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Polabi vs Litomerice Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 85-80
Projected total 164.9
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.4
Vs
65%
35%
■ POLA 65%■ LITO 35%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.4
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 9· MSH Ostende
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polabi v Litomerice
15 Nov 2026
POLA v LITO
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
POLA87
LITO61
24 Nov 2024
POLA78
LITO73
19 Nov 2023
POLA89
LITO91
13 Nov 2022
POLA76
LITO74
26 Sep 2021
POLA62
LITO98
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Polabi host Litomerice on 15 November 2026 in the 1. Liga, with the model favouring the home side at 65% versus 35% for the visitors; the projected score is 85-80 and the total is 164.9, a slight edge over the 164.5 line with a 50% chance of the over. Polabi finish the season 2-6, averaging 82.8 points and conceding 84.4, while Litomerice sit 3-4, 78.7 points for and 81.4 against, placing them 12th. At home Polabi are 1-2, 80.7 for and 80.3 against, and on the road Litomerice are 2-1, 80.0 for and 80.7 against. Polabi's last five were 1-4, including a 93-100 loss to Sokol Prazsky, a 79-80 defeat to CZ.ACADEMY, and a 86-75 win over Slavia Prague Tygri, whereas Litomerice are 3-2, having beaten Liberecko 67-64, Radotin 89-83 and lost to Valecnici Decin 78-88. In the ten meetings Litomerice lead 7-3, most recently winning 99-89 on 23 January 2026, and the home team's line of -4.5 carries a 51% probability of covering; the game has a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polabi win
65.3%fair 1.53
Best odds1.50
Implied65.6%
Edge-0.3pp
Litomerice win
34.7%fair 2.88
Best odds2.63
Implied34.4%
Edge+0.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolabiCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolabi
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
L
91-100
91
100
-9
83avg 74
H15/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
L
73-111
73
111
-38
53avg 74
A20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
60avg 74
A18/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
88-72
88
72
+16
77avg 74
H27/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
L
93-98
93
98
-5
76avg 74
A04/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 74
A11/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 74
H18/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 74
A23/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 74
H01/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
19-29
26-16
24-21
14-37
11-24
28-26
20-24
19-20
24-29
18-23
14-12
27-14
17-20
28-22
16-16
18-20
23-19
16-32
36-27
18-18
11-20
21-18
23-21
14-19
22-22
30-23
9-25
23-22
28-14
13-14
22-25
16-30
24-13
24-19
15-18
13-23
13-21
35-15
22-24
171.2Avg total
82.6Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.884.4167.1-1.625%
Season at home (3)80.780.3161.0+0.333%
Season away (5)84.086.8170.8-2.820%
Last 10 (10)82.688.6171.2-6.020%
Last 5 (5)81.284.2165.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.985.1161.0-9.222%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.081.4164.4+1.650%
vs Weaker (5)92.287.2179.4+5.060%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 73
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
49avg 73
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 73
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
50avg 73
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
80-96
80
96
-16
65avg 73
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
81avg 73
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
56avg 73
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 73
H23/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
A10/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
21-15
20-30
13-15
13-18
27-30
7-18
15-22
22-26
7-14
19-18
16-17
21-17
15-17
17-20
17-22
20-24
22-20
20-29
18-23
24-21
19-18
27-21
23-22
22-16
18-23
17-14
13-17
13-17
27-25
18-23
20-23
25-9
19-22
21-20
24-32
15-15
19-15
11-13
22-21
157.5Avg total
75.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.781.4160.1-2.743%
Season at home (4)77.882.0159.8-4.225%
Season away (3)80.080.7160.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)75.382.2157.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)80.279.6159.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.284.8162.0-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.283.2167.4+0.958%
vs Weaker (6)87.376.8164.2+10.5100%
This opponent (Polabi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
63.4%
Under 159
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164 · main line
Over 164
51.3%
@ 1.83+1.3pp
Under 164
48.7%
@ 1.83-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Over/Under 169
Over 169
39.1%
Under 169
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Polabi total 80
Over 80
68.1%
Under 80
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polabi total 84 · main line
Over 84
52.5%
@ 1.70+1.9pp
Under 84
47.5%
@ 1.74-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
1.74
Polabi total 88
Over 88
36.5%
Under 88
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Litomerice total 75.5
Over 75.5
67.1%
@ 1.37+3.2pp
Under 75.5
32.9%
@ 2.43-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.43
Litomerice total 79.5 · main line
Over 79.5
52.2%
@ 1.78+1.3pp
Under 79.5
47.8%
@ 1.87-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.74
Litomerice total 83.5
Over 83.5
37.1%
@ 2.33-0.5pp
Under 83.5
62.9%
@ 1.40+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Polabi -7.5
POLA -7.5
39.7%
@ 2.19-0.6pp
LITO +7.5
60.3%
@ 1.48+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
POLA
1xBet
2.19
LITO
1xBet
1.48
Spread Polabi -4.5 · main line
POLA -4.5
51.0%
@ 1.83+0.3pp
LITO +4.5
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
POLA
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.79
1xBet
1.75
LITO
SBO
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Spread Polabi -1.5
POLA -1.5
62.6%
LITO +1.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
POLA
No market prices yet.
