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RIG Mark W vs Kvarnby Lions W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-69
21-18 19-11 8-19 14-21
Position#15
Record5-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game63.2
RIG Mark W
Sweden
vs
Kvarnby Lions W 🏆
Sweden
Position#12
Record8-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game62.6
SwedenBasketettan W· Kinnahallen (Kinna)
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RIG Mark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarnby Lions W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RIG Mark WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Huddinge W
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
58avg 48
A23/09
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#2
L
42-68
42
68
-26
30avg 48
H14/10
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#24
W
83-51
83
51
+32
64avg 48
H28/10
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#3
L
50-70
50
70
-20
35avg 48
A03/11
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
74avg 48
A15/11
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#22
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
no box
A25/11
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 48
A02/12
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#9
L
31-57
31
57
-26
14avg 48
A09/12
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#10
W
68-63
68
63
+5
63avg 48
H20/12
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
50avg 48
A14/01
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
14-15
15-12
21-6
7-19
10-17
14-22
11-10
21-20
24-11
21-10
17-10
10-19
13-19
16-8
11-24
21-12
20-18
21-17
19-23
18-15
22-11
7-15
15-21
2-35
19-16
18-14
24-14
8-9
10-20
11-9
2-19
18-20
12-13
22-12
16-18
16-11
11-18
13-11
14-19
126.5Avg total
62.1Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)62.563.2125.7-0.645%
Season at home (3)64.360.7125.0+3.767%
Season away (8)61.964.1126.0-2.238%
Last 10 (10)62.164.4126.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)58.869.0127.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)56.869.0125.8-12.218%
vs Similar (3)62.764.7127.3-2.067%
vs Weaker (16)72.756.6129.2+16.169%
This opponent (Kvarnby Lions W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kvarnby Lions WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Onsala W
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 56
A18/10
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
64avg 56
A21/10
Basketettan W
RIG Mark W
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 56
H15/11
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
44avg 56
A19/11
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
W
64-56
64
56
+8
63avg 56
H25/11
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
42avg 56
H02/12
Basketettan W
Sodertalje 2 W
#19
W
59-38
59
38
+21
51avg 56
A16/12
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#23
W
78-58
78
58
+20
79avg 56
A17/12
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#10
W
68-55
68
55
+13
66avg 56
H06/01
Basketettan W
Haga Norrkoping W
#18
L
57-64
57
64
-7
no box
A13/01
Basketettan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
23-25
24-19
19-18
21-15
19-27
18-20
21-15
12-21
18-20
17-21
23-19
13-20
13-8
8-11
19-12
9-6
8-18
26-11
21-21
13-17
16-10
10-15
11-17
11-8
22-11
8-9
18-10
23-13
20-23
19-11
16-11
17-15
14-12
17-10
20-18
23-16
11-19
11-18
12-11
127.4Avg total
65.5Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.162.6128.7+3.553%
Season at home (6)65.061.5126.5+3.550%
Season away (9)66.863.3130.1+3.456%
Last 10 (10)65.561.9127.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)62.454.8117.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.762.3114.0-10.733%
vs Similar (5)67.665.4133.0+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.160.7131.9+10.457%
This opponent (RIG Mark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
RIG Mark WKvarnby Lions W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RIG Mark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge W
#23
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A23/09
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#2
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H14/10
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#24
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A03/11
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A15/11
Basketettan W
IK Eos Utveckling W
#22
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A25/11
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A02/12
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A09/12
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#10
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H20/12
Basketettan W
Malbas Malmo W
#2
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A14/01
Basketettan W
62.2Avg total
29.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.731.163.8+1.748%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.130.865.9+4.350%-
Last 30 away (17)31.131.262.3-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.562.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)27.233.660.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.134.061.1-6.927%-
