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Rwanda W vs Nigeria W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 48-79
6-22 12-22 17-14 13-21
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game56.7
Rwanda W
vs
Nigeria W 🏆
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game50.7
EuropeAfroBasket WomenAfroBasket Women - Semi-finals· BK Arena
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rwanda W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rwanda WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast W
#10
W
64-35
64
35
+29
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Angola W
#8
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
no box
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
51avg 51
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-7
14-14
24-8
12-6
16-8
22-14
4-22
22-20
11-22
16-6
24-10
15-23
122.7Avg total
66.0Scored
56.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.056.7122.7+9.367%
Season at home (2)65.048.0113.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (3)66.056.7122.7+9.367%
Last 5 (3)66.056.7122.7+9.367%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.067.5134.5-0.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)64.035.099.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nigeria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angola W
#8
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Ivory Coast W
#6
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#4
W
73-63
73
63
+10
no box
H24/09
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
70-59
70
59
+11
no box
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
China W
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
69-35
69
35
+34
36avg 58
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 58
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
57avg 58
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
21-10
15-19
18-18
24-8
19-13
16-14
13-21
22-11
23-20
15-13
13-19
22-11
9-13
28-14
11-21
14-29
22-25
16-25
24-11
11-28
16-10
21-14
19-13
20-22
22-13
22-9
9-25
16-8
13-10
17-14
23-3
18-10
24-13
14-19
27-23
16-18
13-15
18-10
12-9
134.6Avg total
72.7Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.350.7121.0+19.7100%
Season at home (2)64.043.5107.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.761.9134.6+10.890%
Last 5 (5)70.257.2127.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.081.4152.4-10.414%
vs Similar (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.355.9132.1+20.4100%
This opponent (Rwanda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Rwanda WNigeria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rwanda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast W
#10
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Angola W
#8
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
54.7Avg total
31.0Scored
23.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)31.023.754.7+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (2)27.524.552.0+3.050%-
Last 30 away (1)38.022.060.0+16.0100%-
Last 10 (3)31.023.754.7+7.367%-
Last 5 (3)31.023.754.7+7.367%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.525.057.5+7.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)28.021.049.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nigeria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angola W
#8
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Ivory Coast W
#6
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H24/09
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
China W
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A10/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/02
World Cup Women
DR Congo W
#12
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
68.1Avg total
37.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.633.969.6+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.232.667.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (7)36.336.372.6+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.568.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.463.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.741.176.9-5.429%-
vs Similar (5)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.726.666.3+13.186%-
This opponent (Rwanda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rwanda Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rwanda W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.0
45.1%
38.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.55.5
21.6%
25.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws26.516.5
62.3%
64.7%16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nigeria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nigeria W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.318.0
37.2%
38.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.0
23.8%
25.6%15.0
🏀 Free throws27.719.3
69.9%
64.7%19.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 03 Aug 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rwanda W
WLW
Nigeria W
WWWWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+21.2
Net rating
+23.8
76.5
Offensive rating
82.4
55.3
Defensive rating
58.6
39.8%
Effective FG%
36.8%
21.3%
Opp. effective FG%
26.7%
27.3%
Turnover %
26.7%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
41.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.40
21.6%
3-point %
23.8%
79.1%
Assist %
68.1%
67%
Form (last 3/10)
90%

Profile

Offence76.5 · 82.4Defence55.3 · 58.6Shooting39.8% · 36.8%3-point %21.6% · 23.8%Ball care27.3% · 26.7%Off. rebounds31.5% · 41.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.40Form (last 3/10)67% · 90%
■ Rwanda W   ■ Nigeria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rwanda W wins
0
Nigeria W wins
No previous meetings.
Rwanda Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/23HUganda W66-61
30/07/23AAngola W68-74 OT
28/07/23HIvory Coast W64-35
Nigeria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/23HMozambique W59-52
30/07/23AEgypt W83-65
28/07/23HDR Congo W69-35
13/02/22HMali W73-69
11/02/22HFrance W67-65
10/02/22AChina W76-90
26/09/21AMali W70-59
24/09/21HSenegal W73-63
23/09/21HIvory Coast W72-56
20/09/21AAngola W85-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rwanda W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game66.065.068.0
Allowed / game56.748.074.0
Point differential+9.3+17.0-6.0
Avg total122.7113.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%100%
Nigeria W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.364.083.0
Allowed / game50.743.565.0
Point differential+19.7+20.5+18.0
Avg total121.0107.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mali W330100%82.751.7+31.0
2 Nigeria W330100%70.350.7+19.7
3 Cameroon W43175%69.055.0+14.0
4 Rwanda W32167%66.056.7+9.3
5 Mozambique W53260%72.452.8+19.6
6 Senegal W42250%70.873.5-2.8
7 Uganda W52340%70.475.8-5.4
8 Angola W31233%70.770.3+0.3
9 Egypt W31233%71.377.3-6.0
10 Ivory Coast W31233%51.767.7-16.0
11 Guinea W51420%47.681.6-34.0
12 DR Congo W3030%58.378.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rwanda W612171348
Nigeria W2222142179
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