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Portland vs Willamette Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 133-89
72-30 61-59
Position#42
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Portland 🏆
USA
Vs
82%
18%
■ PORT 82%■ WILL 18%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-73
Projected total 156.1
Willamette
USA
Position#386
Record-
FormLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Portland v Willamette
02 Nov 2026
PORT133
WILL89
03 Nov 2025
PORT120
WILL83
16 Dec 2024
PORT100
WILL69
25 Nov 2023
PORT107
WILL84
11 Nov 2021
PORT122
WILL78
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Portland host Willamette in the NCAA. Pythia makes Portland the favourite at 82% and projects 83-73, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland winWon
82.1%fair 1.22
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Willamette winLost
17.9%fair 5.59
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A12/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
48-89
48
89
-41
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
48-47
19-27
35-26
31-27
27-44
43-45
44-50
20-29
39-42
21-36
27-53
32-36
55-38
44-38
33-30
25-29
49-39
29-29
36-53
144.7Avg total
69.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.675.1144.7-5.550%
Last 5 (5)70.276.2146.4-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.878.4149.2-7.733%
vs Similar (11)75.177.9153.0-2.845%
vs Weakerno games
WillametteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#140
L
78-122
78
122
-44
A12/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
84-107
84
107
-23
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A17/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
83-120
83
120
-37
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-57
30-65
40-52
44-55
32-56
37-44
56-63
27-57
190.8Avg total
78.5Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (4)78.5112.2190.8-33.80%
Last 5 (4)78.5112.2190.8-33.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
80.9%
Under 142
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
71.2%
Under 147
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
59.7%
Under 152
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Portland total 73Actual: Portland over 73
Over 73
85.6%
Under 73
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portland total 77Actual: Portland over 77
Over 77
74.3%
Under 77
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portland total 81Actual: Portland over 81
Over 81
59.5%
Under 81
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willamette total 66Actual: Willamette over 66
Over 66
75.4%
Under 66
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willamette total 70Actual: Willamette over 70
Over 70
60.8%
Under 70
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willamette total 74Actual: Willamette over 74
Over 74
44.6%
Under 74
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Portland -3Actual: Portland -3
PORT -3
76.3%
WILL +3
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
PORT
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.
Spread Portland 0Actual: Portland 0
PORT 0
82.1%
WILL 0
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
PORT
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.
Spread Portland +3Actual: Portland +3
PORT +3
87.5%
WILL -3
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
PORT
No market prices yet.
WILL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-26-13+0+13+261st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -13.0-13.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -20.8-20.8
-26-13+0+13+261st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -13.0-13.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -20.8-20.8
PortlandWillamette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A08/03
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.136.470.6-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.736.975.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)28.935.964.9-7.021%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.963.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.663.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.735.167.8-2.439%-
vs Similar (11)34.837.872.6-3.036%-
vs Weakerno games
WillametteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#140
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A04/11
NCAA
101.0Avg total
44.0Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)44.057.0101.0-13.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (4)44.057.0101.0-13.00%-
Last 10 (4)44.057.0101.0-13.00%-
Last 5 (4)44.057.0101.0-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Portland wins
0
Willamette wins
DateGameScore
04/11/25Portland v Willamette120-83
17/12/24Portland v Willamette100-69
26/11/23Portland v Willamette107-84
