Pantterit host ToPo Helsinki on 15 November 2026 in the I Divisioona A, with the model favouring ToPo Helsinki as the likely winner at 58% to Pantterit's 42%. Pantterit finish the season 2-3, scoring 81.2 points per game and conceding 89.2, while ToPo also sit 2-3, averaging 84.4 points and allowing 81.8; both teams occupy the ninth and eighth spots respectively. Pantterit are unbeaten at home, 2-0, with a 93.0 points per game average and 82.5 allowed, whereas ToPo's road record is 1-1, 89.0 points per game and 80.0 allowed. In the last five games each side has two wins and three losses. Pantterit's recent outings include a 78-92 loss to ACO Basket away, a 92-75 home win over Pyrinto Akatemia, and a 71-80 away defeat to Lappeenranta; ToPo's recent results feature an 80-75 home win over Huima, an 82-84 away loss to Karkkila, and a 90-92 home loss to Raholan Pyrkiva. The model projects a final score of 82-84, a total of 166.3 points, and a 5% chance of overtime, with ToPo's 58% probability of covering the spread. The game will be decided by a narrow margin, as the projected points balance indicates a close contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 81.2 | 89.2 | 170.4 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.0 | 82.5 | 175.5 | +10.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 73.3 | 93.7 | 167.0 | -20.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (5) | 81.2 | 89.2 | 170.4 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 89.2 | 170.4 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 74.5 | 100.5 | 175.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 82.5 | 85.0 | 167.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 92.0 | 75.0 | 167.0 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 84.4 | 81.8 | 166.2 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 81.3 | 83.0 | 164.3 | -1.7 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 89.0 | 80.0 | 169.0 | +9.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 83.5 | 165.0 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 81.8 | 166.2 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 77.4 | 87.0 | 164.4 | -9.6 | 21% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 83.5 | 80.5 | 164.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 82.6 | 75.4 | 158.0 | +7.2 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (5) | 41.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (2) | 45.0 | 39.5 | 84.5 | +5.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (3) | 38.3 | 45.3 | 83.7 | -7.0 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (5) | 41.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 36.5 | 53.0 | 89.5 | -16.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 39.5 | 34.5 | 74.0 | +5.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 53.0 | 40.0 | 93.0 | +13.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 42.7 | 82.6 | -2.8 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 37.8 | 42.0 | 79.8 | -4.2 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.9 | 43.4 | 85.3 | -1.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.3 | 45.6 | 86.9 | -4.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 42.8 | 83.6 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 39.5 | 46.4 | 85.9 | -6.9 | 36% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 37.2 | 44.5 | 81.8 | -7.2 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 41.2 | 37.8 | 78.9 | +3.4 | 58% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 13.0 | 1.0 | 48.2% | 2.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 14.0 | 7.0 | 31.3% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 2.0 | 2.0 | 59.0% | 2.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.8 | 18.5 | 48.2% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 8.8 | 31.3% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 13.4 | 8.7 | 59.0% | 8.7 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | ACO Basket | 78-92 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Pyrinto Akatemia | 92-75 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Lappeenranta | 71-80 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Jyvaskyla | 94-90 OT |
| 09/10/26 | A | Kobrat | 71-109 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Huima | 80-75 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Karkkila | 82-84 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Raholan Pyrkiva | 90-92 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Helsingin NMKY | 96-76 |
| 09/10/26 | H | HBA-Marsky Helsinki | 74-82 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Kipina | 72-94 |
| 25/03/26 | A | Kipina | 88-105 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Kipina | 75-74 |
| 19/03/26 | A | Kipina | 82-90 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Jyvaskyla | 76-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 40% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.2 | 93.0 | 73.3 |
| Allowed / game | 89.2 | 82.5 | 93.7 |
| Point differential | -8.0 | +10.5 | -20.3 |
| Avg total | 170.4 | 175.5 | 167.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 40% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.4 | 81.3 | 89.0 |
| Allowed / game | 81.8 | 83.0 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | +2.6 | -1.7 | +9.0 |
| Avg total | 166.2 | 164.3 | 169.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACO Basket | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 90.2 | 70.8 | +19.3 |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 84.7 | 73.0 | +11.7 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 89.8 | 77.7 | +12.2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.6 | 72.8 | +7.8 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.5 | 85.3 | -0.8 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 79.7 | 82.3 | -2.7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.5 | 82.8 | -9.3 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.4 | 81.8 | +2.6 | |
| 9 | Pantterit | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 81.2 | 89.2 | -8.0 |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.3 | 86.5 | -6.2 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 70.3 | 84.5 | -14.2 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.0 | 86.4 | -14.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pantterit | 18 | 22 | 21 | 32 | 93 |
| 27 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 66 |
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