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Paris vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 120-91
35-27 24-21 29-19 32-24
Position#1
Record10-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game79.8
Paris 🏆
vs
Hamburg
Position#19
Record2-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game95.5
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Halle Carpentier
European cup2023
Meetings · Paris v Hamburg
20 Dec 2023
PRS120
HAM91
30 Nov 2022
PRS87
HAM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
94avg 86
A14/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#17
L
76-83
76
83
-7
90avg 86
A18/11
LNB
Besiktas
#10
L
63-68
63
68
-5
54avg 86
H21/11
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
97-78
97
78
+19
106avg 86
H25/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
93-77
93
77
+16
84avg 86
A29/11
Eurocup
Monaco
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
64avg 86
A03/12
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
110-79
110
79
+31
103avg 86
A06/12
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
94avg 86
H10/12
LNB
Venezia
#12
W
100-70
100
70
+30
93avg 86
H12/12
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
89avg 86
A16/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
27-17
19-27
20-22
14-28
22-15
27-26
13-14
20-15
20-16
8-16
15-21
25-29
26-11
25-13
21-25
25-26
23-18
19-17
26-16
9-23
25-21
17-21
11-19
24-13
34-22
23-23
29-21
22-24
35-23
17-16
18-23
24-24
27-15
36-22
13-9
20-18
22-17
16-20
23-28
167.7Avg total
87.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.679.8177.5+17.891%
Season at home (4)95.575.8171.2+19.875%
Season away (7)98.982.1181.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.580.2167.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)89.080.4169.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.484.8165.2-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.476.4167.8+15.083%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
123-118 OT
123
118
+5
no box
A11/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 74
A15/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 74
H18/11
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
71-84
71
84
-13
62avg 74
H21/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 74
A24/11
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 74
A28/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
88avg 74
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 74
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 74
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 74
H15/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
27-22
27-20
27-21
19-22
24-14
31-13
12-34
27-22
16-20
19-23
32-25
16-24
21-23
18-21
16-16
18-26
22-19
21-27
26-24
20-22
17-31
23-21
17-20
21-23
30-15
16-17
19-26
19-26
16-26
19-22
29-23
24-14
24-26
19-25
16-16
20-20
21-28
29-25
24-13
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.795.5174.2-16.718%
Season at home (5)77.899.4177.2-21.60%
Season away (6)79.592.2171.7-12.733%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.660%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.892.1168.9-15.216%
vs Similar (6)84.388.7173.0-4.367%
vs Weaker (4)97.889.5187.2+8.2100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
ParisHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A14/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#17
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A18/11
LNB
Besiktas
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H21/11
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A29/11
Eurocup
Monaco
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A03/12
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A06/12
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H10/12
LNB
Venezia
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/12
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A16/12
LNB
86.5Avg total
46.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.085.5+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.839.388.2+9.5100%-
Last 30 away (17)44.638.883.5+5.865%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.886.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.088.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)46.244.891.0+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.937.584.4+9.488%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A11/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/11
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A24/11
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A28/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/12
BBL
87.1Avg total
41.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.987.4-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.545.383.8-6.829%-
Last 30 away (16)44.046.590.5-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.587.1-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.288.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.747.487.1-7.726%-
vs Similar (6)42.544.286.7-1.750%-
vs Weaker (4)45.243.288.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.1
53.3%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.5
37.1%
35.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.9
79.3%
74.5%14.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.8
52.1%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
35.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
74.5%16.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWWWLWWLLW
Hamburg
WWLWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#19
+9.6
Net rating
-6.2
115.3
Offensive rating
108.6
105.7
Defensive rating
114.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.1%
3-point %
37.1%
56.2%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 108.6Defence105.7 · 114.8Shooting54.3% · 53.5%3-point %37.1% · 37.1%Ball care16.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Paris   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paris wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Hamburg v Paris69-105
08/03/23Hamburg v Paris91-74
30/11/22Paris v Hamburg87-84
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AJL Bourg81-83
12/12/23HVenezia100-70
10/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne92-86
06/12/23ABC Wolves110-79
03/12/23AMonaco62-84
29/11/23ACedevita Olimpija93-77
25/11/23HGravelines-Dunkerque97-78
21/11/23HBesiktas63-68
18/11/23ARoanne76-83
14/11/23AJoventut Badalona101-94 OT
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HTubingen94-86
13/12/23ALondon Lions83-81
05/12/23HPrometey83-97
02/12/23ASyntainics MBC86-81
28/11/23AVenezia77-94
24/11/23AChemnitz87-96
21/11/23HBC Wolves71-84
18/11/23HBamberg94-90
15/11/23ACedevita Olimpija86-83
11/11/23AGottingen123-118 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%75%100%
Points / game97.695.598.9
Allowed / game79.875.882.1
Point differential+17.8+19.8+16.7
Avg total177.5171.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %18%0%29%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW18%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%0%33%
Points / game78.777.879.5
Allowed / game95.599.492.2
Point differential-16.7-21.6-12.7
Avg total174.2177.2171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1110191%97.679.8+17.8
2 Gran Canaria1210283%89.377.2+12.2
3 JL Bourg1210283%83.977.2+6.8
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv119282%95.585.8+9.6
5 London Lions118373%92.387.8+4.5
6 Cluj-Napoca128467%84.680.8+3.8
7 Ulm128467%90.086.8+3.2
8 Joventut Badalona127558%86.684.2+2.3
9 Besiktas127558%78.576.5+2.0
10 Prometey116555%85.785.0+0.7
11 Aris125742%71.874.8-3.0
12 Lietkabelis125742%83.887.1-3.2
13 Trento125742%80.584.3-3.8
14 Buducnost125742%78.183.2-5.1
15 BC Wolves114736%84.091.5-7.5
16 Venezia124833%81.584.8-3.2
17 Turk Telekom123925%79.984.2-4.2
18 Hamburg112918%78.795.5-16.7
19 Slask Wroclaw121118%76.482.8-6.4
20 Cedevita Olimpija120120%81.189.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris35242932120
Hamburg2721192491
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