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Rocamora W vs Deportivo Chanares W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 71-68
Projected total 138.5
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game54.8
Vs
62%
38%
■ ROCA 62%■ DEPO 38%
Pythia win probability
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game65.2
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Tomas de Rocamora
Women2027
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Rocamora W will host Deportivo Chanares W in the Liga Femenina Women on 15 November 2026, a clash that pits a flawless 5-0 season run against a 1-5 record that has left the Chanares struggling on the road; the difference is stark. Rocamora's 5-0 campaign has yielded an average of 74.2 points per game while allowing 54.8, and they are 1st in the league; at home they are 4-0, scoring 76.2 and conceding 54.2. Their last five games were all victories, including a 86-21 win over Sociedad Espanola W, an 81-70 win over Hindu W and a 70-65 win over San Jose W. Deportivo Chanares, meanwhile, have played six games this season, winning only once and allowing 65.2 points per game; on the road they are 1-3, scoring 64.5 and conceding 61.5, with a single win against Sociedad Espanola W 79-33. Their head-to-head history is a single meeting, which Rocamora won 66-57 on 10 October 2026. Pythia rates Rocamora as the favourite with a 62% chance of winning versus 38% for the Chanares, projecting a 71-68 score and 138.5 total points; the 2.5-point line favours Rocamora and the model sees a 68% chance they will cover, with a 5% chance of overtime. The next game will decide whether the Chanares can turn their season around.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rocamora W win
61.5%fair 1.62
Best odds1.40
Implied65.8%
Edge-4.2pp
Deportivo Chanares W win
38.5%fair 2.60
Best odds2.81
Implied34.2%
Edge+4.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rocamora WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Florida W
#10
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A27/02
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#14
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H04/03
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
60-103
60
103
-43
H22/03
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A26/03
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A29/03
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#5
W
81-70 OT
81
70
+11
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
86-21
86
21
+65
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
27-28
13-13
15-15
12-19
23-16
17-13
13-26
10-32
22-22
17-30
11-19
18-23
18-19
11-21
16-15
16-18
16-33
13-24
8-21
16-19
14-12
18-12
18-14
22-14
11-9
22-18
13-20
22-11
17-19
13-20
18-15
9-13
20-12
18-25
19-16
11-7
29-5
24-4
22-5
138.0Avg total
68.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.254.8129.0+19.4100%
Season at home (4)76.254.2130.5+22.0100%
Season away (1)66.057.0123.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.269.8138.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)74.254.8129.0+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)60.676.1136.7-15.412%
vs Similar (1)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)72.551.0123.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Deportivo Chanares W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo Chanares WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berazategui W
#7
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H26/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H09/05
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#1
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#5
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
79-33
79
33
+46
A01/11
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H11/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
11-9
16-14
14-15
17-12
9-7
14-19
17-9
9-26
13-24
10-19
24-20
22-26
13-23
14-19
13-16
19-16
12-14
12-18
14-18
12-20
18-17
19-24
17-17
10-25
22-14
19-19
8-18
15-13
17-19
9-20
13-7
14-6
23-4
23-11
19-12
18-23
14-19
19-15
13-22
127.4Avg total
61.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.265.2128.3-2.017%
Season at home (2)60.572.5133.0-12.00%
Season away (4)64.561.5126.0+3.025%
Last 10 (10)61.266.2127.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)64.465.0129.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)61.574.8136.2-13.20%
vs Similar (5)61.067.8128.8-6.840%
vs Weaker (21)76.259.4135.6+16.895%
This opponent (Rocamora W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 129
Over 129
71.9%
Under 129
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 134.25 · main line
Over 134.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 134.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 139
Over 139
48.1%
Under 139
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rocamora W total 61.5
Over 61.5
82.2%
Under 61.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rocamora W total 65.5 · main line
Over 65.5
70.2%
@ 1.85+14.1pp
Under 65.5
29.8%
@ 2.31-14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.31
BetVictor
1.85
Rocamora W total 69.5
Over 69.5
55.5%
@ 1.85+5.0pp
Under 69.5
44.5%
@ 1.85-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.64
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Deportivo Chanares W total 60.5
Over 60.5
75.3%
@ 1.42+13.9pp
Under 60.5
24.7%
@ 2.26-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.26
Deportivo Chanares W total 64.5 · main line
Over 64.5
61.5%
@ 1.85+11.5pp
Under 64.5
38.5%
@ 1.85-11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.63
Deportivo Chanares W total 68.5
Over 68.5
46.2%
@ 2.35+9.0pp
Under 68.5
53.8%
@ 1.39-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rocamora W -0.5
ROCA -0.5
61.5%
DEPO +0.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
ROCA
No market prices yet.
DEPO
No market prices yet.
