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Portugal vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-78
21-20 23-32 23-12 21-14
Position#14
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#13
Record2-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game63.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2023
Meetings · Portugal v Bulgaria
10 Nov 2022
PORT88
BULG78
02 Aug 2017
PORT71
BULG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A17/08
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H26/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A29/11
World Cup
France
#8
L
56-94
56
94
-38
no box
A24/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
56-69
56
69
-13
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
72avg 90
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
108avg 90
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
20-15
12-23
16-25
23-19
25-27
13-7
19-21
15-20
18-18
16-23
26-20
14-24
22-17
20-23
13-19
17-15
16-22
11-27
12-30
16-17
19-17
8-15
13-20
13-21
18-19
21-13
16-16
14-19
16-26
21-21
11-11
17-14
25-16
19-19
14-10
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
145.7Avg total
70.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.564.0152.5+24.5100%
Season at home (1)102.069.0171.0+33.0100%
Season away (1)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.375.4145.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)72.668.6141.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.874.4138.2-10.620%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.281.3156.5-6.250%
vs Weaker (14)79.567.3146.8+12.279%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#60
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H01/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A04/07
World Cup
Cyprus
#40
W
88-55
88
55
+33
93avg 84
H25/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
75avg 84
H28/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
87-114
87
114
-27
no box
A01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
87-101
87
101
-14
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
15-16
18-15
22-27
22-16
8-18
25-17
15-21
18-19
18-21
26-18
11-18
19-15
29-15
16-11
24-14
29-19
12-15
23-20
20-18
17-28
18-29
31-32
21-25
29-31
23-19
19-25
16-26
21-21
25-24
12-22
23-24
14-18
25-20
27-19
26-23
19-20
11-21
30-25
20-23
165.5Avg total
82.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.063.5149.5+22.5100%
Season at home (2)86.063.5149.5+22.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.283.3165.5-1.130%
Last 5 (5)85.495.0180.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.785.6159.4-11.924%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.879.1156.8-1.342%
vs Weaker (1)88.055.0143.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
PortugalBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/08
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A29/11
World Cup
France
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/02
World Cup
France
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
75.9Avg total
37.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.374.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.535.173.6+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.837.475.2+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.175.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.934.968.8-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.240.777.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (14)41.635.476.9+6.271%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#60
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H01/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/07
World Cup
Cyprus
#40
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H25/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H07/09
EuroBasket
80.7Avg total
39.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.679.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.340.882.1+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)34.042.676.6-8.67%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.080.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.142.678.7-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.741.180.8-1.433%-
vs Weaker (1)48.030.078.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.5
57.0%
50.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.5
41.8%
32.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws13.08.0
61.5%
71.4%8.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.0
53.2%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
71.4%14.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
WWLLLLLLWL
Bulgaria
LWLLLWWLLL
#14
League position
#13
+33.3
Net rating
+33.2
124.2
Offensive rating
116.7
90.8
Defensive rating
83.4
59.3%
Effective FG%
53.7%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.8%
3-point %
36.4%
69.1%
Assist %
72.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.2 · 116.7Defence90.8 · 83.4Shooting59.3% · 53.7%3-point %41.8% · 36.4%Ball care15.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds40.0% · 36.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Portugal   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portugal wins
2
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
12/08/17Bulgaria v Portugal91-65
02/08/17Portugal v Bulgaria71-82
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
25/08/22ARomania75-59
04/07/22HMontenegro62-77
01/07/22AHungary68-69
27/02/22HFrance56-69
24/02/22AFrance56-94
29/11/21AMontenegro69-83
26/11/21HHungary75-81
17/08/21ALuxembourg80-74
16/08/21HSweden60-79
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/22HBelgium80-89
06/09/22AGeorgia92-80
04/09/22HMontenegro81-91
03/09/22HTurkey87-101
01/09/22ASpain87-114
28/08/22HRomania84-72
25/08/22HCyprus88-55
04/07/22ABosnia & Herzegovina73-76
01/07/22HLithuania70-72
27/02/22ACzech Republic80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.5102.075.0
Allowed / game64.069.059.0
Point differential+24.5+33.0+16.0
Avg total152.5171.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game63.563.5-
Point differential+22.5+22.5-
Avg total149.5149.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal220100%88.564.0+24.5
2 Bulgaria220100%86.063.5+22.5
3 Croatia220100%78.061.0+17.0
4 North Macedonia330100%70.060.3+9.7
5 Romania75271%75.472.4+3.0
6 Poland32167%79.763.7+16.0
7 Austria85362%76.671.4+5.2
8 Norway74357%76.174.0+2.1
9 Switzerland95456%70.670.7-0.1
10 Denmark73443%77.375.0+2.3
11 Slovakia31233%72.378.7-6.3
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus91811%64.179.6-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal2123232188
Bulgaria2032121478
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