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R. Rzeszow vs Bytom Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 85-84
Projected total 168.7
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game87.9
R. Rzeszow
Poland
Vs
55%
45%
■ R. R 55%■ BYTO 45%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Bytom
Poland
Position#12
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.4
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Hala sportowa zespo
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The 1 Liga clash on 15 November 2026 between R. Rzeszow and Bytom is a tight contest, with neither side holding a clear edge as both teams finish 2-6 this season, R. Rzeszow 15th and Bytom 13th, and their average points per game hovering around 80. R. Rzeszow has struggled at home, going 1-4 in five games and averaging 83.6 points while conceding 92.2, whereas Bytom's road form is 1-3, scoring 81.8 and allowing 84.8. In recent play R. Rzeszow won two of its last five, including a 89-80 home victory over GKS Tychy, while Bytom has lost all three of its most recent outings, most notably a 76-90 defeat to Leszno. The Pythia model rates R. Rzeszow as the favourite with a 55% chance of winning versus 45% for Bytom, projecting a razor-thin 85-84 scoreline and a total of 168.7 points; the home team's -5.0 line carries a 38% chance of covering, and there is a 5% probability of overtime. The game will hinge on whether R. Rzeszow can maintain its narrow lead against a Bytom side that has yet to secure a win on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

R. Rzeszow win
54.8%fair 1.82
Best odds1.52
Implied66.7%
Edge-11.9pp
Bytom win
45.2%fair 2.21
Best odds2.75
Implied33.3%
Edge+11.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

R. RzeszowPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRzeszow
Date
Competition
Poznan
#15
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 74
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
101-78
101
78
+23
102avg 74
H15/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
80-94
80
94
-14
66avg 74
H20/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
62-75
62
75
-13
53avg 74
A26/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
72-98
72
98
-26
66avg 74
H03/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
67-90
67
90
-23
57avg 74
A10/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
98-106
98
106
-8
87avg 74
H17/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 74
H24/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 74
A31/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H06/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
19-28
18-13
10-17
28-16
25-21
27-20
21-21
27-22
14-27
16-24
23-21
19-16
12-20
18-18
13-21
20-23
25-23
16-24
11-28
10-18
17-20
19-32
21-20
18-33
28-26
32-19
20-28
18-21
11-20
26-13
24-29
22-18
28-20
11-23
18-16
22-17
25-28
21-21
21-14
166.0Avg total
80.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.287.9166.1-9.625%
Season at home (5)83.692.2175.8-8.620%
Season away (3)69.380.7150.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)80.485.6166.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.785.8164.5-7.127%
vs Similar (15)80.383.9164.1-3.640%
vs Weaker (4)90.885.5176.2+5.250%
This opponent (Bytom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BytomPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBytom
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H01/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
92avg 75
H19/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 75
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 75
H03/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 75
A11/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 75
H17/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
67avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 75
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
A08/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
24-31
17-23
20-34
27-25
22-19
18-26
23-21
17-17
18-27
29-19
13-14
12-21
22-23
19-20
26-24
12-14
16-25
28-28
16-19
24-25
23-15
22-23
22-21
34-18
13-23
26-21
14-29
13-21
26-20
15-16
16-13
19-29
21-16
8-20
28-25
19-23
14-16
24-25
26-24
170.9Avg total
82.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.686.4168.0-4.825%
Season at home (4)81.588.0169.5-6.525%
Season away (4)81.884.8166.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)82.088.9170.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)82.286.4168.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.087.9167.9-7.823%
vs Similar (3)84.376.0160.3+8.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
This opponent (R. Rzeszow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
65.9%
Under 161.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.75 · main line
Over 166.75
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under 166.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
42.3%
Under 171.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

