Salzburg will host Celovec in the Zweite Liga on 14 November 2026, with Celovec the favourite as the Pythia model gives the away side a 65% chance to win against Salzburg's 35% probability; the projected score is 85-89 with a total of 173.8 points, and the home team's line of 3.5 means a 45% chance to cover, while the 169.5 total carries a 59% over probability and a 5% overtime likelihood. Salzburg, 11th in the league, has gone 2-3 this season with an average of 89.2 points scored and 99.0 points allowed, and at home they are 1-1, averaging 87.5 points for and 89.0 against; their last five games include a win over Radenthein 119-104 away, a loss to Raiders Tirol 88-94 at home, and a loss to Worthersee Piraten 81-105 away. Celovec, 6th, is 4-2 overall, scoring 87.3 and allowing 81.5, and they are undefeated on the road at 4-0, averaging 91.0 points for and 78.0 against; their recent five games feature wins over Upper Austrian Ballers 82-80 away, Wagram 87-80 away, and a home loss to Mistelbach 75-80. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Salzburg has won six and Celovec four, with Celovec's last victory over Salzburg 104-64 on 14 February 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 89.2 | 99.0 | 188.2 | -9.8 | 40% |
| Season at home (2) | 87.5 | 89.0 | 176.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 90.3 | 105.7 | 196.0 | -15.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.8 | 95.5 | 176.3 | -14.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.2 | 99.0 | 188.2 | -9.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 74.8 | 90.5 | 165.2 | -15.8 | 15% |
| vs Similar (3) | 78.0 | 84.3 | 162.3 | -6.3 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 86.1 | 82.4 | 168.6 | +3.7 | 57% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 87.3 | 81.5 | 168.8 | +5.8 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.0 | 88.5 | 168.5 | -8.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 91.0 | 78.0 | 169.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.1 | 81.8 | 163.9 | +0.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 82.8 | 166.6 | +1.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 71.2 | 89.1 | 160.3 | -17.8 | 12% |
| vs Similar (4) | 85.5 | 80.8 | 166.2 | +4.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 86.7 | 73.7 | 160.3 | +13.0 | 89% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 44.2 | 83.1 | -5.3 | 33% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 41.4 | 79.5 | -3.3 | 40% | 13% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.8 | 47.0 | 86.8 | -7.2 | 27% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.2 | 49.7 | 88.9 | -10.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 52.8 | 99.4 | -6.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 37.0 | 44.7 | 81.7 | -7.7 | 20% | 25% |
| vs Similar (3) | 40.0 | 43.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 44.0 | 43.3 | 87.3 | +0.7 | 57% | 29% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 41.2 | 80.7 | -1.6 | 47% | 13% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.1 | 40.0 | 79.1 | -0.9 | 47% | 0% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.0 | 42.3 | 82.3 | -2.3 | 47% | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 40.8 | 83.8 | +2.2 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 41.2 | 83.0 | +0.6 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 36.1 | 44.5 | 80.6 | -8.4 | 29% | 18% |
| vs Similar (4) | 43.2 | 38.2 | 81.5 | +5.0 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 44.3 | 36.1 | 80.4 | +8.2 | 78% | 11% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg under 91.5 | 74.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Lost |
| Salzburg under 90.5 | 71.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Salzburg under 92.5 | 77.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Celovec under 95.5 | 73.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Celovec under 94.5 | 70.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Celovec +2.5 | 71.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Lost |
| Celovec over 83.5 | 70.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.5 | 20.1 | 54.3% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.1 | 6.1 | 31.4% | 18.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.3 | 16.0 | 64.1% | 16.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 31.6 | 17.5 | 54.3% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.9 | 11.2 | 31.4% | 33.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.8 | 14.8 | 64.1% | 14.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 | Salzburg v Celovec | 64-104 |
| 11/10/25 | Celovec v Salzburg | 65-83 |
| 01/03/25 | Celovec v Salzburg | 67-86 |
| 02/11/24 | Salzburg v Celovec | 86-59 |
| 18/02/24 | Salzburg v Celovec | 76-83 |
| 25/11/23 | Celovec v Salzburg | 77-83 |
| 04/03/23 | Salzburg v Celovec | 76-81 |
| 12/11/22 | Celovec v Salzburg | 84-88 |
| 21/11/21 | Celovec v Salzburg | 77-57 |
| 26/10/21 | Salzburg v Celovec | 90-82 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Radenthein | 119-104 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Raiders Tirol | 88-94 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Worthersee Piraten | 81-105 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Upper Austrian Ballers | 87-84 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Traiskirchen Young Lions | 71-108 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Upper Austrian Ballers | 72-67 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Mattersburg | 73-93 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Worthersee Piraten | 73-98 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Steiermark | 80-98 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Celovec | 64-104 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Upper Austrian Ballers | 82-80 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Mistelbach | 75-80 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Wagram | 87-80 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Raiders Tirol | 85-97 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Radenthein | 90-77 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Steiermark | 105-75 |
| 15/03/26 | A | Kufstein | 71-93 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Worthersee Piraten | 71-79 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Steiermark | 79-83 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Gussing Blackbirds | 76-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 40% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 89.2 | 87.5 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 99.0 | 89.0 | 105.7 |
| Point differential | -9.8 | -1.5 | -15.3 |
| Avg total | 188.2 | 176.5 | 196.0 |
| Over 169.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 67% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 87.3 | 80.0 | 91.0 |
| Allowed / game | 81.5 | 88.5 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | +5.8 | -8.5 | +13.0 |
| Avg total | 168.8 | 168.5 | 169.0 |
| Over 169.5 | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 81.7 | 70.0 | +11.7 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 99.6 | 79.7 | +19.9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.6 | 69.1 | +19.4 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 87.7 | 75.3 | +12.4 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 92.7 | 80.0 | +12.7 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 87.3 | 81.5 | +5.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.8 | 77.0 | -3.2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.0 | 87.1 | -0.1 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 70.3 | 71.7 | -1.4 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 89.2 | 99.0 | -9.8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.2 | 80.2 | -3.0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.8 | 90.3 | -7.5 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.7 | 99.3 | -19.6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 80.2 | 98.3 | -18.2 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.6 | 103.6 | -31.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 23 | 28 | 22 | 94 | |
| 24 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 84 |
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