Penarol vs Capitol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022

Tip-off: 00:15

Final 73-66

27-20 16-16 17-17 13-13

Position#3

Record10-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game73.5

Penarol 🏆

Capitol

Position#14

Record2-14

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game87.2

Liga UruguayaRound 19

Other2021-22

Meetings · Penarol v Capitol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Capitol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nacional

76-75

A21/01

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

#12

96-70

+26

A24/01

Liga Uruguaya

San Lorenzo

#16

82-72

+10

H27/01

Liga A

Aguada

83-85

-2

H29/01

Liga Uruguaya

Union De Santa Fe

#17

80-65

+15

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpia Kings

77-74

H01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Boca Juniors

68-71

-3

H03/02

Liga A

Goes

51-66

-15

H05/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

72-66

A08/02

Liga Uruguaya

Boca Juniors

85-69

+16

A10/02

Liga A

18-21

22-20

16-20

20-14

22-11

20-18

28-20

26-21

17-13

20-18

25-24

20-17

21-19

19-23

16-19

27-24

24-18

14-13

24-24

18-10

21-18

19-14

17-20

20-22

22-18

13-12

14-17

19-24

11-20

13-18

13-8

14-20

17-11

16-6

12-11

27-38

23-20

7-13

32-15

23-21

148.3Avg total

77.0Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.5	73.5	150.0	+2.9	59%
Season at home (8)	79.2	72.2	151.5	+7.0	62%
Season away (9)	74.0	74.7	148.7	-0.7	56%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	71.3	148.3	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	69.2	139.8	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	78.0	149.0	-7.0	50%
vs Similar (13)	82.6	76.8	159.5	+5.8	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.4	72.0	154.4	+10.4	93%

This opponent (Capitol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Capitol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

82-99

-17

A07/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

87-77

+10

A11/12

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

#10

65-69

-4

H16/12

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

83-89

-6

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

90-104

104

-14

A08/01

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

#12

100-105

100

105

-5

H12/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

77-61

+16

H15/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

79-90

-11

H01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

88-110

110

-22

A05/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olivol Mundial

#13

76-87

-11

H07/02

Liga Uruguaya

22-23

24-23

14-23

22-30

26-12

20-21

13-25

28-19

16-23

17-12

19-18

13-16

14-22

29-15

26-34

14-18

16-27

24-17

23-28

27-32

15-29

24-28

32-23

29-25

14-14

20-13

17-17

26-17

22-24

15-19

20-23

22-24

16-32

24-25

25-23

23-30

20-17

18-23

23-18

15-29

171.8Avg total

82.7Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.2	87.2	166.4	-7.9	12%
Season at home (9)	77.1	81.6	158.7	-4.4	11%
Season away (7)	82.0	94.4	176.4	-12.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	89.1	171.8	-6.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	90.6	174.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	79.2	87.2	166.4	-7.9	12%
vs Similar (9)	76.8	82.3	159.1	-5.6	33%
vs Weaker (5)	93.6	85.6	179.2	+8.0	80%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolCapitol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.7	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	21.4	41.0	-1.9	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.2	40.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	23.5	46.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.0	36.1	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	16.8	35.1	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	15.5	31.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	12.6	26.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.0	16.5	27.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+2.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.5	38.7	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	40%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nacional

40-41

-1

A21/01

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

#12

42-29

+13

A24/01

Liga Uruguaya

San Lorenzo

#16

37-31

H27/01

Liga A

Aguada

40-42

-2

H29/01

Liga Uruguaya

Union De Santa Fe

#17

38-31

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpia Kings

40-32

H01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Boca Juniors

35-30

H03/02

Liga A

Goes

24-38

-14

H05/02

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

33-17

+16

A08/02

Liga Uruguaya

Boca Juniors

30-33

-3

A10/02

Liga A

68.3Avg total

35.9Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.4	36.1	75.5	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.4	35.4	74.8	+4.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	32.4	68.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	30.0	62.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	39.5	70.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.0	36.9	76.9	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.0	34.3	74.3	+5.7	80%	-

