PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Rice faces Texas A&M-CC on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Rice and projecting a 76-69 win at 74% probability. Rice has a 1-2 record in all games this season, scoring 81.3 points per game and allowing 72.7, while Texas A&M-CC sits 2-1, averaging 74.7 points scored and 61.7 points allowed. At home Rice is 1-1, posting 85.5 points and 63.5 allowed, and has won two of its last five games; recent results include a 100-55 victory over Dallas Christian, a 73-91 loss to Stanford away, and a 71-72 defeat to East Texas A&M at home. Texas A&M-CC's road record is 1-1 with 61.0 points scored and 63.5 allowed, and it has won three of its last five outings; recent outcomes feature a 102-58 home win over Dallas Christian, a 67-60 away win at Louisiana Lafayette, and a 55-67 loss to Texas State away. The projected total is 145.3 points, and the model assigns a 26% chance to Texas A&M-CC. The game carries a 4% probability of overtime. Rice's offensive edge and the model's confidence suggest a close contest that could swing on the final minutes.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 81.3 | 72.7 | 154.0 | +8.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 85.5 | 63.5 | 149.0 | +22.0 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 91.0 | 164.0 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.9 | 73.9 | 148.8 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 70.2 | 146.6 | +6.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 70.1 | 79.9 | 150.0 | -9.8 | 33% |
| vs Similar (10) | 72.8 | 75.6 | 148.4 | -2.8 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 81.8 | 70.5 | 152.2 | +11.2 | 62% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 74.7 | 61.7 | 136.3 | +13.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 102.0 | 58.0 | 160.0 | +44.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 61.0 | 63.5 | 124.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.6 | 65.2 | 135.8 | +5.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.2 | 61.2 | 132.4 | +10.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 58.0 | 68.8 | 126.8 | -10.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 59.0 | 61.5 | 120.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 77.1 | 65.3 | 142.4 | +11.8 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.5 | 33.6 | 68.1 | +0.9 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 36.4 | 32.9 | 69.3 | +3.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.3 | 34.4 | 66.6 | -2.1 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.9 | 32.7 | 68.6 | +3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 30.2 | 67.4 | +7.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 31.4 | 36.0 | 67.4 | -4.6 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 33.9 | 32.0 | 65.9 | +1.9 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 39.9 | 31.9 | 71.8 | +8.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.1 | 30.0 | 64.1 | +4.0 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.8 | 29.4 | 64.2 | +5.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 33.3 | 30.7 | 64.0 | +2.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.9 | 31.2 | 64.1 | +1.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 30.6 | 67.4 | +6.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 28.3 | 32.2 | 60.5 | -3.8 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 24.0 | 26.0 | 50.0 | -2.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 36.5 | 29.8 | 66.4 | +6.7 | 68% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Stanford | 73-91 |
| 06/11/26 | H | East Texas A&M | 71-72 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Dallas Christian | 100-55 |
| 08/03/26 | H | UTSA Roadrunners | 80-71 |
| 05/03/26 | A | North Texas | 58-62 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Temple | 80-74 |
| 26/02/26 | H | South Florida | 56-75 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Tulane | 75-81 |
| 14/02/26 | H | East Carolina | 75-85 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Florida Atlantic | 81-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Dallas Christian | 102-58 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Louisiana Lafayette | 67-60 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Texas State | 55-67 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Stephen F. Austin | 58-60 |
| 09/03/26 | H | New Orleans | 74-61 |
| 03/03/26 | H | East Texas A&M | 84-71 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Northwestern St. | 71-59 |
| 24/02/26 | A | SE Louisiana | 73-68 |
| 22/02/26 | A | McNeese State | 54-70 |
| 17/02/26 | H | Stephen F. Austin | 68-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 85.5 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.7 | 63.5 | 91.0 |
| Point differential | +8.7 | +22.0 | -18.0 |
| Avg total | 154.0 | 149.0 | 164.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 74.7 | 102.0 | 61.0 |
| Allowed / game | 61.7 | 58.0 | 63.5 |
| Point differential | +13.0 | +44.0 | -2.5 |
| Avg total | 136.3 | 160.0 | 124.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  Tulane | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.3 | 82.7 | +4.7 |
| 6 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  Charlotte | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 72.3 | 68.3 | +4.0 |
| 8 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 9 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 10 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 11 | Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stephen F. Austin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 54.7 | +40.3 |
| 2 |  Houston Christian | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.7 | 62.7 | +27.0 |
| 3 |  Lamar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 109.0 | 67.3 | +41.7 |
| 4 |  McNeese State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 100.3 | 80.7 | +19.7 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-CC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.7 | 61.7 | +13.0 |
| 6 |  UTRGV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 71.3 | 62.0 | +9.3 |
| 7 |  New Orleans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 73.5 | 82.5 | -9.0 |
| 8 |  Nicholls State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 78.7 | 67.7 | +11.0 |
| 9 |  SE Louisiana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 87.3 | -23.0 |
| 10 |  Northwestern St. | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 77.8 | -13.5 |
| 11 |  Incarnate Word | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 60.8 | 79.2 | -18.5 |
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