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Peja vs Trepca Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 79-94
Projected total 172.6
Scheduled
Position#6
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.4
Vs
90%
■ PEJ 10%■ TRE 90%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game77.2
KosovoSuperligaRound 9· Palestra sportive Karagaqi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Peja v Trepca
10 Mar 2027
PEJ v TRE
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
PEJ v TRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
PEJ96
TRE103
26 Apr 2026
PEJ95
TRE93
04 Mar 2026
PEJ95
TRE98
04 Dec 2025
PEJ67
TRE82
03 Apr 2025
PEJ73
TRE78
21 Dec 2024
PEJ65
TRE64
13 Jan 2024
PEJ69
TRE85
12 Oct 2023
PEJ92
TRE80
14 May 2023
PEJ87
TRE83
07 May 2023
PEJ107
TRE79
01 Feb 2023
PEJ v TRE
upcoming
22 Jan 2023
PEJ83
TRE91
09 Oct 2022
PEJ83
TRE72
19 May 2022
PEJ76
TRE81
15 May 2022
PEJ72
TRE66
03 Apr 2022
PEJ79
TRE71
18 Nov 2021
PEJ87
TRE93
28 Mar 2021
PEJ84
TRE76
30 Dec 2020
PEJ74
TRE64
18 Apr 2020
PEJ v TRE
upcoming
05 Dec 2019
PEJ90
TRE79
14 Mar 2018
PEJ58
TRE63
05 Nov 2017
PEJ68
TRE66
01 Apr 2017
PEJ109
TRE86
18 Jan 2017
PEJ80
TRE75
04 Dec 2016
PEJ74
TRE57
22 Apr 2016
PEJ88
TRE50
27 Feb 2016
PEJ85
TRE61
31 Oct 2015
PEJ103
TRE69
31 Jan 2015
PEJ87
TRE77
18 Oct 2014
PEJ88
TRE71
28 Feb 2014
PEJ85
TRE65
09 Oct 2013
PEJ83
TRE63
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Peja will host Trepca on 15 November 2026 in the Superliga, with the model designating Trepca as the favourite because it sits at league position 1, has a 6-2 record, scores 89.6 points per game and allows only 77.2, while Peja, in sixth place, is 2-6, averages 75.5 points and concedes 79.4, and has gone 0-4 at home with 84.8 points per game and 93.2 allowed. Trepca's road form is solid, 3-1 with 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed, and it won three of its last five, whereas Peja has lost all five of its most recent outings, including a 79-80 loss to Sigal Prishtina at home on 7 November and a 75-88 defeat to Bora on 1 November. In their ten meetings, Trepca has won seven to Peja's three, though Peja last beat Trepca 87-81 on 26 September. Pythia projects a 79-94 score, giving Trepca a 90% chance to win and a 10% chance for Peja, with a projected total of 172.6 points; the home team faces a 13.0 point line and has a 44% chance to cover, while the over at 170.5 has a 55% probability, and the game has a 2% chance of overtime. The next game will see Trepca attempt to extend its winning streak against a struggling Peja side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Peja win
10.1%fair 9.90
Best odds7.00
Implied16.5%
Edge-6.4pp
Trepca win
89.9%fair 1.11
Best odds1.11
Implied83.5%
Edge+6.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PejaKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPeja
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A19/09
Superliga
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
L
58-96
58
96
-38
42avg 76
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 76
A26/09
Superliga
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 76
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Vellaznimi
#8
L
90-99
90
99
-9
84avg 76
H04/10
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
65avg 76
A11/10
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
L
95-106
95
106
-11
91avg 76
H17/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 76
A25/10
Superliga
Bora
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 76
H01/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H07/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
11-27
18-14
12-27
17-28
20-16
27-24
16-16
24-25
12-25
31-28
19-28
21-24
21-16
28-27
20-34
21-22
20-27
24-22
22-20
13-26
21-29
25-29
27-24
22-24
22-23
27-21
10-14
20-28
17-22
14-28
22-17
22-21
17-10
28-21
17-25
17-24
158.1Avg total
74.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.579.4154.9-3.925%
Season at home (4)84.893.2178.0-8.50%
Season away (4)66.265.5131.8+0.850%
Last 10 (10)74.583.6158.1-9.120%
Last 5 (5)81.491.0172.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.683.7154.4-13.114%
vs Similar (10)73.175.3148.4-2.230%
vs Weaker (6)87.285.5172.7+1.750%
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Vellaznimi
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 85
H10/10
Superliga
Split
#20
W
78-69
78
69
+9
83avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#1
W
79-68
79
68
+11
71avg 85
A18/10
Superliga
Opava
#44
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
100-71
100
71
+29
91avg 85
H25/10
Superliga
Batumi
#50
W
91-70
91
70
+21
91avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A01/11
Superliga
Trier
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#7
W
92-58
92
58
+34
no box
H08/11
Superliga
Promitheas
#14
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-19
24-12
19-15
19-22
19-6
18-23
22-18
10-15
18-20
31-17
20-16
17-16
21-23
27-22
24-19
23-12
31-22
21-16
25-21
27-15
19-18
22-25
23-12
24-19
25-21
25-15
15-24
11-23
14-27
15-21
19-25
15-15
25-16
33-11
19-16
9-17
22-20
16-16
24-28
158.4Avg total
84.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.677.2166.9+12.475%
Season at home (4)91.871.5163.2+20.275%
Season away (4)87.583.0170.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.284.2155.5-13.025%
vs Similar (3)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.679.6173.2+14.091%
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
66.5%
Under 165.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.75 · main line
Over 170.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 170.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
42.5%
Under 175.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Peja total 75.5
Over 75.5
62.9%
@ 1.46+3.3pp
Under 75.5
37.1%
@ 2.15-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.15
Peja total 79.5 · main line
Over 79.5
47.2%
@ 1.88-1.9pp
Under 79.5
52.8%
@ 1.85+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.60
Peja total 83.5
Over 83.5
32.1%
Under 83.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepca total 87.5
Over 87.5
73.2%
Under 87.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepca total 91.5 · main line
Over 91.5
58.5%
@ 1.83+7.6pp
Under 91.5
41.5%
@ 1.83-7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.66
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Trepca total 95.5
Over 95.5
42.5%
@ 2.27+4.0pp
Under 95.5
57.5%