Spread Rocamora W +2.5 · main line
ROCA +2.5
68.2%
@ 1.85+18.2pp
DEPO -2.5
31.8%
@ 1.85-18.2pp
Best 5 market prices
ROCA
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
DEPO
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Spread Rocamora W +5.5
ROCA +5.5
77.1%
@ 1.74+15.9pp
DEPO -5.5
22.9%
@ 2.33-15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
ROCA
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.48
DEPO
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
1.84

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Rocamora WDeportivo Chanares W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rocamora WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Florida W
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/02
Liga Femenina Women
El Bigua W
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/03
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/03
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/03
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A29/03
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#16
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#5
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
40-12
40
12
+28
H05/11
Liga Femenina Women
69.6Avg total
34.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)30.236.766.9-6.620%50%
Last 30 at home (14)31.834.165.9-2.336%50%
Last 30 away (16)28.839.167.8-10.36%50%
Last 10 (10)34.834.869.6+0.040%60%
Last 5 (5)34.224.258.4+10.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)29.439.268.6-9.98%56%
vs Similar (1)29.025.054.0+4.0100%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.524.059.5+11.575%25%
This opponent (Deportivo Chanares W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo Chanares WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berazategui W
#7
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H26/04
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A03/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H09/05
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/10
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A31/10
Liga Femenina Women
Sociedad Espanola W
#20
W
37-10
37
10
+27
A01/11
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/11
Liga Femenina Women
63.5Avg total
30.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)37.531.168.6+6.370%60%
Last 30 at home (15)38.530.969.3+7.673%60%
Last 30 away (15)36.531.467.9+5.167%60%
Last 10 (10)30.533.063.5-2.540%50%
Last 5 (5)32.632.064.6+0.620%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.237.068.2-5.825%75%
vs Similar (5)32.234.066.2-1.840%60%
vs Weaker (21)39.929.369.2+10.686%57%
This opponent (Rocamora W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
ROCA win
no forecast
@ 1.52
DEPO win
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half Spread Rocamora W -2.5 · main line
ROCA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
DEPO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
ROCA
no forecast
@ 1.57
Draw
no forecast
@ 15.50
DEPO
no forecast
@ 2.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ROCA win + total 134.5
🔒 Pro
DEPO win + total 134.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ROCA leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Rocamora W +370.1%1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
----+18.1pp
Rocamora W +473.3%1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
----+17.1pp
Deportivo Chanares W over 61.572.1%1.50
1xBet
1.50
----+14.3pp
Rocamora W over 65.570.2%1.62
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.40
---+14.1pp
Deportivo Chanares W over 60.575.3%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+13.9pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 8 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rocamora Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rocamora W: 60.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.814.5
38.4%
42.8%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.7
28.0%
27.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
63.7%11.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Deportivo Chanares Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Deportivo Chanares W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.3
44.3%
42.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.89.9
27.7%
27.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.1
64.9%
63.7%13.1
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rocamora W
WWWWWLLLLL
Deportivo Chanares W
LWLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#16
-18.3
Net rating
+13.0
86.7
Offensive rating
95.3
105.0
Defensive rating
82.3
39.8%
Effective FG%
42.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
38.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.0%
3-point %
27.7%
42.5%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 95.3Defence105.0 · 82.3Shooting39.8% · 42.9%3-point %28.0% · 27.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rocamora W   ■ Deportivo Chanares W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rocamora W wins
0
Deportivo Chanares W wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Deportivo Chanares W v Rocamora W57-66
Rocamora Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HSociedad Espanola W86-21
31/10/26HHindu W81-70 OT
24/10/26HSan Jose W70-65
16/10/26HInstituto W68-61
11/10/26ADeportivo Chanares W66-57
29/03/26AObras Sanitarias W53-96
26/03/26AEl Talar W63-78
22/03/26HFerro W60-103
04/03/26HEl Bigua W65-74
27/02/26AUnion Florida W70-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HInstituto W64-79
01/11/26ASociedad Espanola W79-33
31/10/26ASan Jose W54-59
23/10/26AHindu W59-76
19/10/26AInstituto W66-78
11/10/26HRocamora W57-66
09/05/26HFerro W62-84
03/05/26AFerro W56-89
26/04/26HBerazategui W57-47
25/04/26HBerazategui W58-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rocamora W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.276.266.0
Allowed / game54.854.257.0
Point differential+19.4+22.0+9.0
Avg total129.0130.5123.0
Over 134.2540%50%0%
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
Deportivo Chanares W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game63.260.564.5
Allowed / game65.272.561.5
Point differential-2.0-12.0+3.0
Avg total128.3133.0126.0
Over 134.2550%50%50%
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
3 Independiente Neuquen W76186%63.759.0+4.7
4 El Talar W65183%72.058.0+14.0
5 Hindu W86275%71.653.5+18.1
6 Boca W86275%74.958.9+16.0
7 Instituto W75271%69.059.3+9.7
8 Velez Sarsfield W75271%62.457.3+5.1
9 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
10 Quilmes W74357%64.460.1+4.3
11 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
12 Ferro W84450%72.162.2+9.9
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Penarol W72529%54.362.0-7.7
15 Union Bahia W82625%52.565.4-12.9
16 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
17 El Bigua W81712%58.467.1-8.8
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W6060%32.282.8-50.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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