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Romania vs Albania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 72-63
10-23 26-16 20-16 16-8
Position#16
Record7-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game71.9
Romania 🏆
vs
Position#39
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Pitesti Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Romania v Albania
29 Jul 2023
ROMA72
ALBA63
24 Feb 2022
ROMA101
ALBA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Romania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Albania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
H30/06
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
A03/07
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
59-75
59
75
-16
53avg 65
H25/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
69avg 65
A28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
69-65
69
65
+4
68avg 65
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
62-92
62
92
-30
54avg 65
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
61-62
61
62
-1
55avg 65
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-50
75
50
+25
78avg 65
H26/02
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 65
A19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
65-69
65
69
-4
65avg 65
H22/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
19-16
21-15
26-21
21-18
20-20
15-8
20-16
14-17
16-25
19-19
10-14
19-29
15-12
20-23
18-20
19-19
21-16
14-13
15-17
14-27
27-27
10-18
11-20
12-16
13-15
19-13
17-18
24-11
16-20
18-6
17-13
21-22
23-20
25-22
18-19
10-18
19-13
24-23
12-15
141.3Avg total
70.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.271.9145.1+1.258%
Season at home (6)73.267.8141.0+5.350%
Season away (6)73.276.0149.2-2.867%
Last 10 (10)70.470.9141.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)70.071.2141.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.684.3149.9-18.88%
vs Similar (9)74.377.1151.4-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.468.2149.7+13.2100%
This opponent (Albania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbania
Date
Competition
Belarus
#15
L
50-90
50
90
-40
no box
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
84-101
84
101
-17
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
no box
H03/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
81avg 66
H19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
63-86
63
86
-23
52avg 66
A26/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
7-24
20-23
7-22
16-22
21-26
25-21
8-19
22-18
12-14
15-26
17-30
24-25
15-19
16-26
17-23
27-26
21-20
20-28
24-15
29-28
27-24
14-25
14-24
26-21
15-27
14-21
20-17
18-21
20-20
8-15
16-20
22-21
20-23
22-25
19-18
27-30
10-16
3-19
23-21
160.1Avg total
71.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.587.5164.0-11.017%
Season at home (3)79.084.0163.0-5.033%
Season away (3)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)71.788.4160.1-16.710%
Last 5 (5)73.487.2160.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.886.7151.5-21.90%
vs Similar (2)83.587.5171.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (2)68.576.0144.5-7.550%
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
RomaniaAlbania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/06
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/07
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H25/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/07
EuroBasket
73.1Avg total
35.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.476.9-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.139.373.3-5.227%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.680.5-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.673.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.873.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.844.676.3-12.817%-
vs Similar (9)36.737.273.9-0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.738.180.8+4.678%-
This opponent (Albania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlbaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus
#15
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/07
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/07
EuroBasket
84.1Avg total
39.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.043.279.3-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.242.277.3-7.08%-
Last 30 away (12)36.944.381.2-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.684.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.844.079.7-8.210%-
vs Similar (2)44.547.091.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)30.532.563.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.8
50.5%
50.6%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.6
30.2%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.912.0
75.5%
71.4%12.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Albaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albania: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.5
47.0%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.3
34.9%
32.5%22.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.3%
71.4%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 29 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Romania
LWWLLWLLWW
Albania
LLLLLWLLLL
#16
League position
#39
-0.7
Net rating
-15.5
96.3
Offensive rating
103.4
97.0
Defensive rating
118.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
21.8%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.2%
3-point %
34.9%
76.6%
Assist %
45.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 103.4Defence97.0 · 118.9Shooting48.0% · 48.8%3-point %30.2% · 34.9%Ball care21.1% · 21.8%Off. rebounds28.5% · 39.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Romania   ■ Albania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Romania wins
0
Albania wins
DateGameScore
19/07/23Albania v Romania83-87
03/07/22Albania v Romania62-76
24/02/22Romania v Albania101-84
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23HSlovakia65-69
19/07/23AAlbania87-83
26/02/23HCyprus75-50
23/02/23HBulgaria61-62
13/11/22APortugal62-92
10/11/22ACyprus69-65
28/08/22ABulgaria72-84
25/08/22HPortugal59-75
03/07/22AAlbania76-62
30/06/22HLuxembourg78-67
Albanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/23ASlovakia63-86
19/07/23HRomania83-87
03/07/22HRomania62-76
27/02/22ALuxembourg75-86
24/02/22ARomania84-101
25/11/21HLuxembourg92-89
20/02/21HBelarus72-93
18/02/21ACyprus66-88
28/11/20HPortugal70-88
26/11/20ABelarus50-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Romania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game73.273.273.2
Allowed / game71.967.876.0
Point differential+1.2+5.3-2.8
Avg total145.1141.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Albania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.579.074.0
Allowed / game87.584.091.0
Point differential-11.0-5.0-17.0
Avg total164.0163.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia98189%85.065.1+19.9
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria97278%81.272.2+9.0
6 Slovakia86275%74.270.5+3.8
7 Romania127558%73.271.9+1.2
8 Denmark126650%74.571.1+3.4
9 Austria146843%75.476.1-0.8
10 Switzerland146843%66.570.1-3.6
11 Norway135838%70.276.2-6.0
12 Kosovo62433%78.281.7-3.5
13 Ireland93633%73.385.3-12.0
14 Luxembourg61517%75.085.3-10.3
15 Albania61517%76.587.5-11.0
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Romania1026201672
Albania231616863
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