PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Puerto Montt vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-77
19-28 23-18 21-12 24-19
Position#11
Record7-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#14
Record6-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game86.0
ChileLNBLNB - Final· Gimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Puerto Montt v Espanol de Talca
12 May 2024
PUER87
ESPA77
11 May 2024
PUER95
ESPA74
13 Apr 2024
PUER85
ESPA87
02 Apr 2023
PUER114
ESPA88
15 Jan 2022
PUER95
ESPA64
15 Dec 2017
PUER87
ESPA88
14 Dec 2016
PUER84
ESPA64
01 Nov 2014
PUER81
ESPA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Puerto Montt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Puerto MonttChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontt
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 57
A31/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 57
H14/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
49avg 57
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
51avg 57
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
63-86
63
86
-23
54avg 57
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
75avg 57
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 57
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 57
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
62avg 57
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
95-74
95
74
+21
85avg 57
H12/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
10-19
7-35
15-31
20-15
23-19
19-23
23-30
15-30
16-20
16-18
19-16
17-20
15-30
13-20
25-17
13-19
15-17
15-30
20-20
21-15
21-9
17-21
16-23
14-26
18-24
15-16
26-19
22-16
9-25
19-22
15-16
20-17
12-29
13-19
23-18
25-16
19-16
25-28
26-14
155.5Avg total
71.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.981.9151.8-12.026%
Season at home (14)72.281.0153.2-8.829%
Season away (13)67.482.8150.2-15.523%
Last 10 (10)71.284.3155.5-13.120%
Last 5 (5)75.277.8153.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.884.2153.0-15.424%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.078.8158.8+1.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H06/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 59
A07/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
87-85
87
85
+2
90avg 59
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
76avg 59
A14/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
52avg 59
H20/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 59
H21/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
73-101
73
101
-28
59avg 59
A28/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
71avg 59
A04/05
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
65avg 59
A05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
74-95
74
95
-21
56avg 59
A12/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
19-19
24-26
16-14
26-18
15-20
19-23
23-19
30-23
18-23
23-28
26-26
16-24
20-17
15-22
16-20
16-24
23-25
23-23
23-27
23-17
21-27
21-26
13-25
18-23
22-16
10-13
20-20
12-15
22-25
22-27
16-16
22-19
16-25
16-19
28-25
14-26
154.7Avg total
72.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.486.0161.4-10.622%
Season at home (13)73.981.2155.2-7.323%
Season away (14)76.990.4167.3-13.621%
Last 10 (10)72.182.6154.7-10.530%
Last 5 (5)79.892.0171.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.187.6160.7-14.416%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.483.8163.2-4.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Puerto MonttEspanol de Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A31/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H14/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A20/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/04
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H29/04
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/05
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A06/05
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/05
LNB
75.2Avg total
34.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.776.3-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.040.177.1-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)33.941.575.4-7.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.775.2-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.674.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.741.275.9-6.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A14/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/04
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A28/04
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/05
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/05
LNB
83.7Avg total
38.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.046.084.0-8.114%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.284.1-6.421%-
Last 30 away (15)37.146.883.9-9.77%-
Last 10 (9)38.844.983.7-6.111%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.284.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.847.084.8-9.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.641.680.2-3.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Puerto Montttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Puerto Montt: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.2
47.9%
50.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.8
28.9%
32.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
70.3%12.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.524.2
47.0%
50.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.6
28.7%
32.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.313.6
70.5%
70.3%13.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Puerto Montt
WLLLWLLLLL
Espanol de Talca
LLWLLLLWWL
#11
League position
#14
-17.3
Net rating
-13.3
92.6
Offensive rating
98.2
109.9
Defensive rating
111.5
46.4%
Effective FG%
45.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.9%
3-point %
28.7%
55.4%
Assist %
55.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 98.2Defence109.9 · 111.5Shooting46.4% · 45.9%3-point %28.9% · 28.7%Ball care20.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Puerto Montt   ■ Espanol de Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HEspanol de Talca95-74
06/05/24AValdivia68-83
04/05/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda65-79
29/04/24HPuente Alto73-85
28/04/24HSportiva Italiana75-68
21/04/24ANaviera Ulloa63-86
20/04/24AAncud70-87
14/04/24HU. De Concepcion66-84
14/04/24HEspanol de Talca85-87
31/03/24AEspanol Osorno52-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24APuerto Montt74-95
05/05/24AAncud82-87
04/05/24ANaviera Ulloa76-75 OT
28/04/24AU. De Concepcion73-101
21/04/24HLas Animas94-102 OT
20/04/24HEspanol Osorno67-83
14/04/24ACD Puerto Varas83-101
14/04/24APuerto Montt87-85
07/04/24ALeones Quilpue85-77
06/04/24HNaviera Ulloa0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Puerto Montt
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeLLWLW29%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %26%29%23%
Points / game69.972.267.4
Allowed / game81.981.082.8
Point differential-12.0-8.8-15.5
Avg total151.8153.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %22%23%21%
Points / game75.473.976.9
Allowed / game86.081.290.4
Point differential-10.6-7.3-13.6
Avg total161.4155.2167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2621581%85.468.6+16.8
2 Ancud2621581%83.477.8+5.5
3 Espanol Osorno2620677%83.570.5+12.9
4 U. De Concepcion2620677%86.979.3+7.6
5 Valdivia26151158%84.381.0+3.3
6 Puente Alto26141254%79.476.0+3.4
7 Las Animas28151354%81.280.7+0.5
8 Naviera Ulloa28121643%71.472.2-0.9
9 CD Puerto Varas28111739%79.582.7-3.1
10 Sportiva Italiana28111739%77.982.5-4.6
11 Catolica2681831%74.478.3-3.9
12 Puerto Montt2772026%69.981.9-12.0
13 Liceo Pablo Neruda2662023%70.684.0-13.4
14 Espanol de Talca2762122%75.486.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Puerto Montt1923212487
Espanol de Talca2818121977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.