12/11/21Portland v Willamette122-78
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ASan Francisco65-82
07/03/26AWashington State74-68
06/03/26HPepperdine77-68
28/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-74
26/02/26AGonzaga48-89
22/02/26ASeattle59-71
19/02/26HPepperdine87-95
12/02/26ASan Diego Toreros58-71
08/02/26HSeattle54-53
05/02/26HGonzaga87-80
Willamettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25APortland83-120
17/12/24APortland69-100
26/11/23APortland84-107
12/11/21APortland78-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Willamette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Sacred Heart110100%111.044.0+67.0
3 UMass Lowell110100%121.057.0+64.0
4 Delaware110100%105.044.0+61.0
5 Kennesaw State110100%116.057.0+59.0
6 Stephen F. Austin110100%120.061.0+59.0
7 Charleston110100%111.055.0+56.0
8 Longwood110100%123.067.0+56.0
9 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
10 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
11 Siu Edwardsville110100%91.039.0+52.0
12 Eastern Kentucky110100%105.054.0+51.0
13 Morgan State110100%103.052.0+51.0
14 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
15 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
16 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
17 Vanderbilt110100%93.047.0+46.0
18 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
19 West Virginia110100%91.046.0+45.0
20 Xavier110100%97.052.0+45.0
21 Jacksonville Dolphins110100%105.061.0+44.0
22 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
23 Florida International110100%101.058.0+43.0
24 Wisc. Green Bay110100%94.051.0+43.0
25 Nebraska110100%106.064.0+42.0
26 Penn State110100%97.057.0+40.0
27 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
28 Pittsburgh110100%95.057.0+38.0
29 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
30 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
31 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
32 Michigan State110100%96.059.0+37.0
33 Butler110100%96.060.0+36.0
34 NC Wilmington110100%101.065.0+36.0
35 Marquette110100%78.043.0+35.0
36 Delaware State110100%86.052.0+34.0
37 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
38 Indiana110100%91.057.0+34.0
39 Texas Tech110100%76.042.0+34.0
40 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
41 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
42 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
43 Wright State110100%102.071.0+31.0
44 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
45 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
46 Samford110100%87.058.0+29.0
47 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
48 Harvard110100%73.045.0+28.0
49 Stonehill110100%84.056.0+28.0
50 Marshall110100%92.065.0+27.0
51 Providence110100%83.056.0+27.0
52 South Florida110100%98.071.0+27.0
53 Cincinnati110100%79.053.0+26.0
54 Western Kentucky110100%83.058.0+25.0
55 Seton Hall110100%66.042.0+24.0
56 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
57 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
58 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
59 Prairie View A&M110100%86.065.0+21.0
60 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
61 NC State110100%83.064.0+19.0
62 Belmont110100%72.054.0+18.0
63 Mississippi St.110100%106.088.0+18.0
64 Georgia110100%78.062.0+16.0
65 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
66 Syracuse110100%74.058.0+16.0
67 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
68 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
69 Florida Atlantic110100%74.060.0+14.0
70 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
71 William & Mary110100%80.066.0+14.0
72 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
73 East Carolina110100%83.070.0+13.0
74 Elon110100%84.071.0+13.0
75 Georgia Southern110100%67.055.0+12.0
76 Old Dominion110100%61.049.0+12.0
77 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
78 UMass110100%71.060.0+11.0
79 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
80 Louisiana Tech110100%85.075.0+10.0
81 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
82 Yale110100%72.062.0+10.0
83 Miami (Ohio)110100%86.077.0+9.0
84 St. Thomas (Minn.)110100%87.078.0+9.0
85 Boston University110100%93.085.0+8.0
86 Charlotte110100%78.070.0+8.0
87 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
88 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
89 Youngstown State110100%79.071.0+8.0
90 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
91 Dartmouth110100%69.062.0+7.0
92 Southeast Missouri State110100%86.079.0+7.0
93 Wisconsin110100%75.068.0+7.0
94 Purdue110100%78.072.0+6.0
95 Central Michigan110100%83.078.0+5.0
96 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
97 Memphis110100%80.076.0+4.0
98 New Hampshire Wildcats110100%59.055.0+4.0
99 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
