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Sacred Heart vs Coast Guard Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-44
0-0 58-15 0-0 53-29
Position#4
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sacred Heart 🏆
USA
Vs
94%
■ SACR 94%■ COAS 6%
Pythia win probability
Projected 85-67
Projected total 152.3
Coast Guard
USA
Position#420
Record-
FormLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Sacred Heart host Coast Guard in the NCAA. Pythia makes Sacred Heart the favourite at 94% and projects 85-67, about 152 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacred Heart winWon
94.1%fair 1.06
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Coast Guard winLost
5.9%fair 16.98
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacred HeartUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A07/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-41
0-0
26-34
0-0
38-47
0-0
49-45
0-0
44-37
0-0
24-43
0-0
40-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
49-30
0-0
37-45
0-0
37-32
0-0
31-46
0-0
36-33
0-0
27-32
0-0
31-32
0-0
46-37
0-0
34-29
0-0
57-51
0-0
25-39
0-0
23-31
147.9Avg total
72.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.475.5147.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)69.472.4141.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.381.3157.7-5.022%
vs Similar (12)73.276.4149.7-3.242%
vs Weaker (9)74.871.9146.7+2.967%
Coast GuardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#267
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
48-116
48
116
-68
A07/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
18-40
0-0
27-46
0-0
28-67
0-0
20-49
147.5Avg total
46.5Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)46.5101.0147.5-54.50%
Last 5 (2)46.5101.0147.5-54.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
74.2%
Under 142
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
63.0%
Under 147
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
50.6%
Under 152
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sacred Heart total 73Actual: Sacred Heart over 73
Over 73
90.0%
Under 73
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacred Heart total 77Actual: Sacred Heart over 77
Over 77
80.8%
Under 77
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacred Heart total 81Actual: Sacred Heart over 81
Over 81
67.4%
Under 81
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coast Guard total 66Actual: Coast Guard under 66
Over 66
53.8%
Under 66
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coast Guard total 70Actual: Coast Guard under 70
Over 70
37.5%
Under 70
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coast Guard total 74Actual: Coast Guard under 74
Over 74
23.3%
Under 74
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sacred Heart -3Actual: Sacred Heart -3
SACR -3
91.7%
COAS +3
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
SACR
No market prices yet.
COAS
No market prices yet.
Spread Sacred Heart 0Actual: Sacred Heart 0
SACR 0
94.1%
COAS 0
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
SACR
No market prices yet.
COAS
No market prices yet.
Spread Sacred Heart +3Actual: Sacred Heart +3
SACR +3
96.2%
COAS -3
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
SACR
No market prices yet.
COAS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-38-19+0+19+38Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -30.5-30.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -24.0-24.0
-38-19+0+19+38Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -30.5-30.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -24.0-24.0
Sacred HeartCoast Guard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacred HeartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A05/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A06/03
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.473.4+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.733.770.3+3.050%-
Last 30 away (18)37.138.375.4-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.371.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.065.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.338.878.1+0.656%-
vs Similar (12)36.236.872.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker (9)35.633.769.2+1.956%-
Coast GuardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#267
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
28-67
28
67
-39
A07/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
23.0Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)23.053.576.5-30.50%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (2)23.053.576.5-30.50%-
Last 10 (2)23.053.576.5-30.50%-
Last 5 (2)23.053.576.5-30.50%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sacred Heart wins
0
Coast Guard wins
No previous meetings.
Sacred Heartlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AMerrimack Warriors48-70
05/03/26AIona91-80
28/02/26HMount St. Mary's77-69
22/02/26AMarist63-65
21/02/26AFairfield68-78
15/02/26HRider86-75
14/02/26HSt. Peters78-71
07/02/26AManhattan68-80
06/02/26HFairfield87-92
01/02/26AMerrimack Warriors58-75
Coast Guardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AQuinnipiac48-116
18/12/22AFairfield45-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacred Heart
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Coast Guard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacred Heart058053111
Coast Guard01502944
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