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Racing de Chivilcoy vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 82-77
Projected total 158.4
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.8
Racing de Chivilcoy
Argentina
Vs
67%
33%
■ RACI 67%■ LANU 33%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Lanus
Argentina
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Racing de Chivilcoy will host Lanus on 17 November 2026 in the Liga A, a matchup that pits a team on a starkly different run against a side that has shown some resilience; Racing sits at 3-6 while Lanus is 4-7. Racing's nine games this season have yielded 79.4 points scored and 82.8 points allowed, with a 13th place league position, but its home form is poorer, 1-4 with 78.4 points for and 85.8 against, and the last five games have produced five straight defeats, including losses to Regatas 68-80, Instituto de Cordoba 71-75 and Atenas 94-95. Lanus, in contrast, has a 4-7 record overall, 78.5 points scored and 79.3 allowed, and a 11th place standing; on the road it has gone 0-5, averaging 80.0 points and conceding 89.2, yet its last five games include three wins and two losses, with a 93-57 home victory over La Union and defeats to Quimsa 71-88 and Olimpico 94-95. Pythia names Racing the favourite with a 67% chance of winning versus 33% for Lanus, projecting an 82-77 score for a total of 158.4 points, and a 5% chance of overtime; the model also estimates a 58% probability that Racing will cover the line. The game will likely hinge on Racing's ability to overcome its recent slump and Lanus's struggle to maintain consistency on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Racing de Chivilcoy win
66.7%fair 1.50
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lanus win
33.3%fair 3.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Racing de ChivilcoyArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChivilcoy
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 69
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
114avg 69
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
63avg 69
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 69
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
65avg 69
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 69
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
39avg 69
H25/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Regatas
#16
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-27
24-22
17-28
30-18
16-23
19-23
25-26
18-20
19-17
16-16
19-25
17-23
27-22
19-18
21-15
9-19
18-19
21-12
17-15
15-21
28-23
12-21
17-15
16-17
8-19
16-14
14-18
22-22
25-20
14-21
27-25
32-12
15-25
14-27
10-11
16-17
19-15
22-25
11-23
162.9Avg total
79.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.482.8162.2-3.333%
Season at home (5)78.485.8164.2-7.420%
Season away (4)80.879.0159.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.183.8162.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)71.879.6151.4-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.381.4156.7-6.121%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.783.1165.9-0.460%
vs Weaker (1)90.098.0188.0-8.00%
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLanus
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
67-58
67
58
+9
51avg 63
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#13
L
93-108
93
108
-15
89avg 63
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
50avg 63
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
52avg 63
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
61avg 63
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 63
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
no box
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
22-21
30-22
16-21
26-31
19-18
22-27
11-29
19-14
29-13
26-14
24-13
14-17
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.579.3157.8-0.736%
Season at home (6)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
Season away (5)80.089.2169.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.784.3164.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.178.9158.1+0.241%
vs Weaker (7)84.773.4158.1+11.386%
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152.5
Over 152.5
63.2%
Under 152.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
51.3%
Under 157.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
39.4%
Under 162.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Racing de Chivilcoy total 76.5
Over 76.5
69.2%
Under 76.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing de Chivilcoy total 80.5
Over 80.5
54.3%
Under 80.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing de Chivilcoy total 84.5
Over 84.5
38.8%
Under 84.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 73
Over 73
64.2%
Under 73
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 77
Over 77
48.4%
Under 77
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 81
Over 81
33.0%
Under 81
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Racing de Chivilcoy -3
RACI -3
58.4%
LANU +3
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
RACI
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.
Spread Racing de Chivilcoy 0
RACI 0
66.7%
LANU 0
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
RACI
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.
Spread Racing de Chivilcoy +3
RACI +3
74.8%
LANU -3
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
RACI
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Racing de ChivilcoyLanus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Racing de ChivilcoyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#15
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H25/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Liga A
Regatas
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/11
Liga A
78.0Avg total
38.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.380.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.679.6+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.281.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.578.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.641.480.0-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.838.579.3+2.353%-
vs Weaker (1)47.051.098.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#13
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Liga A
82.2Avg total
42.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.479.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.741.583.2+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.540.479.8-0.947%-
vs Weaker (7)40.433.774.1+6.757%-
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Racing de Chivilcoytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Racing de Chivilcoy: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
72.7%17.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Racing de Chivilcoy
LLLLLWWLWL
Lanus
WLLWWLLLLW
#14
League position
#12
-1.3
Net rating
-4.5
107.8
Offensive rating
104.8
109.1
Defensive rating
109.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
45.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.7%
3-point %
27.8%
48.2%
Assist %
48.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 104.8Defence109.1 · 109.3Shooting50.2% · 45.8%3-point %32.7% · 27.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Racing de Chivilcoy   ■ Lanus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Racing de Chivilcoy wins
0
Lanus wins
No previous meetings.
Racing de Chivilcoylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HRegatas68-80
04/11/26AInstituto de Cordoba71-75
02/11/26AAtenas94-95 OT
25/10/26HQuimsa54-68
24/10/26HBoca Juniors72-80
16/10/26ALa Union74-68 OT
14/10/26AObera TC84-78
11/10/26HGimnasia72-78
09/10/26HSan Martin126-123 OT
18/04/26HRegatas76-93
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Union93-57
07/11/26AQuimsa71-88
05/11/26AOlimpico94-95
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Racing de Chivilcoy
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game79.478.480.8
Allowed / game82.885.879.0
Point differential-3.3-7.4+1.8
Avg total162.2164.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %33%20%50%
Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game78.577.380.0
Allowed / game79.371.089.2
Point differential-0.7+6.3-9.2
Avg total157.8148.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol86275%80.177.5+2.6
3 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
4 Gimnasia118373%78.075.5+2.5
5 Atenas75271%85.982.3+3.6
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
8 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
9 Platense73443%79.680.1-0.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Ferro83538%84.283.6+0.6
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Independiente de Oliva31233%92.089.0+3.0
14 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
15 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
16 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
17 San Lorenzo72529%70.779.1-8.4
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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