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Queens Royals vs Winthrop Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 103-98
55-38 48-60
Position#223
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Queens Royals 🏆
USA
Vs
44%
56%
■ QUEE 44%■ WINT 56%
Pythia win probability
Projected 79-81
Projected total 159.8
Winthrop
USA
Position#247
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Queens Royals v Winthrop
02 Nov 2026
QUEE103
WINT98
03 Nov 2025
QUEE74
WINT81
03 Dec 2024
QUEE78
WINT86
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Queens Royals host Winthrop in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring the visitors and predicting a close contest; the Royals are expected to fall 44% to 56% to the Winthrop Eagles, who are projected to win 81 points to 79. The Royals' recent five outings include a 71-104 loss to Purdue, a 98-93 win over Central Arkansas and a 90-83 win over Austin Peay, while the Eagles have recorded a 76-91 loss to High Point, a 73-71 win over Presbyterian and an 86-81 win over Charleston Southern. In the three meetings between the clubs, Winthrop has won all three, most recently defeating Queens 81-74 on 3 November 2025. The spread is set at 1.5 in favour of the Royals, with the model estimating a 47% chance the Royals will cover, while the over/under line is 165.5 with a 36% probability of the over; a 5% chance of overtime is also noted. The projected total of 159.8 points suggests the game will be under the line, and the Eagles' 81-74 win last year remains a key reference for tonight's showdown.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Queens Royals winWon
44.2%fair 2.26
Best odds1.83
Implied53.2%
Edge-9.1pp
Winthrop winLost
55.8%fair 1.79
Best odds2.04
Implied46.8%
Edge+9.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 14:21 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Queens RoyalsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H12/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H14/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A19/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A28/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
A08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A20/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-52
37-43
52-38
35-43
28-33
57-45
42-39
49-45
45-50
51-29
24-31
55-53
33-25
38-38
47-40
43-43
30-34
52-48
33-45
38-59
169.9Avg total
85.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.584.4169.9+1.170%
Last 5 (5)81.885.4167.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.694.6177.1-12.022%
vs Similar (14)83.581.7165.2+1.871%
vs Weaker (7)92.675.3167.9+17.3100%
WinthropUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
103-85
103
85
+18
A13/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H19/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H07/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-36
38-42
38-35
41-39
55-35
48-50
30-27
38-37
35-42
52-47
36-42
48-44
39-32
35-38
37-40
49-41
32-25
41-46
33-39
43-52
159.9Avg total
81.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.078.9159.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.679.8158.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.085.0170.0+0.033%
vs Similar (5)73.880.8154.6-7.040%
vs Weaker (21)84.374.0158.4+10.381%
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
45.0%
@ 1.50-18.7pp
Under 161.5
55.0%
@ 2.70+18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 166.5 · main lineActual: Over 166.5
Over 166.5
33.5%
@ 1.88-16.5pp
Under 166.5
66.5%
@ 2.00+16.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Bet365
1.74
Under
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.90
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 171.5Actual: Over 171.5
Over 171.5
23.5%
@ 2.40-15.5pp
Under 171.5
76.5%
@ 1.54+15.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Queens Royals total 79Actual: Queens Royals over 79
Over 79
49.8%
Under 79
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Royals total 83 · main lineActual: Queens Royals over 83
Over 83
34.3%
@ 1.85-15.7pp
Under 83
65.7%
@ 1.85+15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Queens Royals total 87Actual: Queens Royals over 87
Over 87
21.3%
Under 87
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Winthrop total 80Actual: Winthrop over 80
Over 80
52.6%
Under 80
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Winthrop total 84 · main lineActual: Winthrop over 84
Over 84
36.8%
@ 1.85-13.2pp
Under 84
63.2%
@ 1.85+13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Winthrop total 87.5Actual: Winthrop over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Queens Royals -1.5Actual: Queens Royals -1.5
QUEE -1.5
41.4%
@ 1.67-15.0pp
WINT +1.5
58.6%
@ 2.15+15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
QUEE
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.64
WINT
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.12
Spread Queens Royals +1.5 · main lineActual: Queens Royals +1.5
QUEE +1.5
47.0%
@ 1.91-3.0pp
WINT -1.5
53.0%
@ 1.90+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
QUEE
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
WINT
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Queens Royals +4.5Actual: Queens Royals +4.5
QUEE +4.5
58.6%
@ 2.35+19.1pp
WINT -4.5
41.4%
@ 1.55-19.1pp
Best 5 market prices
QUEE
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.35
WINT
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
Queens RoyalsWinthrop
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Queens RoyalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H14/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A19/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A28/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/03
NCAA
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)40.039.879.8+0.253%40%
Last 30 at home (13)46.738.485.1+8.385%62%
Last 30 away (17)34.940.975.8-5.929%24%
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.340%40%
Last 5 (5)33.435.068.4-1.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.243.779.9-7.422%44%
vs Similar (14)40.839.580.3+1.357%43%
vs Weaker (7)43.435.478.9+8.086%29%
WinthropLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#176
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A13/02
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H19/02