100 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
101 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
102 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
103 Eastern Michigan110100%71.070.0+1.0
104 Iona110100%56.055.0+1.0
105 UCF Knights110100%96.095.0+1.0
106 Coastal Carolina1010%70.071.0-1.0
107 Florida Gulf Coast1010%95.096.0-1.0
108 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
109 Vermont1010%55.056.0-1.0
110 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
111 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
112 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
113 Brown1010%55.059.0-4.0
114 Iowa State1010%76.080.0-4.0
115 Louisiana Monroe1010%78.083.0-5.0
116 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
117 Gonzaga1010%72.078.0-6.0
118 Denver1010%68.075.0-7.0
119 Lipscomb1010%79.086.0-7.0
120 Marist1010%62.069.0-7.0
121 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
122 Indiana State1010%70.078.0-8.0
123 Northeastern1010%85.093.0-8.0
124 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
125 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
126 Western Carolina1010%72.080.0-8.0
127 James Madison1010%77.086.0-9.0
128 Presbyterian1010%78.087.0-9.0
129 Howard1010%62.072.0-10.0
130 Kent State1010%75.085.0-10.0
131 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
132 UALR1010%72.082.0-10.0
133 Troy1010%60.071.0-11.0
134 Ball State1010%55.067.0-12.0
135 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
136 Western Michigan1010%49.061.0-12.0
137 Columbia1010%71.084.0-13.0
138 Stetson1010%72.085.0-13.0
139 USC Upstate1010%70.083.0-13.0
140 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
141 Bridgewater College (VA)1010%66.080.0-14.0
142 LIU Sharks1010%60.074.0-14.0
143 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
144 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
145 N. Carolina Central1010%62.078.0-16.0
146 New Haven Chargers1010%58.074.0-16.0
147 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
148 Southern Indiana1010%54.072.0-18.0
149 Tennessee Tech1010%88.0106.0-18.0
150 Campbell1010%64.083.0-19.0
151 Paul Quinn1010%65.086.0-21.0
152 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
153 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
154 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
155 UNC Asheville1010%77.0100.0-23.0
156 St. Peters1010%42.066.0-24.0
157 Morehead State1010%58.083.0-25.0
158 American University1010%53.079.0-26.0
159 Buffalo1010%65.092.0-27.0
160 Charleston Southern1010%71.098.0-27.0
161 Maine Black Bears1010%56.083.0-27.0
162 Curry1010%56.084.0-28.0
163 MIT1010%45.073.0-28.0
164 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
165 Berry Vikings1010%58.087.0-29.0
166 Bucknell1010%67.096.0-29.0
167 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
168 Air Force1010%71.0102.0-31.0
169 NJIT1010%58.089.0-31.0
170 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
171 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
172 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
173 Eastern Illinois1010%57.091.0-34.0
174 Jackson State1010%42.076.0-34.0
175 St. Vincent1010%52.086.0-34.0
176 Mercyhurst Lakers1010%43.078.0-35.0
177 Lafayette1010%60.096.0-36.0
178 Mount Olive Trojans1010%65.0101.0-36.0
179 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
180 Quinnipiac1010%59.096.0-37.0
181 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
182 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
183 Rider1010%57.095.0-38.0
184 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
185 Canisius1010%57.097.0-40.0
186 Le Moyne1010%64.0106.0-42.0
187 Lawrence University Vikings1010%51.094.0-43.0
188 New College (FL)1010%58.0101.0-43.0
189 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
190 Trinity Baptist1010%61.0105.0-44.0
191 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
192 Mount St. Mary's1010%52.097.0-45.0
193 Niagara1010%46.091.0-45.0
194 Bellarmine1010%47.093.0-46.0
195 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
196 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
197 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
198 Cheyney Wolves1010%52.0103.0-51.0
199 Kentucky Christian1010%54.0105.0-51.0
200 Eureka1010%39.091.0-52.0
201 Navy1010%39.091.0-52.0
202 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
203 Pfeiffer Falcons1010%67.0123.0-56.0
204 Southern W.1010%55.0111.0-56.0
205 Lyon1010%61.0120.0-59.0
206 Midway1010%57.0116.0-59.0
207 Notre Dame MD1010%44.0105.0-61.0
208 Rivier1010%57.0121.0-64.0
209 Coast Guard1010%44.0111.0-67.0
210 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 210 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland7261133
Willamette305989
← all games of the day
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