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Polonia Warszawa vs Bytom Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 89-84
Projected total 173.3
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game92.6
Vs
68%
32%
■ POLO 68%■ BYTO 32%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game89.0
Poland1 LigaRound 10· Hala Sportowa Kolo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polonia Warszawa v Bytom
23 Nov 2026
POLO v BYTO
upcoming
12 Nov 2022
POLO85
BYTO75
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Polonia Warszawa host Bytom in the 1 Liga. Pythia makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 68% and projects 89-84, about 173 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Polonia Warszawa are 5-4 this season (88.2 scored, 92.6 allowed a game), form LWWLL; Bytom are 2-7 this season (82.7 scored, 89.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polonia Warszawa win
67.8%fair 1.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bytom win
32.2%fair 3.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Polonia WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 75
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 75
H21/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
80avg 75
A26/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
92avg 75
H04/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
71avg 75
A10/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 75
H18/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
83-79
83
79
+4
86avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
108-94
108
94
+14
100avg 75
H31/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
66-97
66
97
-31
no box
A14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
22-21
18-12
17-18
34-12
31-28
16-29
14-24
15-22
32-23
18-28
22-14
17-12
23-25
29-25
21-25
18-29
21-19
21-34
17-17
20-15
18-22
22-22
21-30
21-18
20-11
13-26
29-24
29-25
28-27
30-27
21-15
20-24
20-34
31-15
23-24
14-32
18-25
17-18
17-22
177.3Avg total
86.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.292.6180.8-4.356%
Season at home (5)93.692.0185.6+1.660%
Season away (4)81.593.2174.8-11.850%
Last 10 (10)86.690.7177.3-4.150%
Last 5 (5)86.491.2177.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.588.5171.1-6.045%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.982.6163.6-1.739%
vs Weaker (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
This opponent (Bytom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BytomPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBytom
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
92avg 75
H19/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 75
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 75
H03/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 75
A11/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 75
H17/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
67avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 75
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
A08/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
91-110
91
110
-19
no box
A15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-19
18-26
23-21
17-17
18-27
29-19
13-14
12-21
22-23
19-20
26-24
12-14
16-25
28-28
16-19
24-25
23-15
22-23
22-21
34-18
13-23
26-21
14-29
13-21
26-20
15-16
16-13
19-29
21-16
8-20
28-25
19-23
14-16
24-25
26-24
14-25
29-37
19-24
29-24
172.6Avg total
83.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.789.0171.7-6.322%
Season at home (4)81.588.0169.5-6.525%
Season away (5)83.689.8173.4-6.220%
Last 10 (10)83.489.2172.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)82.291.6173.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)80.488.1168.4-7.724%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
69.6%
Under 164.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
58.3%
Under 169.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
46.3%
Under 174.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Polonia Warszawa total 82.5
Over 82.5
74.6%
Under 82.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa total 86.5
Over 86.5
60.6%
Under 86.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa total 90.5
Over 90.5
45.1%
Under 90.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bytom total 79.5
Over 79.5
66.5%
Under 79.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bytom total 83.5
Over 83.5
51.5%
Under 83.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bytom total 87.5
Over 87.5
36.4%
Under 87.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Polonia Warszawa -3
POLO -3
59.6%
BYTO +3
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
POLO
No market prices yet.
BYTO
No market prices yet.
Spread Polonia Warszawa 0
POLO 0
67.8%
BYTO 0
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
POLO
No market prices yet.
BYTO
No market prices yet.
Spread Polonia Warszawa +3
POLO +3
75.7%
BYTO -3
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
POLO
No market prices yet.
BYTO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Polonia WarszawaBytom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Polonia WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H21/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A24/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H31/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H08/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A14/11
1 Liga
88.3Avg total
43.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.484.7-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.1+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.586.4-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.788.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.688.2-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.244.885.0-4.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.142.584.6-0.444%-
vs Weaker (1)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Bytom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BytomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A24/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A15/11
1 Liga
83.4Avg total
39.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.583.8-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.241.682.8-0.439%-
Last 30 away (12)41.743.885.4-2.142%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.983.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.686.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.042.583.5-1.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.044.286.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polonia Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polonia Warszawa: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.8
55.2%
53.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.414.1
62.9%
70.8%14.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bytomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bytom: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.7
51.8%
53.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.7%
33.5%24.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.3%
70.8%15.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polonia Warszawa
LLWWLLWWWL
Bytom
LLLLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#15
-3.7
Net rating
-5.2
91.7
Offensive rating
89.5
95.4
Defensive rating
94.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.0%
3-point %
31.7%
60.4%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 89.5Defence95.4 · 94.7Shooting51.3% · 50.1%3-point %30.0% · 31.7%Ball care14.9% · 16.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Polonia Warszawa   ■ Bytom
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Polonia Warszawa wins
0
Bytom wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Bytom v Polonia Warszawa103-111 OT
12/11/22Polonia Warszawa v Bytom85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGKS Tychy66-97
08/11/26HStarogard Gdanski94-97
31/10/26HPelplin108-94
24/10/26AR. Rzeszow83-79
18/10/26HWKK Wroclaw81-89
10/10/26ALeszno77-99
04/10/26HInowroclaw90-87
26/09/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg100-98 OT
21/09/26HLancut95-93
15/04/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg72-74
Bytomlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AR. Rzeszow91-110
08/11/26AWKK Wroclaw83-88
31/10/26HLeszno76-90
24/10/26AInowroclaw74-79 OT
17/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg87-91
11/10/26ALancut91-84
03/10/26HLKS Lodz72-86
26/09/26ASpojnia Stargard79-88
19/09/26HKrosno91-85 OT
05/04/23ADziki Warszawa90-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polonia Warszawa
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game88.293.681.5
Allowed / game92.692.093.2
Point differential-4.3+1.6-11.8
Avg total180.8185.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Bytom
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game82.781.583.6
Allowed / game89.088.089.8
Point differential-6.3-6.5-6.2
Avg total171.7169.5173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %22%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno990100%89.274.3+14.9
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Poznan96367%91.985.2+6.7
5 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
6 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 WKK Wroclaw95456%82.283.4-1.2
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska91811%79.289.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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