PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Poland W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 73-75 (OT)
28-15 14-17 10-20 14-14 7-9
Position#15
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game62.0
Poland W
vs
Lithuania W 🏆
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Sports hall OS Szopienice MOSir
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#17
L
49-77
49
77
-28
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
W
68-56
68
56
+12
no box
A03/02
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
49-80
49
80
-31
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
125-19
125
19
+106
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
136-50
136
50
+86
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
73avg 73
A08/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
13-27
13-16
8-24
17-12
16-13
13-16
22-15
12-23
17-20
12-14
8-23
38-9
38-4
29-2
20-4
8-12
11-12
6-16
16-12
14-26
27-11
13-17
17-24
43-6
37-6
24-20
32-18
17-17
20-17
27-22
12-16
8-13
16-16
22-15
19-14
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
135.1Avg total
74.7Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.062.0129.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.062.0129.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.760.4135.1+14.360%
Last 5 (5)83.064.0147.0+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.270.0129.2-10.840%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.754.8140.5+30.867%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#24
L
55-67
55
67
-12
no box
H04/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
99avg 99
H09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
13-25
22-27
22-16
9-19
20-14
7-21
19-13
18-26
15-34
11-22
17-14
20-17
15-7
19-15
15-20
17-22
11-20
15-24
13-17
23-17
14-25
29-10
15-10
20-9
14-12
14-18
17-17
17-20
23-20
11-22
24-21
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
141.8Avg total
69.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.062.0161.0+37.0100%
Season at home (1)99.062.0161.0+37.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.772.1141.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)77.066.8143.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.886.0151.8-20.20%
vs Similar (4)63.068.5131.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (4)85.255.0140.2+30.2100%
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
Poland WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#17
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/11
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A03/02
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H06/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
76-13
76
13
+63
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
80-12
80
12
+68
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
68.1Avg total
40.3Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)39.028.567.5+10.555%-
Last 30 at home (5)41.832.474.2+9.460%-
Last 30 away (6)36.725.261.8+11.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.327.868.1+12.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.627.270.8+16.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.432.863.2-2.440%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.224.871.0+21.367%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#24
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
72.9Avg total
35.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)35.636.271.8-0.742%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.033.470.4+3.643%-
Last 30 away (5)33.640.273.8-6.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.872.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.045.277.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (4)40.025.265.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.0
58.1%
45.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.0
31.6%
30.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws27.013.0
48.1%
72.4%13.0
They take 50.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀73%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.0 pts a game · 73% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.036.0
56.2%
45.4%72.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
30.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws10.09.0
90.0%
72.4%9.0
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland W
WWWWLLWLWL
Lithuania W
WLLWWLWLLL
#15
League position
#17
+6.5
Net rating
+46.2
87.5
Offensive rating
117.2
81.0
Defensive rating
71.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
27.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
53.7%
0.54
Free-throw rate
0.12
31.6%
3-point %
27.3%
108.3%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 117.2Defence81.0 · 71.0Shooting54.0% · 52.3%3-point %31.6% · 27.3%Ball care27.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds18.8% · 53.7%Free throws0.54 · 0.12Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Poland W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland W wins
0
Lithuania W wins
No previous meetings.
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62
12/02/23ASlovenia W65-58
09/02/23HTurkey W76-72
27/11/22AAlbania W136-50
24/11/22HSlovenia W71-78
14/11/21ATurkey W41-52
11/11/21HAlbania W125-19
06/02/21HBelarus W49-80
03/02/21ABelarus W68-56
14/11/20AGreat Britain W49-77
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71
09/02/23HFrance W75-83
27/11/22AFinland W65-56
24/11/22HUkraine W81-62
14/11/21AFrance W56-83
11/11/21HFinland W69-59
06/02/21ASerbia W61-96
04/02/21HTurkey W55-67
12/11/20HSerbia W71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total129.0-129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+37.0+37.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany W110100%85.041.0+44.0
2 Serbia W110100%82.040.0+42.0
3 Lithuania W110100%99.062.0+37.0
4 Turkey W110100%75.040.0+35.0
5 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
6 France W110100%71.049.0+22.0
7 Montenegro W110100%91.070.0+21.0
8 Netherlands W110100%64.045.0+19.0
9 Hungary W220100%68.553.5+15.0
10 Portugal W110100%65.052.0+13.0
11 Romania W110100%82.070.0+12.0
12 Italy W110100%76.067.0+9.0
13 Luxembourg W110100%56.048.0+8.0
14 Poland W110100%67.062.0+5.0
15 Sweden W220100%70.065.5+4.5
16 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
17 Great Britain W21150%72.554.5+18.0
18 Denmark W21150%75.064.5+10.5
19 Greece W21150%71.071.0+0.0
20 Finland W21150%65.566.0-0.5
21 Croatia W1010%65.070.0-5.0
22 Switzerland W1010%48.056.0-8.0
23 Bulgaria W1010%65.075.0-10.0
24 Iceland W1010%70.082.0-12.0
25 North Macedonia W1010%52.065.0-13.0
26 Slovenia W1010%51.070.0-19.0
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%70.091.0-21.0
28 Latvia W1010%49.071.0-22.0
29 Czech Republic W2020%53.580.0-26.5
30 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
31 Estonia W2020%49.082.0-33.0
32 Slovakia W1010%40.075.0-35.0
33 Ukraine W1010%40.082.0-42.0
34 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Poland W28141014773
Lithuania W15172014975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.