PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Femenina Women
Penarol W will host Quilmes W in the Liga Femenina Women on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Quilmes W the favourite, assigning it a 75% chance of victory because of their 4-2 record, 67.2 points per game and only 60.0 points allowed per game, while Penarol W struggles at 1-5, 53.2 points per game and 64.3 points allowed per game; the model projects a 63-70 final score and a total of 132.9 points, with a 4% probability of overtime. Penarol W has gone 1-5 overall, scoring 53.2 points per game and allowing 64.3, and at home they are 0-2, 41.0 points per game and 64.5 points allowed; their last five games include a 58-63 loss to Independiente Neuquen W, a 69-54 win over El Bigua W and a 47-76 defeat by Boca W. Quilmes W is 4-2 overall, 67.2 points per game and 60.0 points allowed, and on the road they are 2-1, 66.3 points per game and 60.0 points allowed; their last five games feature a 65-56 win over Union Bahia W, a 70-54 win at home over Velez Sarsfield W and a 65-74 loss to Boca W. In their only prior meeting, Quilmes W beat Penarol W 69-52 on 10 October 2026, a result that echoes the current statistical edge.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 53.2 | 64.3 | 117.5 | -11.2 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 41.0 | 64.5 | 105.5 | -23.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 59.2 | 64.2 | 123.5 | -5.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (6) | 53.2 | 64.3 | 117.5 | -11.2 | 17% |
| Last 5 (5) | 53.4 | 63.4 | 116.8 | -10.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 48.0 | 65.2 | 113.2 | -17.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (1) | 69.0 | 54.0 | 123.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 58.0 | 71.0 | 129.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 67.2 | 60.0 | 127.2 | +7.2 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 68.0 | 60.0 | 128.0 | +8.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 66.3 | 60.0 | 126.3 | +6.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (6) | 67.2 | 60.0 | 127.2 | +7.2 | 67% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.8 | 61.6 | 128.4 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 65.0 | 74.0 | 139.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 64.5 | 57.0 | 121.5 | +7.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 69.7 | 57.3 | 127.0 | +12.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (6) | 25.5 | 33.2 | 58.7 | -7.7 | 17% | - |
| Last 30 at home (2) | 20.5 | 33.0 | 53.5 | -12.5 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 away (4) | 28.0 | 33.2 | 61.2 | -5.2 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (6) | 25.5 | 33.2 | 58.7 | -7.7 | 17% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.4 | 33.4 | 59.8 | -7.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 21.5 | 33.5 | 55.0 | -12.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (1) | 34.0 | 26.0 | 60.0 | +8.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 33.0 | 39.0 | 72.0 | -6.0 | 0% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (6) | 32.3 | 28.3 | 60.7 | +4.0 | 83% | - |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 30.7 | 29.0 | 59.7 | +1.7 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (3) | 34.0 | 27.7 | 61.7 | +6.3 | 100% | - |
| Last 10 (6) | 32.3 | 28.3 | 60.7 | +4.0 | 83% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.4 | 29.8 | 62.2 | +2.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 31.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | -10.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 29.5 | 26.5 | 56.0 | +3.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 34.7 | 25.3 | 60.0 | +9.3 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Independiente Neuquen W | 58-63 |
| 06/11/26 | A | El Bigua W | 69-54 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Boca W | 47-76 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Velez Sarsfield W | 35-53 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Union Bahia W | 58-71 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Quilmes W | 52-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Union Bahia W | 65-56 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Velez Sarsfield W | 70-54 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Boca W | 65-74 |
| 17/10/26 | A | El Bigua W | 75-64 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Independiente Neuquen W | 59-60 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Penarol W | 69-52 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 17% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Points / game | 53.2 | 41.0 | 59.2 |
| Allowed / game | 64.3 | 64.5 | 64.2 |
| Point differential | -11.2 | -23.5 | -5.0 |
| Avg total | 117.5 | 105.5 | 123.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 67% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Points / game | 67.2 | 68.0 | 66.3 |
| Allowed / game | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Point differential | +7.2 | +8.0 | +6.3 |
| Avg total | 127.2 | 128.0 | 126.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rocamora W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 |
| 2 |  Obras Sanitarias W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 73.6 | 68.7 | +4.9 |
| 3 | Independiente Neuquen W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 63.7 | 59.0 | +4.7 |
| 4 |  El Talar W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 72.0 | 58.0 | +14.0 |
| 5 | Boca W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.9 | 58.9 | +16.0 |
| 6 | Hindu W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 69.3 | 54.4 | +14.9 |
| 7 |  Instituto W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 69.0 | 59.3 | +9.7 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 62.4 | 57.3 | +5.1 |
| 9 |  Berazategui W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 77.0 | 62.8 | +14.2 |
| 10 | Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 11 |  Union Florida W | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 63.3 | 59.3 | +4.0 |
| 12 |  Ferro W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 62.2 | +9.9 |
| 13 |  San Jose W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 55.8 | 54.8 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Chanares W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 63.2 | 65.2 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Penarol W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 53.2 | 64.3 | -11.2 |
| 16 | El Bigua W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 58.6 | 67.9 | -9.3 |
| 17 | Union Bahia W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 51.1 | 66.6 | -15.4 |
| 18 |  Avellaneda W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 57.8 | 69.8 | -12.0 |
| 19 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 52.0 | 78.8 | -26.8 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 29.2 | 81.8 | -52.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol W | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 61 |
| Quilmes W | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 48 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
