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Plzen vs USK Prague Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-84
21-20 24-17 14-20 22-27
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game104.0
Plzen
Czech Republic
vs
USK Prague 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#8
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game83.7
Czech RepublicNBLRound 4· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plzen v USK Prague
30 Sep 2026
PLZE81
USK 84
16 Nov 2015
PLZE53
USK 75
09 Dec 2011
PLZE64
USK 70
26 Mar 2011
PLZE71
USK 73
03 Nov 2010
PLZE66
USK 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USK Prague winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
60avg 72
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 72
H01/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
52avg 72
A06/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 72
H15/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 72
A20/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
80avg 72
H27/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
94-107
94
107
-13
82avg 72
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#5
L
79-109
79
109
-30
68avg 72
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
74-115
74
115
-41
56avg 72
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 72
H27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
25-18
18-23
14-14
17-16
10-24
16-18
25-16
15-24
26-25
8-21
17-17
18-15
24-23
22-21
21-18
25-19
21-23
21-20
20-20
22-30
22-20
17-18
24-17
19-28
23-35
28-12
24-32
13-20
30-28
19-31
17-30
10-28
20-23
19-30
25-34
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
173.0Avg total
80.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.0104.0182.0-26.00%
Season at home (2)80.098.5178.5-18.50%
Season away (1)74.0115.0189.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)80.692.4173.0-11.820%
Last 5 (5)83.8103.0186.8-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.299.8177.0-22.50%
vs Similar (6)82.278.3160.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (20)83.073.5156.6+9.570%
This opponent (USK Prague) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK PragueCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrague
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
88avg 70
H21/03
NBL
Slavia Prague
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 70
A25/03
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 70
A28/03
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
65-95
65
95
-30
51avg 70
A04/04
NBL
Slavia Prague
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
58avg 70
H11/04
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
65-78
65
78
-13
51avg 70
A21/04
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
86avg 70
H23/04
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 70
H19/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
57-74
57
74
-17
45avg 70
A23/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 70
H26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
26-24
25-32
18-18
26-24
17-16
24-30
18-13
14-28
21-17
16-29
18-23
17-28
16-22
25-24
7-21
25-15
16-26
19-18
16-22
18-26
22-13
10-21
15-18
29-30
19-25
23-21
21-24
18-27
25-16
18-23
19-22
15-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
24-16
20-16
20-25
16-32
163.1Avg total
75.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.383.7156.0-11.30%
Season at home (2)80.088.5168.5-8.50%
Season away (1)57.074.0131.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)75.987.2163.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)74.885.8160.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.291.0169.2-12.88%
vs Similar (18)82.981.7164.6+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.8-5.8
PlzenUSK Prague
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A20/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
85.5Avg total
38.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.880.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.680.3+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.539.179.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.547.085.5-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.053.491.4-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.050.284.2-16.20%-
vs Similar (6)42.036.878.8+5.283%-
vs Weaker (20)42.437.179.5+5.260%-
This opponent (USK Prague) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK PragueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H21/03
NBL
Slavia Prague
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/03
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A04/04
NBL
Slavia Prague
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/04
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/04
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H23/04
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H26/09
NBL
82.2Avg total
40.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.684.5-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.541.484.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.745.584.2-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.245.685.8-5.317%-
vs Similar (18)41.442.283.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.4
47.1%
52.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.19.4
27.6%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.614.9
65.9%
68.8%14.9
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USK Praguetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.6
50.8%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.415.7
64.3%
68.8%15.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
LLLLLWWLLL
USK Prague
LLLLLLLLWW
#11
League position
#8
-13.0
Net rating
-12.6
83.3
Offensive rating
86.9
96.3
Defensive rating
99.4
44.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.6%
3-point %
30.3%
59.4%
Assist %
54.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 86.9Defence96.3 · 99.4Shooting44.4% · 48.8%3-point %27.6% · 30.3%Ball care14.3% · 17.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Plzen   ■ USK Prague
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plzen wins
7
USK Prague wins
DateGameScore
16/11/15Plzen v USK Prague53-75
09/12/11Plzen v USK Prague64-70
08/10/11USK Prague v Plzen91-64
26/03/11Plzen v USK Prague71-73 OT
26/02/11USK Prague v Plzen67-58
29/01/11USK Prague v Plzen76-65
03/11/10Plzen v USK Prague66-85
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88
23/09/26AUsti n. Labem74-115
17/09/26HDecin79-109
29/03/26ASvitavy94-107
27/03/26HSvitavy91-96 OT
20/03/26APardubice 287-82
15/03/26HNovy Jicin85-77
06/03/26AZlin66-87
01/03/26HPardubice 268-74
20/02/26ANovy Jicin81-89 OT
USK Praguelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HUsti n. Labem80-89
23/09/26ADecin57-74
19/09/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK80-88
23/04/26HSrsni Pisek92-100
21/04/26ASrsni Pisek65-78
11/04/26HSlavia Prague76-81
04/04/26AOlomoucko65-95
28/03/26AHradec Kralove69-97
25/03/26ASlavia Prague85-83
21/03/26HOlomoucko90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.080.074.0
Allowed / game104.098.5115.0
Point differential-26.0-18.5-41.0
Avg total182.0178.5189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USK Prague
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.380.057.0
Allowed / game83.788.574.0
Point differential-11.3-8.5-17.0
Avg total156.0168.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pardubice330100%91.070.3+20.7
2 Slavia Prague ERA NBK330100%103.385.7+17.7
3 Srsni Pisek330100%93.082.0+11.0
4 Usti n. Labem32167%94.078.0+16.0
5 Decin32167%86.373.0+13.3
6 NH Ostrava32167%83.376.7+6.7
7 Hradec Kralove31233%86.093.3-7.3
8 Opava31233%80.393.0-12.7
9 Olomoucko31233%70.789.7-19.0
10 Brno3030%83.792.7-9.0
11 USK Prague3030%72.383.7-11.3
12 Plzen3030%78.0104.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Plzen2124142281
USK Prague2017202784
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