LITO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
PolabiLitomerice
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H15/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
L
25-61
25
61
-36
A20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A06/11
1. Liga
82.4Avg total
37.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.4-2.340%47%
Last 30 at home (14)40.841.482.2-0.643%57%
Last 30 away (16)37.641.278.8-3.738%38%
Last 10 (10)37.644.882.4-7.230%50%
Last 5 (5)36.440.476.8-4.020%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.642.077.6-6.422%33%
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.141.780.8-2.638%50%
vs Weaker (5)45.439.084.4+6.480%60%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlin
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A10/11
1. Liga
78.2Avg total
39.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)41.440.081.4+1.450%40%
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.479.9+1.250%25%
Last 30 away (14)42.440.883.1+1.650%57%
Last 10 (10)39.139.178.2+0.050%30%
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.080%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.841.881.5-2.042%33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.240.783.9+2.642%50%
vs Weaker (6)41.035.376.3+5.783%33%
This opponent (Polabi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
POLA win
no forecast
@ 1.55
LITO win
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Polabi -2.5 · main line
POLA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LITO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
POLA
no forecast
@ 1.60
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
LITO
no forecast
@ 2.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
POLA win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
LITO win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: POLA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Polabi over 78.572.6%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+3.8pp
Litomerice over 74.570.6%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+3.6pp
Litomerice over 73.573.9%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+3.3pp
Polabi under 90.571.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+1.7pp
Litomerice +10.570.4%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+0.3pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polabi: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.6
47.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.810.6
30.5%
27.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.211.8
55.7%
61.8%11.8
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.56.6
22.4%
27.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.116.7
66.5%
61.8%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polabi
LLWLLLWLLL
Litomerice
WWLLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#12
-7.0
Net rating
-4.8
83.0
Offensive rating
80.8
90.0
Defensive rating
85.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
43.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.5%
3-point %
22.4%
57.9%
Assist %
43.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 80.8Defence90.0 · 85.6Shooting46.6% · 43.0%3-point %30.5% · 22.4%Ball care15.7% · 15.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Polabi   ■ Litomerice
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Polabi wins
7
Litomerice wins
DateGameScore
23/01/26Litomerice v Polabi99-89
09/11/25Polabi v Litomerice87-61
24/11/24Polabi v Litomerice78-73
20/09/24Litomerice v Polabi80-76
19/11/23Polabi v Litomerice89-91
15/09/23Litomerice v Polabi87-80
27/01/23Litomerice v Polabi82-69
13/11/22Polabi v Litomerice76-74 OT
26/11/21Litomerice v Polabi88-67
26/09/21Polabi v Litomerice62-98
Polabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASokol Prazsky93-100 OT
01/11/26HCZ.ACADEMY79-80
23/10/26ASlavia Prague Tygri86-75
18/10/26HJindrichuv Hradec75-89
11/10/26AUSK Prague B73-77
04/10/26ARadotin93-98
27/09/26HLiberecko88-72
18/09/26AValecnici Decin75-84
20/03/26AOpava 273-111
15/03/26HBrno U2391-100
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ALiberecko67-64
06/11/26HRadotin89-83
23/10/26HValecnici Decin78-88
16/10/26HUSK Prague B74-81 OT
09/10/26ASokol Prazsky93-82
25/09/26ASlavia Prague Tygri80-96
18/09/26HJindrichuv Hradec70-76
29/03/26HZlin64-75
27/03/26AZlin62-88
20/03/26AZlin76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polabi
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game82.880.784.0
Allowed / game84.480.386.8
Point differential-1.6+0.3-2.8
Avg total167.1161.0170.8
Over 16425%0%40%
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Litomerice
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game78.777.880.0
Allowed / game81.482.080.7
Point differential-2.7-4.2-0.7
Avg total160.1159.8160.7
Over 16457%50%67%
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin660100%84.271.5+12.7
2 Novy Jicin98189%86.673.4+13.1
3 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
4 Zlin97278%87.867.9+19.9
5 Svitavy97278%91.484.1+7.3
6 USK Prague B86275%80.173.9+6.2
7 Brno U2384450%85.180.2+4.9
8 CZ.ACADEMY63350%80.278.2+2.0
9 Sokol Prazsky84450%84.986.0-1.1
10 Vysoka84450%72.173.6-1.5
11 SK Zabovresky94544%72.278.6-6.3
12 Litomerice73443%78.781.4-2.7
13 Pardubice 283538%75.180.0-4.9
14 Opava 293633%73.877.3-3.6
15 Liberecko72529%67.379.7-12.4
16 Polabi82625%82.884.4-1.6
17 Slavia Prague Tygri82625%79.081.9-2.9
18 Radotin82625%73.186.1-13.0
19 MS Academy92722%75.686.3-10.8
20 Basketbal Olomouc81712%65.986.5-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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