R. Rzeszow total 81.5
Over 81.5
63.1%
@ 1.38-0.4pp
Under 81.5
36.9%
@ 2.40+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.40
R. Rzeszow total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
47.8%
@ 1.83-2.5pp
Under 85.5
52.2%
@ 1.87+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.73
R. Rzeszow total 89.5
Over 89.5
33.0%
@ 2.35-4.2pp
Under 89.5
67.0%
@ 1.39+4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.39
Bytom total 76.5
Over 76.5
75.3%
@ 1.36+10.5pp
Under 76.5
24.7%
@ 2.50-10.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.50
Bytom total 80.5 · main line
Over 80.5
61.5%
@ 1.83+9.9pp
Under 80.5
38.5%
@ 1.88-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Bytom total 84.5
Over 84.5
46.3%
@ 2.26+7.7pp
Under 84.5
53.7%
@ 1.42-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.26
Under
1xBet
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread R. Rzeszow -8
R. R -8
27.7%
BYTO +8
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
R. R
No market prices yet.
BYTO
No market prices yet.
Spread R. Rzeszow -5 · main line
R. R -5
38.1%
@ 1.87-12.0pp
BYTO +5
61.9%
@ 1.84+12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
R. R
SBO
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
BYTO
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.79
Spread R. Rzeszow -2
R. R -2
49.7%
@ 1.53-9.5pp
BYTO +2
50.3%
@ 2.22+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
R. R
Pinnacle
1.53
BYTO
Pinnacle
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
R. RzeszowBytom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
R. RzeszowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#15
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H15/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A10/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H17/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A31/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/11
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
41.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)42.041.883.8+0.253%57%
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.9+4.471%71%
Last 30 away (13)37.242.679.8-5.431%38%
Last 10 (10)41.843.485.2-1.640%70%
Last 5 (5)39.844.284.0-4.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.743.081.7-4.336%55%
vs Similar (15)42.342.384.7+0.060%60%
vs Weaker (4)49.836.886.5+13.075%50%
This opponent (Bytom) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BytomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H01/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/04
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A24/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
1 Liga
81.9Avg total
39.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)41.241.482.6-0.243%50%
Last 30 at home (18)41.241.682.8-0.439%56%
Last 30 away (12)41.241.282.4+0.150%42%
Last 10 (10)39.242.781.9-3.530%50%
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)40.942.183.0-1.238%54%
vs Similar (3)41.738.380.0+3.367%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%0%
This opponent (R. Rzeszow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
R. R win
no forecast
@ 1.62
BYTO win
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread R. Rzeszow -2.5 · main line
R. R -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
BYTO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
R. Rzeszow 1st half total 42.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Bytom 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: R. R + total 82.5
R. R & over
no forecast
@ 3.25
R. R & under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
R. R
no forecast
@ 1.66
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
BYTO
no forecast
@ 2.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
R. R win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
BYTO win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: R. R leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BYTO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Bytom +7.570.1%1.51
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.48		---+11.2pp
Bytom over 77.572.1%1.42
1xBet
1.42		----+10.6pp
Bytom over 76.575.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+10.5pp
Bytom +8.573.2%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+10.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
R. Rzeszowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

R. Rzeszow: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.6
32.5%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
70.8%13.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bytomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bytom: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.7
51.8%
53.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.7%
33.5%24.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.3%
70.8%15.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
R. Rzeszow
WWLLLLLLWW
Bytom
LLLLWLLWLL
#13
League position
#12
-8.0
Net rating
-5.2
89.3
Offensive rating
89.5
97.3
Defensive rating
94.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
31.7%
67.1%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 89.5Defence97.3 · 94.7Shooting49.0% · 50.1%3-point %32.5% · 31.7%Ball care15.1% · 16.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ R. Rzeszow   ■ Bytom
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
R. Rzeszow wins
0
Bytom wins
No previous meetings.
R. Rzeszowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HGKS Tychy89-80
31/10/26AStarogard Gdanski79-77
24/10/26HPolonia Warszawa79-83
17/10/26HPelplin98-106
10/10/26AWKK Wroclaw67-90
03/10/26HLeszno72-98
26/09/26AInowroclaw62-75
20/09/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg80-94
15/04/26HPelplin101-78
12/04/26HPoznan77-75
Bytomlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AWKK Wroclaw83-88
31/10/26HLeszno76-90
24/10/26AInowroclaw74-79 OT
17/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg87-91
11/10/26ALancut91-84
03/10/26HLKS Lodz72-86
26/09/26ASpojnia Stargard79-88
19/09/26HKrosno91-85 OT
05/04/23ADziki Warszawa90-91
01/04/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg77-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

R. Rzeszow
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game78.283.669.3
Allowed / game87.992.280.7
Point differential-9.6-8.6-11.3
Avg total166.1175.8150.0
Over 166.7550%80%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bytom
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game81.681.581.8
Allowed / game86.488.084.8
Point differential-4.8-6.5-3.0
Avg total168.0169.5166.5
Over 166.7562%50%75%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
9 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
14 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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