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Radnicki Gorazde vs Gradina Tesanj Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-82
27-26 25-20 16-12 19-24
Position#10
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game90.8
Vs
58%
42%
■ RADN 58%■ GRAD 42%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-80
Projected total 163.2
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.0
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 5· Sportska Dvorana Mirsad Huri
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Radnicki Gorazde host Gradina Tesanj in the Prvenstvo BiH. Pythia makes Radnicki Gorazde the favourite at 58% and projects 83-80, about 163 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Radnicki Gorazde are 0-4 this season (82.2 scored, 90.8 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Gradina Tesanj are 1-3 this season (72.0 scored, 79.0 allowed a game), form LWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnicki Gorazde winWon
58.0%fair 1.72
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gradina Tesanj winLost
42.0%fair 2.38
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Radnicki GorazdeBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorazde
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
65avg 71
A07/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
77avg 71
H14/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 71
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
54avg 71
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 71
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 71
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 71
H04/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
64avg 71
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#2
L
77-78
77
78
-1
77avg 71
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
73avg 71
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-24
21-18
23-14
24-13
15-20
13-19
26-22
26-23
24-19
25-28
13-23
15-24
13-15
19-12
21-10
27-19
11-25
20-19
12-23
28-19
16-28
21-22
20-15
22-21
16-21
21-22
23-23
20-29
27-29
16-20
21-21
18-21
15-22
23-21
21-14
11-32
19-22
30-18
26-27
164.2Avg total
80.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.290.8173.0-8.50%
Season at home (2)79.582.5162.0-3.00%
Season away (2)85.099.0184.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.084.2164.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)82.889.4172.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)80.491.0171.3-10.614%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.977.1155.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (1)65.054.0119.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Gradina Tesanj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gradina TesanjBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTesanj
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
46avg 65
A05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
94avg 65
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#13
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 65
A18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
66-91
66
91
-25
62avg 65
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-17
13-18
17-18
19-19
31-17
20-20
17-17
16-20
19-15
17-18
14-23
21-21
18-20
13-26
14-24
151.0Avg total
72.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.079.0151.0-7.025%
Season at home (2)76.582.0158.5-5.550%
Season away (2)67.576.0143.5-8.50%
Last 10 (4)72.079.0151.0-7.025%
Last 5 (4)72.079.0151.0-7.025%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.583.5151.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Radnicki Gorazde) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154Actual: Over 154
Over 154
70.8%
Under 154
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159
Over 159
59.3%
Under 159
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164
Over 164
47.0%
Under 164
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Radnicki Gorazde total 77.5Actual: Radnicki Gorazde over 77.5
Over 77.5
69.3%
Under 77.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki Gorazde total 81.5Actual: Radnicki Gorazde over 81.5
Over 81.5
54.5%
Under 81.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki Gorazde total 85.5Actual: Radnicki Gorazde over 85.5
Over 85.5
39.1%
Under 85.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gradina Tesanj total 73.5Actual: Gradina Tesanj over 73.5
Over 73.5
74.6%
Under 73.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gradina Tesanj total 77.5Actual: Gradina Tesanj over 77.5
Over 77.5
60.8%
Under 77.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gradina Tesanj total 81.5Actual: Gradina Tesanj over 81.5
Over 81.5
45.5%
Under 81.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Radnicki Gorazde -3Actual: Radnicki Gorazde -3
RADN -3
49.0%
GRAD +3
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
RADN
No market prices yet.
GRAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Radnicki Gorazde 0Actual: Radnicki Gorazde 0
RADN 0
58.0%
GRAD 0
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
RADN
No market prices yet.
GRAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Radnicki Gorazde +3Actual: Radnicki Gorazde +3
RADN +3
66.9%
GRAD -3
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
RADN
No market prices yet.
GRAD
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
Radnicki GorazdeGradina Tesanj
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Radnicki GorazdeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promo
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A07/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Jahorina
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H29/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Student Igokea
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
83.6Avg total
38.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.582.6-6.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.542.181.6-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.547.083.5-10.50%-
Last 10 (10)38.545.183.6-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.448.887.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.946.084.9-7.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.842.479.1-5.612%-
vs Weaker (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Gradina Tesanj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gradina TesanjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H11/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloboda
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
78.8Avg total
40.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)40.838.078.8+2.825%-
Last 30 at home (2)44.538.583.0+6.050%-
Last 30 away (2)37.037.574.5-0.50%-
Last 10 (4)40.838.078.8+2.825%-
Last 5 (4)40.838.078.8+2.825%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.579.5-1.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.535.578.0+7.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Radnicki Gorazde) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Radnicki Gorazdetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Radnicki Gorazde: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.0
52.9%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
67.8%14.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gradina Tesanjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gradina Tesanj: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.8
53.4%
53.5%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
72.9%
67.8%12.8
They take 54.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Radnicki Gorazde
LLLLWLWLWW
Gradina Tesanj
LLWL
#10
League position
#11
-5.7
Net rating
-8.9
90.9
Offensive rating
87.2
96.6
Defensive rating
96.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.1%
3-point %
32.0%
50.5%
Assist %
81.1%
40%
Form (last 10/4)
25%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 87.2Defence96.6 · 96.1Shooting50.6% · 50.9%3-point %31.1% · 32.0%Ball care16.4% · 17.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/4)40% · 25%
■ Radnicki Gorazde   ■ Gradina Tesanj
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Radnicki Gorazde wins
0
Gradina Tesanj wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AIgman86-99
17/10/26HBasket Zivinice77-78
11/10/26AOrlovik84-99
04/10/26HBorac Banja Luka82-87
18/04/26ASloboda85-84
11/04/26HStudent Igokea70-86
05/04/26AMrkonjic Grad68-61
29/03/26HJahorina88-93
14/03/26HLeotar Trebinje78-74
07/03/26APromo82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HSloboda66-91
18/10/26AMrkonjic Grad66-76
11/10/26HDrina87-73
05/10/26ASiroki Brijeg69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Radnicki Gorazde
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.279.585.0
Allowed / game90.882.599.0
Point differential-8.5-3.0-14.0
Avg total173.0162.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gradina Tesanj
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.076.567.5
Allowed / game79.082.076.0
Point differential-7.0-5.5-8.5
Avg total151.0158.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
2 Basket Zivinice54180%75.470.6+4.8
3 Orlovik43175%85.580.2+5.2
4 Leotar Trebinje43175%73.271.8+1.5
5 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
6 Zrinjski Mostar53260%77.272.4+4.8
7 Slavija53260%86.883.2+3.6
8 Igman53260%88.887.6+1.2
9 Borac Banja Luka42250%76.875.2+1.5
10 Gradina Tesanj41325%72.079.0-7.0
11 Drina41325%73.886.2-12.5
12 Mrkonjic Grad51420%72.883.2-10.4
13 Promo51420%66.077.4-11.4
14 Radnicki Gorazde4040%82.290.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Radnicki Gorazde2725161987
Gradina Tesanj2620122482
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