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Paulistano vs Vila Velha Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 96-61
26-20 28-9 21-17 21-15
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#17
Record3-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game84.5
BrazilNBBRound 18
Other2013-14
Meetings · Paulistano v Vila Velha
18 Jan 2014
PAUL96
VILA61
15 Dec 2012
PAUL80
VILA90
25 Feb 2012
PAUL78
VILA55
04 Feb 2011
PAUL79
VILA83
27 Feb 2009
PAUL78
VILA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vila Velha winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#10
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H05/12
NBB
Cearense
#12
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H07/12
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A12/12
NBB
Franca
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A14/12
NBB
Brasilia
#4
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H19/12
NBB
Goiania
#16
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H21/12
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A05/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A08/01
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
16-20
23-21
29-21
21-17
22-19
21-27
30-16
19-14
25-24
13-24
24-18
29-22
16-13
24-19
15-29
24-21
30-16
24-20
18-17
29-20
20-21
28-22
18-30
11-22
21-15
11-15
25-23
19-25
32-18
29-18
13-30
28-10
23-24
16-19
29-17
14-15
21-16
23-20
22-15
168.0Avg total
88.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.377.7159.9+4.673%
Season at home (8)87.176.1163.2+11.088%
Season away (7)76.779.4156.1-2.757%
Last 10 (10)88.080.0168.0+8.090%
Last 5 (5)86.479.0165.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.184.6161.7-7.40%
vs Similar (16)79.279.1158.4+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.373.7159.0+11.686%
This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vila VelhaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limeira
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
A28/11
NBB
Macae
#13
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/12
NBB
Mogi
#10
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A12/12
NBB
Cearense
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A14/12
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A05/01
NBB
Goiania
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A07/01
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
50-97
50
97
-47
H13/01
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
12-20
13-23
16-16
18-21
21-24
18-19
8-25
15-20
11-19
17-24
17-14
26-20
11-25
21-26
18-23
13-21
22-14
15-25
10-18
22-27
7-18
25-21
19-32
20-24
15-23
26-20
22-15
22-23
31-23
21-21
16-28
9-22
11-18
6-31
24-26
12-16
14-10
17-23
24-26
154.5Avg total
67.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.284.5153.8-15.225%
Season at home (6)69.884.0153.8-14.233%
Season away (6)68.785.0153.7-16.317%
Last 10 (10)67.786.8154.5-19.110%
Last 5 (5)72.689.4162.0-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.687.7161.3-14.117%
vs Similar (6)75.878.0153.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (1)94.088.0182.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
PaulistanoVila Velha
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/12
NBB
Cearense
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/12
NBB
Franca
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/12
NBB
Brasilia
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H19/12
NBB
Goiania
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H21/12
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A05/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/01
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#14
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/01
NBB
82.4Avg total
44.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.377.5+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.080.2+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.674.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.982.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.280.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.741.376.0-6.629%-
vs Similar (16)39.538.678.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.934.677.4+8.386%-
This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vila VelhaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limeira
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/11
NBB
Macae
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/12
NBB
Mogi
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/12
NBB
Cearense
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A05/01
NBB
Goiania
#16
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A07/01
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H13/01
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A16/01
NBB
73.6Avg total
32.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.075.9-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.440.475.7-5.036%-
Last 30 away (16)34.641.676.1-7.019%-
Last 10 (10)32.441.273.6-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.873.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.441.375.7-6.922%-
vs Similar (6)35.540.776.2-5.233%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
3
Vila Velha wins
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/14HMinas80-66
11/01/14HSorocabana96-70
08/01/14APinheiros93-91
05/01/14APalmeiras68-75
21/12/13HGoiania95-93
19/12/13HBrasilia96-74
14/12/13AFranca84-83
12/12/13AUnitri Universo81-80
07/12/13HCearense94-79
05/12/13HMogi93-89
Vila Velhalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/14ASorocabana67-75
13/01/14HPinheiros50-97
11/01/14HPalmeiras90-95
07/01/14AGoiania83-82
05/01/14ABrasilia73-98
14/12/13ACearense60-78
12/12/13AMogi76-94
07/12/13HFlamengo60-77
05/12/13HMacae65-89
28/11/13ALimeira53-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2013-14
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game82.387.176.7
Allowed / game77.776.179.4
Point differential+4.6+11.0-2.7
Avg total159.9163.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vila Velha
NBB 2013-14
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game69.269.868.7
Allowed / game84.584.085.0
Point differential-15.2-14.2-16.3
Avg total153.8153.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1512380%81.274.7+6.5
2 Paulistano1511473%82.377.7+4.6
3 Pinheiros1611569%85.480.3+5.1
4 Limeira1611569%75.370.4+4.9
5 Brasilia1610662%83.477.8+5.6
6 Unitri Universo159660%85.382.1+3.2
7 Sao Jose169756%82.180.8+1.3
8 Franca147750%76.477.1-0.8
9 Palmeiras168850%78.479.6-1.2
10 Mogi157847%79.776.5+3.2
11 Cearense156940%75.977.1-1.2
12 Bauru145936%80.982.6-1.6
13 Minas145936%69.872.4-2.6
14 Macae1651131%78.980.1-1.2
15 Goiania1651131%76.481.2-4.8
16 Sorocabana1541127%75.184.8-9.7
17 Vila Velha123925%69.284.5-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2628212196
Vila Velha209171561
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