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H07/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)39.134.773.8+4.463%20%
Last 30 at home (15)40.733.173.8+7.773%13%
Last 30 away (15)37.436.373.7+1.153%27%
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.460%10%
Last 5 (5)35.435.671.0-0.240%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.336.777.0+3.733%0%
vs Similar (5)34.440.675.0-6.240%20%
vs Weaker (21)39.533.973.4+5.671%24%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Queens Royals win
QUEE win
no forecast
@ 1.83
WINT win
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Queens Royals +1 · main lineActual: Queens Royals +1
QUEE +1
no forecast
@ 1.88
WINT -1
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Over 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Queens Royals 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Queens Royals over 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Winthrop 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Winthrop under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Queens Royals 0Actual: Queens Royals 0
QUEE 0
no forecast
@ 1.80
WINT 0
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Queens Royals +2.5Actual: Queens Royals +2.5
QUEE +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
WINT -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Queens Royals -1.5Actual: Queens Royals -1.5
QUEE -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
WINT +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Queens Royals +3.5Actual: Queens Royals +3.5
QUEE +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
WINT -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Queens Royals -2.5Actual: Queens Royals -2.5
QUEE -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
WINT +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Queens Royals +4.5Actual: Queens Royals +4.5
QUEE +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
WINT -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Queens Royals (regulation)
QUEE
no forecast
@ 1.90
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
WINT
no forecast
@ 2.08

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
QUEE win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
WINT win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: QUEE leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Winthrop +7.578.3%3.60
Betano
3.60		----+52.7ppWon
Queens Royals +9.575.3%3.50
Bet365
3.50		----+48.7ppWon
Queens Royals +974.5%3.40
Bet365
3.40		----+47.2ppWon
Winthrop +6.575.6%3.23
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.20		---+46.9ppWon
Winthrop +674.8%3.15
Bet365
3.15		----+45.3ppWon
Queens Royals +8.572.3%3.33
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.25		---+44.4ppWon
Queens Royals +871.5%3.15
Bet365
3.15		----+41.8ppWon
Winthrop +5.572.6%2.92
Betano
2.95
Bet365
2.90		---+41.0ppWon
Winthrop +571.6%2.85
Bet365
2.85		----+39.2ppPush
Under 16870.1%1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80		---+18.4ppLost
Under 17074.1%1.64
Bet365
1.64		----+17.8ppLost
Under 16972.2%1.71
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.71		---+17.6ppLost
Under 168.570.7%1.72
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.74
Betano
1.67		--+17.2ppLost
Under 17176.0%1.57
Bet365
1.57		----+17.1ppLost
Under 17277.8%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+16.6ppLost
Under 169.572.7%1.66
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.67
Betano
1.62		--+16.4ppLost
Under 170.574.6%1.58
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.55		---+16.0ppLost
Under 171.576.5%1.52
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50		---+15.5ppLost
Under 17379.6%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+15.4ppLost
Under 17481.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+15.2ppLost
Under 172.578.2%1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44		---+15.0ppLost
Under 174.581.5%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+14.5ppLost
Queens Royals under 84.570.3%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+14.5ppLost
Under 173.579.9%1.41
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.39		---+14.3ppLost
Queens Royals under 85.573.5%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+13.8ppLost
Under 17582.7%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+13.8ppLost
Queens Royals under 86.576.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+13.5ppLost
Under 175.583.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+13.5ppLost
Queens Royals under 87.579.3%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+13.2ppLost
Overtime: no94.6%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+4.9pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Queens Royals wins
3
Winthrop wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Queens Royals v Winthrop74-81
04/12/24Queens Royals v Winthrop78-86
05/12/23Winthrop v Queens Royals88-82
Queens Royalslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26APurdue71-104
08/03/26ACentral Arkansas98-93 OT
08/03/26AAustin Peay90-83
07/03/26HWest Georgia71-63
28/02/26ACentral Arkansas79-84
26/02/26AEastern Kentucky96-79
21/02/26HWest Georgia91-84
19/02/26ANorth Alabama85-78
14/02/26HLipscomb87-81
12/02/26HAustin Peay87-95
Winthroplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AHigh Point76-91
07/03/26HPresbyterian73-71
06/03/26HCharleston Southern86-81
28/02/26HPresbyterian74-70
27/02/26ACharleston Southern84-86
21/02/26AHigh Point87-89
19/02/26HUSC Upstate68-64
13/02/26AGardner Webb103-85
07/02/26HLongwood79-74
05/02/26ARadford80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Queens Royals
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 166.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Winthrop
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 166.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
2 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
3 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
4 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
5 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
6 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
7 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
8 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Queens Royals5548103
Winthrop386098
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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