On 15 November 2026 the Pro A contest sees PS Karlsruhe host OrangeAcademy, with the model designating the home side as the favourite and projecting a decisive 84-78 win; the Pythia win probabilities are 73% for Karlsruhe and 27% for OrangeAcademy, and the spread line of -5.5 gives the home team a 56% chance to cover. The projected total of 162 points sits below the 165-point line, giving a 42% over probability, while a 4% chance of overtime is noted. PS Karlsruhe, 4-5 overall with 78.3 points scored and 84.1 allowed per game, sits 12th in the league; at home they are 1-4, averaging 70.0 points and conceding 83.6. Their last five games include two victories, one loss, and a 90-83 win over Kirchheim away on 13 November, a 86-87 loss to Bremerhaven at home on 7 November, and a 90-82 win over Artland away on 31 October. OrangeAcademy, 3-6 overall with 80.9 points scored and 86.0 allowed, ranks 15th; on the road they are 2-2, averaging 82.2 points and 87.5 allowed. Their last five games feature one win, four losses, including a 65-86 defeat to ETB Miners away on 7 November and a 81-84 loss to Koln at home on 1 November. In head-to-head history the two teams have met twice, both times won by PS Karlsruhe, the most recent being a 96-63 victory on 31 March 2018.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
PS Karlsruhe winWon
73.0%fair 1.37
Best odds1.26
Implied77.5%
Edge-4.5pp
OrangeAcademy winLost
27.0%fair 3.70
Best odds4.50
Implied22.5%
Edge+4.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Spread PS Karlsruhe -8.5 · main lineActual: PS Karlsruhe -8.5
PS K -8.5
44.6%
@ 1.87-5.4pp
ORAN +8.5
55.4%
@ 1.95+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
PS K
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
ORAN
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.86
SBO
1.85
Spread PS Karlsruhe -5.5Actual: PS Karlsruhe -5.5
PS K -5.5
55.9%
@ 1.53-4.7pp
ORAN +5.5
44.1%
@ 2.50+4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
PS K
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathon Be
1.51
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
ORAN
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.28
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
PS KarlsruheOrangeAcademy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PS KarlsruheLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#1
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A12/05
Pro A
Nurnberger
#11
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H26/09
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
23-17
23
17
+6
A02/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
12-14
12
14
-2
H04/10
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
20-17
20
17
+3
A10/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
15-19
15
19
-4
H17/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H24/10
Pro A
Artland
#14
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A31/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#8
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H07/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#1
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A13/11
Pro A
39.4Avg total
19.6Scored
19.8Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
20.4
22.2
42.5
-1.8
30%
57%
Last 30 at home (15)
19.7
22.7
42.4
-2.9
20%
60%
Last 30 away (15)
21.0
21.7
42.7
-0.7
40%
53%
Last 10 (10)
19.6
19.8
39.4
-0.2
40%
30%
Last 5 (5)
19.4
22.0
41.4
-2.6
20%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)
20.9
23.2
44.1
-2.3
25%
69%
vs Similar ◀ (12)
19.9
21.2
41.2
-1.3
33%
50%
vs Weaker (2)
19.0
19.5
38.5
-0.5
50%
0%
This opponent (OrangeAcademy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrangeAcademyLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wolmirstedt
#2
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/04
Pro B
Bremerhaven
#8
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A27/09
Pro A
Kirchheim
#1
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H02/10
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
16-27
16
27
-11
H04/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A14/10
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H18/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#12
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A24/10
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H01/11
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
L
13-28
13
28
-15
A07/11
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
15-17
15
17
-2
H13/11
Pro A
42.9Avg total
20.5Scored
22.4Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
20.3
21.8
42.1
-1.4
40%
53%
Last 30 at home (16)
20.1
20.1
40.2
-0.1
50%
44%
Last 30 away (14)
20.6
23.6
44.3
-3.0
29%
64%
Last 10 (10)
20.5
22.4
42.9
-1.9
30%
60%
Last 5 (5)
17.4
21.0
38.4
-3.6
20%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)
20.1
23.8
43.8
-3.7
15%
69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)
20.9
19.9
40.8
+1.1
64%
43%
vs Weaker (3)
18.7
22.0
40.7
-3.3
33%
33%
This opponent (PS Karlsruhe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
PS Karlsruhe under 92.5
78.8%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe under 90.5
72.6%
1.44
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe under 91.5
75.8%
1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
OrangeAcademy +17.5
82.4%
1.26
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Under 172.5
74.3%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Under 170.5
70.3%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Under 171.5
72.3%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
OrangeAcademy under 84.5
75.3%
1.33
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
OrangeAcademy +15.5
77.7%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
OrangeAcademy +16.5
80.2%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
OrangeAcademy under 83.5
72.2%
1.37
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
OrangeAcademy +13.5
72.1%
1.38
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
OrangeAcademy +14.5
75.0%
1.29
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe +3.5
80.6%
1.22
Betano
1.22
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe +2.5
78.4%
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Overtime: no
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe +1.5
75.2%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe -1.5
70.5%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe (regulation)
70.5%
1.23
1xBet
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
Betano
1.20
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
PS Karlsruhe win
73.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.23
WilliamHill
1.22
Pinnacle
1.18
-4.5pp
Won
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They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PS Karlsruhetheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
PS Karlsruhe: 84.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
45.0
25.5
56.7%
-
51.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
16.5
5.5
33.3%
-
16.5
🏀Free throws
19.0
17.0
89.5%
-
17.0
Their opponents take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
OrangeAcademytheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PS Karlsruhetheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
PS Karlsruhe: 84.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
45.0
25.5
56.7%
-
51.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
16.5
5.5
33.3%
-
16.5
🏀Free throws
19.0
17.0
89.5%
-
17.0
Their opponents take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
OrangeAcademytheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
No box scores for this team yet.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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