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Purdue vs Arizona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 92-84
49-38 43-46
Position#8
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game69.1
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Position#31
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
W
98-45
98
45
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-17
47-28
42-29
45-28
37-29
46-42
30-35
43-28
30-31
41-36
45-33
33-42
44-29
55-38
40-32
36-44
45-24
42-44
47-49
45-37
154.7Avg total
85.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.669.1154.7+16.590%
Season at home (7)88.165.9154.0+22.3100%
Season away (3)79.776.7156.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)85.669.1154.7+16.590%
Last 5 (5)88.877.6166.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.264.9138.1+8.370%
vs Weaker (20)76.465.8142.2+10.685%
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A12/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H16/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
122-59
122
59
+63
H07/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
97-59
97
59
+38
H14/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H18/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
101-56
101
56
+45
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H02/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
28-25
31-30
24-29
61-26
61-33
41-33
37-40
35-23
62-36
56-35
44-33
43-37
58-19
40-30
34-38
35-30
47-25
48-31
50-42
149.7Avg total
86.8Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)94.063.9157.9+30.1100%
Season at home (6)100.061.7161.7+38.3100%
Season away (2)76.070.5146.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.862.9149.7+23.990%
Last 5 (5)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)65.065.0130.0+0.060%
vs Weaker (25)84.868.7153.5+16.184%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +11.4+11.42nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +12.5+12.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +11.4+11.42nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +12.5+12.5
PurdueArizona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H06/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
41.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.229.266.4+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.928.267.1+10.784%-
Last 30 away (11)34.231.065.2+3.273%-
Last 10 (10)41.130.871.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.233.477.6+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.529.666.1+6.970%-
vs Weaker (20)37.529.066.5+8.585%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Princeton
#52
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H16/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
61-26
61
26
+35
H07/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H18/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H09/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
42.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.032.773.7+8.379%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.631.973.5+9.682%-
Last 30 away (12)40.233.874.0+6.375%-
Last 10 (10)42.330.973.2+11.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.432.677.0+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.632.065.6+1.660%-
vs Weaker (24)42.532.975.4+9.783%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Purdue wins
0
Arizona wins
No previous meetings.
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HAlabama92-86
05/12/23HIowa87-68
02/12/23ANorthwestern88-92 OT
29/11/23HTexas Southern99-67
22/11/23AMarquette78-75
22/11/23HTennessee71-67
20/11/23AGonzaga73-63
14/11/23HXavier83-71
11/11/23HMorehead State87-57
06/11/23HSamford98-45
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HWisconsin98-73
02/12/23HColgate82-55
23/11/23AMichigan State74-68
19/11/23HUT Arlington101-56
18/11/23HBelmont100-68
14/11/23HSouthern Univ.97-59
11/11/23ADuke78-73
07/11/23HMorgan State122-59
16/03/23HPrinceton55-59
12/03/23AUCLA61-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%100%67%
Points / game85.688.179.7
Allowed / game69.165.976.7
Point differential+16.5+22.3+3.0
Avg total154.7154.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Arizona
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.0100.076.0
Allowed / game63.961.770.5
Point differential+30.1+38.3+5.5
Avg total157.9161.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue109190%85.669.1+16.5
2 Ohio State119282%79.566.6+12.9
3 Nebraska108280%77.366.8+10.5
4 Illinois97278%80.065.0+15.0
5 Oregon97278%80.269.7+10.6
6 Northwestern97278%75.666.9+8.7
7 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
8 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
9 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
10 Indiana107370%74.073.3+0.7
11 Washington96367%82.272.7+9.6
12 Maryland106460%73.464.4+9.0
13 UCLA95456%68.159.7+8.4
14 USC95456%78.972.7+6.2
15 Michigan116555%82.275.9+6.3
16 Michigan State105550%73.964.7+9.2
17 Iowa105550%84.879.7+5.1
18 Penn State115645%76.872.4+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona880100%94.063.9+30.1
2 Houston11110100%75.851.2+24.6
3 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
4 Brigham Young109190%89.461.9+27.5
5 Baylor109190%88.469.6+18.8
6 Cincinnati98189%86.165.8+20.3
7 TCU87188%88.567.1+21.4
8 Iowa State108280%86.059.2+26.8
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Utah Utes108280%80.271.0+9.2
11 Kansas State108280%80.972.5+8.4
12 Texas Tech97278%75.666.8+8.8
13 UCF Knights96367%78.067.7+10.3
14 Arizona State96367%70.169.0+1.1
15 Oklahoma State94544%73.967.2+6.7
16 West Virginia94544%64.265.8-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue494392
Arizona384684
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