vs Similar (3)33.737.771.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (15)36.727.664.3+9.167%-
This opponent (Kvarnby Lions W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kvarnby Lions WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Onsala W
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A21/10
Basketettan W
RIG Mark W
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H15/11
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#3
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A19/11
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#7
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H25/11
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/12
Basketettan W
Sodertalje 2 W
#19
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/12
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A17/12
Basketettan W
Onsala W
#10
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H06/01
Basketettan W
Haga Norrkoping W
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/01
Basketettan W
63.9Avg total
31.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)31.132.063.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (6)27.528.556.0-1.050%-
Last 30 away (9)33.634.367.9-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.732.263.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.028.862.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.731.354.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (5)30.232.662.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.431.967.3+3.657%-
This opponent (RIG Mark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
RIG Mark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RIG Mark W: 59.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.813.6
40.1%
40.9%27.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.0
25.8%
26.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.48.3
57.7%
65.1%8.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnby Lions Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarnby Lions W: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
55%
28%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.719.9
43.5%
40.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.6
30.6%
26.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.2
65.1%
65.1%11.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
RIG Mark W
LWLLLWLWLW
Kvarnby Lions W
LWWWLWWLWL
#15
League position
#12
-2.2
Net rating
+9.2
75.0
Offensive rating
88.7
77.3
Defensive rating
79.6
39.5%
Effective FG%
44.2%
36.7%
Opp. effective FG%
40.0%
28.7%
Turnover %
25.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.8%
3-point %
30.6%
49.5%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence75.0 · 88.7Defence77.3 · 79.6Shooting39.5% · 44.2%3-point %25.8% · 30.6%Ball care28.7% · 25.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ RIG Mark W   ■ Kvarnby Lions W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
RIG Mark W wins
0
Kvarnby Lions W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Kvarnby Lions W v RIG Mark W70-81
RIG Mark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AMalbas Malmo W54-59
20/12/23HOnsala W68-63
09/12/23ALobas W31-57
02/12/23AKFUM Kalmar W63-79
25/11/23AIK Eos Utveckling W78-87 OT
15/11/23AKvarnby Lions W81-70
03/11/23ABrahe W50-70
28/10/23HTeam4Q W83-51
14/10/23HMalbas Malmo W42-68
23/09/23AHuddinge W71-40
Kvarnby Lions Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AHaga Norrkoping W57-64
06/01/24HOnsala W68-55
17/12/23AHuddinge W78-58
16/12/23ASodertalje 2 W59-38
02/12/23HLobas W50-59
25/11/23HKFUM Kalmar W64-56
19/11/23ABrahe W53-51
15/11/23HRIG Mark W70-81
21/10/23AKFUM Kalmar W79-77
18/10/23AOnsala W77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

RIG Mark W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %45%67%38%
Points / game62.564.361.9
Allowed / game63.260.764.1
Point differential-0.6+3.7-2.2
Avg total125.7125.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%12%
Kvarnby Lions W
Basketettan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game66.165.066.8
Allowed / game62.661.563.3
Point differential+3.5+3.5+3.4
Avg total128.7126.5130.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas Malmo W13130100%69.045.3+23.7
2 RIG Lulea W1312192%78.555.9+22.6
3 Alvik 2 W1513287%84.764.5+20.1
4 Tureberg W1714382%72.552.3+20.2
5 Lulea Stars W1310377%70.658.8+11.8
6 Brahe W129375%63.850.4+13.3
7 KFUM Kalmar W1410471%72.962.9+9.9
8 Fryshuset Basket W159660%74.962.5+12.3
9 Lobas W127558%58.848.2+10.5
10 Hammarby W127558%68.261.7+6.5
11 Onsala W148657%66.564.2+2.3
12 Blackeberg W169756%73.461.6+11.8
13 Lidingo W158753%68.963.0+5.9
14 Eskilstuna W158753%67.863.3+4.5
15 Kvarnby Lions W158753%66.162.6+3.5
16 RIG Mark W115645%62.563.2-0.6
17 Sodertalje 2 W156940%60.867.5-6.7
18 Haga Norrkoping W124833%46.046.3-0.3
19 IK Eos Utveckling W134931%64.870.5-5.7
20 KFUM Uppsala W134931%63.670.8-7.2
21 Lulea 2 W1541127%59.165.9-6.7
22 Team4Q W1431121%49.377.3-28.0
23 Umea W1631319%61.167.9-6.8
24 Huddinge W1321115%52.570.9-18.4
25 Ostersund 2 W161156%43.791.9-48.2
26 Norrort W130130%44.692.8-48.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
RIG Mark W211981462
Kvarnby Lions W1811192169
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