@ 1.42-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Peja +9.5
PEJ +9.5
32.2%
@ 2.50-3.3pp
TRE -9.5
67.8%
@ 1.38+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
PEJ
1xBet
2.50
TRE
1xBet
1.38
Spread Peja +12.5 · main line
PEJ +12.5
42.5%
@ 1.92-6.2pp
TRE -12.5
57.5%
@ 1.83+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
PEJ
1xBet
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
TRE
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.64
Spread Peja +15.5
PEJ +15.5
53.2%
@ 1.56-3.5pp
TRE -15.5
46.8%
@ 2.04+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
PEJ
1xBet
1.56
TRE
1xBet
2.04

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
PejaTrepca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PejaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A26/09
Superliga
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Vellaznimi
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H04/10
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/10
Superliga
Rahoveci
#7
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H17/10
Superliga
Bashkimi
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/10
Superliga
Bora
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H01/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
Superliga
88.0Avg total
42.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (27)40.443.684.0-3.233%41%
Last 30 at home (14)39.943.883.7-3.936%29%
Last 30 away (13)40.943.484.3-2.531%54%
Last 10 (9)42.645.488.0-2.944%67%
Last 5 (5)43.046.489.4-3.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.645.585.1-5.925%50%
vs Similar (9)40.840.781.4+0.144%33%
vs Weaker (6)41.544.285.7-2.733%33%
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vellaznimi
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H10/10
Superliga
Split
#20
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bora
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A18/10
Superliga
Opava
#44
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#4
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H25/10
Superliga
Batumi
#50
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sigal Prishtina
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/11
Superliga
Trier
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/11
Superliga
Promitheas
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
77.0Avg total
40.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)43.739.282.9+4.570%53%
Last 30 at home (13)45.838.584.2+7.369%62%
Last 30 away (17)42.139.881.8+2.371%47%
Last 10 (10)40.037.077.0+3.060%30%
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.240.073.2-6.825%0%
vs Similar (3)33.741.375.0-7.70%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.838.885.6+8.087%65%
This opponent (Peja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
PEJ win
no forecast
@ 4.65
TRE win
no forecast
@ 1.31
1st half Spread Peja +6.5 · main line
PEJ +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
TRE -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Peja 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Trepca 1st half total 45.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: PEJ + total 84.5
PEJ & over
no forecast
@ 6.25
PEJ & under
no forecast
@ 6.25
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 34.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 34.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
PEJ
no forecast
@ 4.85
Draw
no forecast
@ 20.00
TRE
no forecast
@ 1.35

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PEJ win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
TRE win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PEJ leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TRE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 3 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pejatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Peja: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.0
71.4%
69.7%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.9
60.7%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.919.3
74.5%
69.7%19.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Peja
LLLLLLLWLW
Trepca
LWLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-12.6
Net rating
+11.0
94.6
Offensive rating
100.5
107.2
Defensive rating
89.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
61.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.42
32.8%
3-point %
29.9%
58.0%
Assist %
71.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 100.5Defence107.2 · 89.5Shooting51.8% · 53.2%3-point %32.8% · 29.9%Ball care17.0% · 14.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Peja   ■ Trepca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Peja wins
7
Trepca wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Trepca v Peja81-87
03/05/26Peja v Trepca96-103
30/04/26Trepca v Peja123-79
26/04/26Peja v Trepca95-93
23/04/26Trepca v Peja86-78
04/03/26Peja v Trepca95-98 OT
15/01/26Trepca v Peja98-61
04/12/25Peja v Trepca67-82
05/10/25Trepca v Peja80-86
03/04/25Peja v Trepca73-78
Pejalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HSigal Prishtina79-80
01/11/26HBora75-88
25/10/26ABashkimi79-86
17/10/26HRahoveci95-106
11/10/26AGolden Eagle Ylli79-95
04/10/26HVellaznimi90-99
30/09/26ADinamo Bucharest83-105
26/09/26ATrepca87-81
23/09/26HDinamo Bucharest58-96
19/09/26ASigal Prishtina20-0
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APromitheas71-81
08/11/26HRahoveci92-58
04/11/26ATrier59-96
01/11/26ASigal Prishtina89-79
28/10/26ABatumi91-70
25/10/26HGolden Eagle Ylli100-71
21/10/26HOpava89-80
18/10/26ABora79-68
14/10/26ASplit78-69
10/10/26HVellaznimi94-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Peja
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game75.584.866.2
Allowed / game79.493.265.5
Point differential-3.9-8.5+0.8
Avg total154.9178.0131.8
Over 170.7538%50%25%
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trepca
Superliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.691.887.5
Allowed / game77.271.583.0
Point differential+12.4+20.2+4.5
Avg total166.9163.2170.5
Over 170.7525%25%25%
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bora97278%77.769.1+8.6
2 Trepca86275%89.677.2+12.4
3 Bashkimi86275%87.577.6+9.9
4 Golden Eagle Ylli95456%82.384.9-2.6
5 Sigal Prishtina94544%68.873.3-4.6
6 Peja82625%75.579.4-3.9
7 Rahoveci82625%85.995.8-9.9
8 Vellaznimi92722%78.987.9-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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