This opponent (Capitol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CapitolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

46-46

A07/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

46-33

+13

A11/12

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

#10

33-35

-2

H16/12

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

43-37

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

40-44

-4

A08/01

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

#12

39-57

-18

H12/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

34-27

H15/01

Liga Uruguaya

Urupan

37-43

-6

H01/02

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

40-57

-17

A05/02

Liga Uruguaya

Olivol Mundial

#13

38-40

-2

H07/02

Liga Uruguaya

81.5Avg total

39.6Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	41.8	82.3	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	39.5	79.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	44.2	84.9	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.9	81.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	44.8	82.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.5	43.5	88.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.4	39.0	82.4	+4.4	60%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.2	31.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.2	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	22.6	42.8	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.3	23.0	45.4	-0.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	25.4	49.3	-1.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	12%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.6	23.6	50.2	+3.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	38.7	81.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	38.2	80.6	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.3	39.3	81.6	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.2	77.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.4	37.7	80.1	+4.7	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.2	45.9	89.1	-2.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	44.3	86.8	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	47.6	91.6	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	47.2	90.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	45.8	92.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.7	45.4	87.1	-3.7	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.8	46.6	88.4	-4.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.2	46.6	96.8	+3.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Capitol wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/21	Capitol v Penarol	73-78
27/03/21	Penarol v Capitol	20-0

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/22	A	Boca Juniors	85-69
08/02/22	A	Urunday	72-66
05/02/22	H	Goes	51-66
03/02/22	H	Boca Juniors	68-71
01/02/22	H	Olimpia Kings	77-74
01/02/22	H	Union De Santa Fe	80-65
29/01/22	H	Aguada	83-85
27/01/22	H	San Lorenzo	82-72
24/01/22	A	Hebraica y Macabi	96-70
21/01/22	A	Nacional	76-75

Capitollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/22	H	Olivol Mundial	76-87
05/02/22	A	Aguada	88-110
01/02/22	H	Urupan	79-90
15/01/22	H	Urunday	77-61
12/01/22	H	Hebraica y Macabi	100-105
08/01/22	A	Olimpia Kings	90-104
22/12/21	H	Nacional	83-89
16/12/21	H	Defensor	65-69
11/12/21	A	Trouville	87-77
07/12/21	A	Malvin	82-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga Uruguaya 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	59%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	59%	62%	56%
Points / game	76.5	79.2	74.0
Allowed / game	73.5	72.2	74.7
Point differential	+2.9	+7.0	-0.7
Avg total	150.0	151.5	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	38%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Capitol

Liga Uruguaya 2021-22

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	12%
Home	LLWLL	11%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	12%	11%	14%
Points / game	79.2	77.1	82.0
Allowed / game	87.2	81.6	94.4
Point differential	-7.9	-4.4	-12.4
Avg total	166.4	158.7	176.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	11%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Goes	18	16	2	89%	77.2	67.3	+9.8
2	Bigua	16	13	3	81%	86.8	80.6	+6.1
3	Urupan	17	12	5	71%	86.6	80.9	+5.6
4	Aguada	17	11	6	65%	78.4	74.4	+4.0
5	Penarol	17	10	7	59%	76.5	73.5	+2.9
6	Olimpia Kings	17	9	8	53%	83.1	80.6	+2.5
7	Malvin	17	9	8	53%	79.2	81.8	-2.6
8	Nacional	16	7	9	44%	84.5	86.1	-1.6
9	Hebraica y Macabi	17	7	10	41%	81.4	85.4	-4.0
10	Olivol Mundial	17	6	11	35%	77.5	79.9	-2.4
11	Trouville	17	6	11	35%	81.9	85.1	-3.2
12	Defensor	18	6	12	33%	75.1	78.7	-3.7
13	Urunday	16	4	12	25%	77.6	84.2	-6.6
14	Capitol	16	2	14	12%	79.2	87.2	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	27	16	17	13	73
Capitol	20	16	17	13	66

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Capitol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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