Princeton vs Carnegie Mellon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 21:00

Projected 75-68

Projected total 143.6

Final 78-46

38-19 40-27

Position#117

Record-

FormLLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Princeton 🏆

74%

26%

■ PRIN 74%■ CARN 26%

Pythia win probability

Carnegie Mellon

Position#422

Record-

Form-

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NCAA

Other2026-27

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Princeton host Carnegie Mellon in the NCAA. Pythia makes Princeton the favourite at 74% and projects 75-68, about 144 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Princeton winWon

73.6%fair 1.36

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Carnegie Mellon winLost

26.4%fair 3.79

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Princeton

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brown

#319

63-53

+10

H24/01

NCAA

Cornell

#175

64-87

-23

A30/01

NCAA

Columbia

#141

80-68

+12

A31/01

NCAA

Penn

#115

60-61

-1

A07/02

NCAA

Cornell

#175

65-89

-24

H14/02

NCAA

Columbia

#141

65-75

-10

H14/02

NCAA

Brown

#319

71-80

-9

A21/02

NCAA

Harvard

#133

56-58

-2

H28/02

NCAA

Dartmouth

#272

82-61

+21

H28/02

NCAA

Yale

#22

53-78

-25

A07/03

NCAA

27-27

36-26

32-48

32-39

34-34

46-34

25-35

35-26

27-44

38-45

31-30

34-45

37-42

34-38

33-21

23-37

43-28

39-33

30-32

23-46

136.9Avg total

65.9Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	65.9	71.0	136.9	-5.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.4	70.4	135.8	-5.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	65.9	74.0	140.0	-8.1	18%
vs Similar (5)	71.0	64.4	135.4	+6.6	60%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	68.0	138.5	+2.5	50%

Carnegie Mellon USA

Last 10 – points for & against

No recent games.

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10	no games
Last 5	no games
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

Over/Under 142Actual: Under 142

Over 142

53.5%

Under 142

46.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147

Over 147

41.1%

Under 147

58.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152

Over 152

29.7%

Under 152

70.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Princeton total 73Actual: Princeton over 73

Over 73

59.7%

Under 73

40.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Princeton total 77Actual: Princeton over 77

Over 77

43.4%

Under 77

56.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Princeton total 81Actual: Princeton under 81

Over 81

28.1%

Under 81

71.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Carnegie Mellon total 66Actual: Carnegie Mellon under 66

Over 66

58.5%

Under 66

41.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Carnegie Mellon total 70Actual: Carnegie Mellon under 70

Over 70

42.5%

Under 70

57.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Carnegie Mellon total 74Actual: Carnegie Mellon under 74

Over 74

27.8%

Under 74

72.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Princeton -3Actual: Princeton -3

PRIN -3

66.2%

CARN +3

33.8%

Best 5 market prices

PRIN

No market prices yet.

CARN

No market prices yet.

Spread Princeton 0Actual: Princeton 0

PRIN 0

73.6%

CARN 0

26.4%

Best 5 market prices

PRIN

No market prices yet.

CARN

No market prices yet.

Spread Princeton +3Actual: Princeton +3

PRIN +3

80.7%

CARN -3

19.3%

Best 5 market prices

PRIN

No market prices yet.

CARN

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

PrincetonCarnegie Mellon

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

PrincetonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brown

#319

27-27

H24/01

NCAA

Cornell

#175

32-48

-16

A30/01

NCAA

Columbia

#141

34-34

A31/01

NCAA

Penn

#115

25-35

-10

A07/02

NCAA

Cornell

#175

27-44

-17

H14/02

NCAA

Columbia

#141

31-30

H14/02

NCAA

Brown

#319

37-42

-5

A21/02

NCAA

Harvard

#133

33-21

+12

H28/02

NCAA

Dartmouth

#272

43-28

+15

H28/02

NCAA

Yale

#22

30-32

-2

A07/03

NCAA

66.0Avg total

31.9Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.7	33.4	65.1	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.5	30.3	62.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.0	36.2	67.2	-5.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	34.1	66.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	30.6	65.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	29.9	34.7	64.6	-4.9	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.6	29.6	65.2	+6.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	33.0	67.5	+1.5	50%	-

Carnegie MellonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

No period scores for these games.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	36.2	74.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.4	38.4	71.8	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	36.9	70.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	39.8	70.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	35.1	38.4	73.5	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	34.8	70.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Princeton wins

Carnegie Mellon wins

No previous meetings.

Princetonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/26	A	Yale	53-78
28/02/26	H	Dartmouth	82-61
28/02/26	H	Harvard	56-58
21/02/26	A	Brown	71-80
14/02/26	H	Columbia	65-75
14/02/26	H	Cornell	65-89
07/02/26	A	Penn	60-61
31/01/26	A	Columbia	80-68
30/01/26	A	Cornell	64-87
24/01/26	H	Brown	63-53

Carnegie Mellonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Princeton

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Carnegie Mellon

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Losses (last 0)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nicholls State	1	1	0	100%	110.0	56.0	+54.0
2	Hofstra	1	1	0	100%	97.0	51.0	+46.0
3	Middle Tenn. St.	1	1	0	100%	117.0	73.0	+44.0
4	South Carolina St	1	1	0	100%	94.0	55.0	+39.0
5	IU Indy	1	1	0	100%	113.0	76.0	+37.0
6	Mercer	1	1	0	100%	90.0	53.0	+37.0
7	Murray State	1	1	0	100%	94.0	64.0	+30.0
8	San Jose State	1	1	0	100%	95.0	74.0	+21.0
9	High Point	1	1	0	100%	72.0	57.0	+15.0
10	Merrimack Warriors	1	1	0	100%	63.0	49.0	+14.0
11	Northern Kentucky	1	1	0	100%	84.0	76.0	+8.0
12	Queens Royals	1	1	0	100%	103.0	98.0	+5.0
13	Grambling St.	1	1	0	100%	89.0	87.0	+2.0
14	Notre Dame	1	1	0	100%	74.0	72.0	+2.0
15	Northern Illinois	1	0	1	0%	87.0	89.0	-2.0
16	Villanova	1	0	1	0%	72.0	74.0	-2.0
17	Winthrop	1	0	1	0%	98.0	103.0	-5.0
18	UTEP	1	0	1	0%	76.0	84.0	-8.0
19	Appalachian State	1	0	1	0%	49.0	63.0	-14.0
20	Liberty	1	0	1	0%	57.0	72.0	-15.0
21	UTSA Roadrunners	1	0	1	0%	74.0	95.0	-21.0
22	Tennessee State	1	0	1	0%	64.0	94.0	-30.0
23	Miami (OH) - Middletown	1	0	1	0%	76.0	113.0	-37.0
24	Reinhardt	1	0	1	0%	53.0	90.0	-37.0
25	Morris College	1	0	1	0%	55.0	94.0	-39.0
26	Fisk	1	0	1	0%	73.0	117.0	-44.0
27	St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)	1	0	1	0%	51.0	97.0	-46.0
28	North American Stallions	1	0	1	0%	56.0	110.0	-54.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Princeton	38	40	78
Carnegie Mellon	19	27	46

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Princeton vs Carnegie Mellon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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