToPo Helsinki total 76.5Actual: ToPo Helsinki under 76.5
Over 76.5
77.5%
Under 76.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ToPo Helsinki total 80.5Actual: ToPo Helsinki under 80.5
Over 80.5
64.3%
Under 80.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ToPo Helsinki total 84.5Actual: ToPo Helsinki under 84.5
Over 84.5
49.1%
Under 84.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pantterit -3Actual: Pantterit -3
PANT -3
33.0%
TOPO +3
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
PANT
No market prices yet.
TOPO
No market prices yet.
Spread Pantterit 0Actual: Pantterit 0
PANT 0
41.9%
TOPO 0
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
PANT
No market prices yet.
TOPO
No market prices yet.
Spread Pantterit +3Actual: Pantterit +3
PANT +3
50.9%
TOPO -3
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
PANT
No market prices yet.
TOPO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
PantteritToPo Helsinki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PantteritLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#3
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A09/10
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/10
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A22/10
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H01/11
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/11
I Divisioona A
84.0Avg total
41.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)41.043.084.0-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (2)45.039.584.5+5.550%-
Last 30 away (3)38.345.383.7-7.033%-
Last 10 (5)41.043.084.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.553.089.5-16.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.534.574.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker (1)53.040.093.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H29/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A18/10
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/10
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/11
I Divisioona A
86.9Avg total
41.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.6-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.842.079.8-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.485.3-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.686.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.546.485.9-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.244.581.8-7.225%-
vs Weaker (12)41.237.878.9+3.458%-
This opponent (Pantterit) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pantterittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pantterit: 25.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀
🏀🏀🏀84%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers2.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 84% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 50.9 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.01.0
7.7%
48.2%2.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.07.0
50.0%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws2.02.0
100.0%
59.0%2.0
They take 27.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 50.9 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
48.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.48.7
64.9%
59.0%8.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pantterit
LWLWL
ToPo Helsinki
WLLWLLLWLW
#6
League position
#9
-27.1
Net rating
-10.5
48.4
Offensive rating
82.1
75.6
Defensive rating
92.5
42.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
48.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
0.07
Free-throw rate
0.21
50.0%
3-point %
31.5%
112.5%
Assist %
76.9%
40%
Form (last 5/10)
40%

Profile

Offence48.4 · 82.1Defence75.6 · 92.5Shooting42.6% · 49.0%3-point %50.0% · 31.5%Ball care48.3% · 20.7%Free throws0.07 · 0.21Form (last 5/10)40% · 40%
■ Pantterit   ■ ToPo Helsinki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pantterit wins
0
ToPo Helsinki wins
No previous meetings.
Pantteritlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AACO Basket78-92
01/11/26HPyrinto Akatemia92-75
22/10/26ALappeenranta71-80
18/10/26HJyvaskyla94-90 OT
09/10/26AKobrat71-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HHuima80-75
01/11/26AKarkkila82-84
23/10/26HRaholan Pyrkiva90-92
18/10/26AHelsingin NMKY96-76
09/10/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki74-82
29/03/26HKipina72-94
25/03/26AKipina88-105
22/03/26HKipina75-74
19/03/26AKipina82-90
15/03/26HJyvaskyla76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pantterit
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game81.293.073.3
Allowed / game89.282.593.7
Point differential-8.0+10.5-20.3
Avg total170.4175.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game84.481.389.0
Allowed / game81.883.080.0
Point differential+2.6-1.7+9.0
Avg total166.2164.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket660100%90.270.8+19.3
2 Karkkila65183%84.773.0+11.7
3 Kobrat64267%89.877.7+12.2
4 HBA-Marsky Helsinki53260%80.672.8+7.8
5 Jyvaskyla63350%84.585.3-0.8
6 Lappeenranta63350%79.782.3-2.7
7 Raholan Pyrkiva63350%73.582.8-9.3
8 ToPo Helsinki52340%84.481.8+2.6
9 Pantterit52340%81.289.2-8.0
10 Huima62433%80.386.5-6.2
11 Pyrinto Akatemia61517%70.384.5-14.2
12 Helsingin NMKY5050%72.086.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pantterit1822213293
ToPo Helsinki2713131366
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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