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Samford vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 87-105
37-57 50-48
Position#321
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#183
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H14/03
CIT
Liberty
#7
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A20/03
CIT
Troy
#304
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#53
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#40
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#430
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
113-90
113
90
+23
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#157
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A16/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-34
0-0
45-40
0-0
24-30
0-0
34-36
0-0
43-22
0-0
29-38
0-0
38-43
0-0
39-43
0-0
24-33
0-0
33-45
0-0
36-22
0-0
61-42
0-0
55-45
0-0
58-45
0-0
36-47
0-0
37-47
154.6Avg total
78.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.578.7160.2+2.850%
Season at home (2)84.562.0146.5+22.5100%
Season away (4)80.087.0167.0-7.025%
Last 10 (8)78.176.5154.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)83.482.4165.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.879.5149.2-9.825%
vs Similar (2)85.578.0163.5+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#32
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A18/03
NIT
Miami (FL)
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H21/03
NIT
Creighton
#5
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A16/03
NIT
Richmond Spiders
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H15/03
NIT
Norfolk State
#16
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
H20/03
NIT
North Carolina
#288
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A28/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#308
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#7
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#113
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-22
0-0
33-36
0-0
34-30
0-0
32-43
0-0
19-30
0-0
35-42
0-0
32-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
35-28
0-0
32-39
0-0
31-37
0-0
36-39
0-0
36-51
0-0
53-53
0-0
38-35
0-0
45-33
0-0
32-31
0-0
46-37
0-0
40-34
0-0
31-39
147.3Avg total
73.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.677.8155.4-0.240%
Season at home (3)76.070.7146.7+5.367%
Season away (2)80.088.5168.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)73.074.3147.3-1.330%
Last 5 (5)77.677.8155.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.567.0134.5+0.550%
vs Similar (3)70.766.0136.7+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.771.4143.1+0.343%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.1-2.1
SamfordAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H14/03
CIT
Liberty
#7
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A20/03
CIT
Troy
#304
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#53
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#40
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#430
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#157
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A16/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)36.134.570.6+1.638%-
Last 30 at home (3)37.326.063.3+11.367%-
Last 30 away (5)35.439.675.0-4.220%-
Last 10 (8)36.134.570.6+1.638%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.236.271.5-1.025%-
vs Similar (2)39.537.577.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#32
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A18/03
NIT
Miami (FL)
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H21/03
NIT
Creighton
#5
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A16/03
NIT
Richmond Spiders
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H15/03
NIT
Norfolk State
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H20/03
NIT
North Carolina
#288
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#297
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A28/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#308
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#7
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#113
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)33.430.764.1+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.629.762.3+2.969%-
Last 30 away (5)35.433.468.8+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.467.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.673.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.034.067.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (3)37.330.067.3+7.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)32.133.465.6-1.357%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/19AHawaii73-94
08/12/19AHouston Christian113-90
04/12/19HAub.-Montgomery97-64
01/12/19ALouisiana Tech57-78
28/11/19ASouth Dakota St.77-86
23/11/19HTroy72-60
20/03/17ALiberty58-66
14/03/17HCanisius78-74
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/19APenn State71-73
07/12/19HStephen F. Austin78-68
30/11/19HSouthern Miss83-68
28/11/19AIowa State89-104
27/11/19HNorth Carolina67-76
20/03/19HNorfolk State79-80 OT
15/03/17HRichmond Spiders64-71
16/03/16ACreighton54-72
21/03/15HMiami (FL)66-73
18/03/15AIllinois79-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game81.584.580.0
Allowed / game78.762.087.0
Point differential+2.8+22.5-7.0
Avg total160.2146.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.676.080.0
Allowed / game77.870.788.5
Point differential-0.2+5.3-8.5
Avg total155.4146.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St87188%81.065.2+15.8
2 Wofford65183%76.762.8+13.8
3 NC Greensboro65183%67.061.5+5.5
4 Western Carolina65183%78.373.3+5.0
5 Citadel54180%98.068.2+29.8
6 Furman86275%79.064.9+14.1
7 VMI53260%77.059.6+17.4
8 Samford63350%81.578.7+2.8
9 Mercer62433%64.869.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kentucky550100%76.456.2+20.2
2 Auburn440100%77.865.8+12.0
3 Arkansas65183%75.267.2+8.0
4 Texas65183%69.263.5+5.7
5 Florida54180%73.263.4+9.8
6 LSU64267%84.868.0+16.8
7 South Carolina74357%67.770.3-2.6
8 Vanderbilt63350%74.868.7+6.2
9 Mississippi St.42250%72.868.5+4.2
10 Tennessee63350%62.057.8+4.2
11 Oklahoma63350%75.374.3+1.0
12 Ole Miss63350%70.072.5-2.5
13 Alabama52340%77.677.8-0.2
14 Missouri52340%61.262.0-0.8
15 Georgia52340%76.077.6-1.6
16 Texas A&M51420%53.662.8-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford375087
Alabama5748105
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