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Princeton vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-77
43-39 46-38
Position#19
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#158
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Princeton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrincetonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#141
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A13/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
H15/11
NCAA
Marist
#223
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A21/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#118
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#85
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Drexel
#184
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H08/12
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
35-37
30-38
29-21
42-25
38-36
41-39
40-41
46-39
18-37
38-36
51-43
34-50
43-31
37-41
34-30
45-32
37-37
41-28
43-45
153.1Avg total
78.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.870.5150.3+9.473%
Season at home (6)84.367.2151.5+17.283%
Season away (5)74.474.4148.8+0.060%
Last 10 (10)78.474.7153.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.577.0140.5-13.50%
vs Similar (6)68.267.7135.8+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.269.3146.5+7.980%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#200
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H06/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A10/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#522
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H16/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A20/11
NCAA
American University
#316
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H24/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Columbia
#358
W
98-60
98
60
+38
H02/12
NCAA
Delaware
#96
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A05/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
L
71-100
71
100
-29
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
37-51
36-32
24-45
38-29
47-18
47-46
44-29
24-47
31-35
45-31
53-36
55-44
32-33
49-19
49-41
20-31
40-39
40-48
31-52
151.6Avg total
78.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.372.8151.1+5.656%
Season at home (4)93.062.2155.2+30.8100%
Season away (5)66.681.2147.8-14.620%
Last 10 (10)78.273.4151.6+4.850%
Last 5 (5)82.874.8157.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.574.5141.0-8.025%
vs Similar (6)61.765.0126.7-3.350%
vs Weaker (19)76.368.4144.6+7.974%
This opponent (Princeton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
PrincetonUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PrincetonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A13/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H15/11
NCAA
Marist
#223
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#118
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#85
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A02/12
NCAA
Drexel
#184
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/12
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A11/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
38.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.668.8+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.530.467.9+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)36.633.269.8+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.373.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.535.060.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (6)33.231.364.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.033.070.9+5.075%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#200
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#522
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A20/11
NCAA
American University
#316
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H24/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Columbia
#358
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Delaware
#96
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A05/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
39.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.066.7+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.129.866.8+7.362%-
Last 30 away (17)32.933.666.5-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.574.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.676.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.834.565.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (6)28.831.860.7-3.017%-
vs Weaker (19)37.231.668.8+5.663%-
This opponent (Princeton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Princeton wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
No previous meetings.
Princetonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ALafayette84-73
08/12/21HBucknell82-69
04/12/21HDrexel81-79 OT
02/12/21AHofstra77-81
28/11/21HFairleigh Dickinson89-79
25/11/21AMonmouth64-76
21/11/21AOregon State81-80
18/11/21HMarist80-61
15/11/21HMinnesota80-87 OT
13/11/21ASouth Carolina66-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21AGeorgetown71-100
05/12/21ADelaware60-70
02/12/21HColumbia98-60
27/11/21APittsburgh87-77
24/11/21HAmerican University98-67
20/11/21ALongwood55-82
20/11/21HWestern Carolina91-75
16/11/21HPenn State-York85-47
10/11/21AUMass60-77
06/03/21HUMass Lowell77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Princeton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game79.884.374.4
Allowed / game70.567.274.4
Point differential+9.4+17.2+0.0
Avg total150.3151.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %18%33%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game78.393.066.6
Allowed / game72.862.281.2
Point differential+5.6+30.8-14.6
Avg total151.1155.2147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cornell108280%88.174.4+13.7
2 Princeton118373%79.870.5+9.4
3 Brown138562%72.864.0+8.8
4 Harvard106460%77.469.3+8.1
5 Yale126650%73.969.8+4.1
6 Dartmouth83538%70.970.8+0.1
7 Columbia113827%67.776.0-8.3
8 Penn1331023%69.176.7-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell117464%75.461.7+13.6
2 Vermont117464%65.159.4+5.7
3 UMBC Retrievers95456%78.372.8+5.6
4 New Hampshire84450%71.063.2+7.8
5 NJIT105550%66.065.8+0.2
6 Bryant University114736%71.974.9-3.0
7 Binghamton93633%71.268.3+2.9
8 Maine Black Bears82625%55.969.0-13.1
9 Albany92722%57.470.0-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Princeton434689
UMBC Retrievers393877
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