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Penn State vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-60
18-11 24-12 23-18 10-19
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.7
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game64.0
USANITNIT - Semi-finals
Other2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#10
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H19/03
CBI
Siena
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/03
CBI
Temple
#20
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H15/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A17/03
NIT
Marquette
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A20/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-25
0-0
36-40
0-0
21-25
0-0
31-29
12-16
12-13
20-19
19-9
21-10
7-13
22-13
23-27
25-22
16-12
22-17
22-29
132.2Avg total
68.4Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.766.7140.3+7.0100%
Season at home (1)63.057.0120.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)79.071.5150.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (5)68.463.8132.2+4.680%
Last 5 (5)68.463.8132.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)52.054.0106.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)79.071.5150.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#4
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
H13/03
NIT
Nebraska
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H15/03
NIT
Baylor
#9
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A18/03
NIT
Louisville
#8
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A21/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-41
0-0
41-31
19-12
14-16
17-17
16-14
24-15
23-18
10-25
21-19
20-12
19-16
20-13
20-15
153.0Avg total
79.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.364.0138.3+10.3100%
Season at home (1)66.059.0125.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (4)79.873.2153.0+6.575%
Last 5 (4)79.873.2153.0+6.575%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)78.077.0155.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (1)79.056.0135.0+23.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.8+4.8
Penn StateMississippi St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H19/03
CBI
Siena
#1
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A24/03
CBI
Temple
#20
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H15/03
NIT
Notre Dame
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A17/03
NIT
Marquette
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/03
NIT
56.6Avg total
29.4Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)29.427.256.6+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (2)28.527.055.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (3)30.027.357.3+2.767%-
Last 10 (5)29.427.256.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)29.427.256.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)21.025.046.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.528.563.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H13/03
NIT
Nebraska
#22
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H15/03
NIT
Baylor
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A18/03
NIT
Louisville
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A21/03
NIT
70.0Avg total
37.5Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)37.532.570.0+5.075%-
Last 30 at home (2)32.034.566.5-2.550%-
Last 30 away (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
Last 10 (4)37.532.570.0+5.075%-
Last 5 (4)37.532.570.0+5.075%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (1)39.028.067.0+11.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penn State wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
No previous meetings.
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18AMarquette85-80
17/03/18ANotre Dame73-63
15/03/18HTemple63-57
24/03/14ASiena52-54
19/03/14HHampton69-65
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18ALouisville79-56
18/03/18ABaylor78-77
15/03/18HNebraska66-59
13/03/12HUMass96-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NIT 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.763.079.0
Allowed / game66.757.071.5
Point differential+7.0+6.0+7.5
Avg total140.3120.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NIT 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.366.078.5
Allowed / game64.059.066.5
Point differential+10.3+7.0+12.0
Avg total138.3125.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Utes440100%75.063.0+12.0
2 Mississippi St.330100%74.364.0+10.3
3 Penn State330100%73.766.7+7.0
4 Western Kentucky43175%78.572.5+6.0
5 St. Marys (CA)32167%77.364.3+13.0
6 Marquette32167%82.779.0+3.7
7 Oklahoma State32167%78.375.0+3.3
8 Louisville32167%68.768.3+0.3
9 Baylor21150%78.568.5+10.0
10 Middle Tenn. St.21150%79.574.0+5.5
11 Notre Dame21150%73.568.0+5.5
12 Oregon21150%95.593.5+2.0
13 USC21150%89.088.5+0.5
14 Washington21150%79.079.5-0.5
15 Stanford21150%75.577.0-1.5
16 LSU21150%77.585.5-8.0
17 Boise State1010%74.077.0-3.0
18 Brigham Young1010%83.086.0-3.0
19 UNC Asheville1010%98.0103.0-5.0
20 Temple1010%57.063.0-6.0
21 Harvard1010%60.067.0-7.0
22 Nebraska1010%59.066.0-7.0
23 Louisiana Lafayette1010%76.084.0-8.0
24 Northern Kentucky1010%58.066.0-8.0
25 UC Davis1010%59.069.0-10.0
26 Florida Gulf Coast1010%68.080.0-12.0
27 Rider1010%86.099.0-13.0
28 Boston College1010%62.079.0-17.0
29 Hampton1010%63.084.0-21.0
30 Wagner1010%59.080.0-21.0
31 Vermont1010%64.091.0-27.0
32 SE Louisiana1010%45.089.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penn State1824231075
Mississippi St.1112181960
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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