PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks host Longwood on 4 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model deems to favour the Hawks, with an 58% chance of victory against Longwood's 42%. The Hawks have gone 4-1 in their last five games, including a 70-58 win over Davidson and an 88-76 triumph over La Salle, while Longwood is 3-2 in its most recent five outings, highlighted by a 123-67 home win over Pfeiffer Falcons and a 90-74 victory over Radford. Longwood's season record stands at 1-0, with an average of 123.0 points scored and 67.0 points allowed per game, placing them 14th in the league. The Pythia model projects a 77-75 scoreline, totaling 151.8 points, and assigns a 5% probability that the game will extend into overtime. The Hawks' recent form suggests they will maintain their offensive rhythm, while Longwood's high-scoring debut indicates they could keep the contest close; the game will likely hinge on the Hawks' ability to sustain their recent momentum.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.6 | 65.0 | 134.6 | +4.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.6 | 66.6 | 137.2 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 72.8 | 82.8 | 155.5 | -10.0 | 25% |
| vs Similar (17) | 70.1 | 69.5 | 139.6 | +0.6 | 59% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 75.6 | 61.9 | 137.4 | +13.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 123.0 | 67.0 | 190.0 | +56.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 123.0 | 67.0 | 190.0 | +56.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 84.2 | 76.4 | 160.6 | +7.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.4 | 78.8 | 172.2 | +14.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 70.5 | 75.0 | 145.5 | -4.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar (13) | 75.9 | 79.8 | 155.8 | -3.9 | 31% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 81.9 | 68.9 | 150.8 | +13.0 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.2 | 30.8 | 67.0 | +5.4 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.2 | 27.9 | 65.1 | +9.4 | 94% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.0 | 34.2 | 69.2 | +0.8 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.4 | 30.5 | 63.9 | +2.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 33.8 | 65.0 | -2.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 31.2 | 39.2 | 70.5 | -8.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 35.4 | 31.5 | 66.8 | +3.9 | 65% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 37.6 | 25.1 | 62.7 | +12.4 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 32.8 | 69.9 | +4.4 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.6 | 28.4 | 67.1 | +10.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.5 | 37.7 | 73.2 | -2.2 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 33.3 | 69.5 | +2.9 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.0 | 32.8 | 71.8 | +6.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 33.5 | 35.0 | 68.5 | -1.5 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 33.2 | 35.8 | 69.1 | -2.6 | 23% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 40.8 | 29.6 | 70.3 | +11.2 | 75% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 | A | VCU Rams | 64-77 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Davidson | 70-58 |
| 07/03/26 | H | La Salle | 88-76 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Davidson | 70-67 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Rhode Island | 61-55 |
| 26/02/26 | H | George Mason | 81-63 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Loyola Chicago | 75-61 |
| 19/02/26 | A | St. Bonaventure | 71-65 |
| 11/02/26 | H | Fordham | 64-68 |
| 07/02/26 | A | George Mason | 52-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Pfeiffer Falcons | 123-67 |
| 06/03/26 | A | UNC Asheville | 82-85 OT |
| 28/02/26 | H | Radford | 90-74 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Charleston Southern | 107-96 OT |
| 20/02/26 | A | Presbyterian | 65-72 |
| 14/02/26 | H | USC Upstate | 82-75 OT |
| 13/02/26 | H | UNC Asheville | 74-79 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Winthrop | 74-79 |
| 05/02/26 | A | Gardner Webb | 86-66 |
| 31/01/26 | H | High Point | 59-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 123.0 | 123.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 67.0 | 67.0 | - |
| Point differential | +56.0 | +56.0 | - |
| Avg total | 190.0 | 190.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  George Washington | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 39.0 | +52.0 |
| 2 |  Rhode Island | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 59.0 | +44.0 |
| 3 |  Dayton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 58.0 | +31.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 |
| 5 |  Loyola Chicago | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 52.0 | +25.0 |
| 6 |  St. Louis Billikens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 67.0 | +25.0 |
| 7 |  Richmond Spiders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 77.0 | +23.0 |
| 8 |  Davidson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 61.0 | +15.0 |
| 9 |  VCU Rams | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 72.0 | +10.0 |
| 10 |  Duquesne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 71.0 | +7.0 |
| 11 |  St. Bonaventure | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 71.0 | 79.0 | -8.0 |
| 12 |  Fordham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 65.0 | 95.0 | -30.0 |
| 13 |  La Salle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Longwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 123.0 | 67.0 | +56.0 |
| 2 |  High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 3 |  Winthrop | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 |
| 4 |  Presbyterian | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 87.0 | -9.0 |
| 5 |  USC Upstate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 70.0 | 83.0 | -13.0 |
| 6 |  Radford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 62.0 | 76.0 | -14.0 |
| 7 |  UNC Asheville | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 77.0 | 100.0 | -23.0 |
| 8 |  Charleston Southern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 71.0 | 98.0 | -27.0 |
| 9 |  Gardner Webb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 46.0 | 86.0 | -40.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Josephs Hawks | 40 | 42 | 82 |
| Longwood | 28 | 45 | 73 |
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