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Penza W vs Tirana W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-68
23-14 25-24 18-13 23-17
Position#4
Record1-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.6
Penza W 🏆
vs
Tirana W
Position#3
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeLiga Unike WomenRound 6· Palestra sportive Karagaqi
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penza WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bashkimi W
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
39avg 53
H19/01
Superliga Women
Tirana W
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
53avg 53
A23/01
Liga Unike Women
United Basketball W
#6
W
68-37
68
37
+31
65avg 53
H28/01
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 53
A30/01
Liga Unike Women
Peja W
#3
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 53
A02/02
Superliga Women
Flamurtari W
#5
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 53
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
43avg 53
H10/02
Superliga Women
Partizani W
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 53
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
52avg 53
H21/02
Liga Unike Women
Trepca W
#5
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H24/02
Superliga Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
17-24
14-13
18-27
12-22
15-24
15-24
25-16
15-15
23-8
13-9
17-5
23-15
17-24
20-18
15-24
22-19
16-13
14-13
20-20
23-21
17-24
17-17
28-32
11-20
13-24
19-20
22-18
22-17
23-17
17-24
20-18
14-14
17-17
13-14
18-21
16-18
18-19
23-17
25-24
146.4Avg total
71.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.280.6154.8-6.420%
Season at home (2)73.580.0153.5-6.50%
Season away (3)74.781.0155.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)71.774.7146.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)75.279.2154.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)66.282.6148.8-16.414%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.085.3163.3-7.333%
vs Weaker (6)76.249.3125.5+26.8100%
This opponent (Tirana W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tirana WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Penza W
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
88avg 59
H23/01
Liga Unike Women
Flamurtari W
#5
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A30/01
Liga Unike Women
Partizani W
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 59
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
40-83
40
83
-43
23avg 59
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
56-71
56
71
-15
42avg 59
H20/02
Liga Unike Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
24-15
24-15
16-25
–
–
–
–
23-19
16-21
22-11
27-31
13-22
10-24
11-16
6-21
10-24
18-13
16-15
12-19
140.4Avg total
66.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.673.8140.4-7.240%
Season at home (3)76.773.3150.0+3.367%
Season away (2)51.574.5126.0-23.00%
Last 10 (5)66.673.8140.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)66.673.8140.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.077.0125.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.566.5141.0+8.050%
vs Weaker (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Penza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -8.8-8.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -8.8-8.8
Penza WTirana W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bashkimi W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H19/01
Superliga Women
Tirana W
#3
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A23/01
Liga Unike Women
United Basketball W
#6
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H28/01
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/01
Liga Unike Women
Peja W
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A02/02
Superliga Women
Flamurtari W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H10/02
Superliga Women
Partizani W
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
Liga Unike Women
Trepca W
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/02
Superliga Women
71.7Avg total
34.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.671.7-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.938.270.1-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)36.437.073.4-0.660%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.371.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.273.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)31.440.972.3-9.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.341.779.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (6)42.024.266.2+17.8100%-
This opponent (Tirana W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tirana WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penza W
#4
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H23/01
Liga Unike Women
Partizani W
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/02
Liga Unike Women
71.5Avg total
34.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)34.037.571.5-3.525%-
Last 30 at home (3)37.734.772.3+3.033%-
Last 30 away (1)23.046.069.0-23.00%-
Last 10 (4)34.037.571.5-3.525%-
Last 5 (4)34.037.571.5-3.525%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.541.567.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)46.027.073.0+19.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)39.040.079.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Penza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penza W: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
62%
24%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.622.3
43.2%
45.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.64.5
23.0%
28.7%13.5
🏀 Free throws21.113.1
62.1%
66.4%13.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tirana Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
62%
24%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.0
50.0%
45.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.0
24.1%
28.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws11.27.5
66.7%
66.4%7.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penza W
WLWLLWLWLL
Tirana W
LLWLW
#4
League position
#3
-12.1
Net rating
-7.5
83.9
Offensive rating
85.5
96.0
Defensive rating
93.0
40.8%
Effective FG%
45.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
17.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.17
23.0%
3-point %
24.1%
48.9%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/5)
40%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 85.5Defence96.0 · 93.0Shooting40.8% · 45.7%3-point %23.0% · 24.1%Ball care20.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 17.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.17Form (last 10/5)40% · 40%
■ Penza W   ■ Tirana W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penza W wins
1
Tirana W wins
DateGameScore
23/01/24Tirana W v Penza W86-67
Penza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HTrepca W82-78
21/02/24HBashkimi W62-66
13/02/24APartizani W82-76
10/02/24HPrishtina W65-82
06/02/24HFlamurtari W85-94
02/02/24APeja W72-65
30/01/24APrishtina W75-81
28/01/24HUnited Basketball W68-37
23/01/24ATirana W67-86
19/01/24HBashkimi W59-82
Tirana Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/24HPrishtina W56-71
13/02/24ABashkimi W40-83
06/02/24HPartizani W88-82
30/01/24AFlamurtari W63-66
23/01/24HPenza W86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penza W
Liga Unike Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game74.273.574.7
Allowed / game80.680.081.0
Point differential-6.4-6.5-6.3
Avg total154.8153.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tirana W
Liga Unike Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game66.676.751.5
Allowed / game73.873.374.5
Point differential-7.2+3.3-23.0
Avg total140.4150.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bashkimi W660100%76.057.3+18.7
2 Prishtina W65183%69.060.0+9.0
3 Tirana W52340%66.673.8-7.2
4 Flamurtari W62433%64.372.3-8.0
5 Penza W51420%74.280.6-6.4
6 Partizani W61517%67.375.7-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penza W2325182389
Tirana W1424131768
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