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Samford vs Florida Gulf Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 62-77
33-41 29-36
Position#149
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game85.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Gulf Coast winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H22/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-36
0-0
49-36
0-0
45-38
0-0
50-45
0-0
40-52
0-0
60-56
0-0
36-38
0-0
42-57
0-0
24-45
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-43
0-0
39-42
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
38-43
0-0
35-45
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-41
0-0
38-27
168.8Avg total
84.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.280.6161.8+0.660%
Season at home (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Season away (4)81.082.8163.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)84.184.7168.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.280.6161.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.677.8152.4-3.143%
vs Weaker (14)85.972.0157.9+13.993%
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#51
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A21/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H04/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
70-113
70
113
-43
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
94-95
94
95
-1
H12/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
33-40
30-29
42-27
33-37
50-43
43-41
43-41
40-34
40-27
36-33
29-38
44-29
52-31
27-59
43-54
42-42
52-53
41-25
50-48
157.8Avg total
80.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.885.2173.0+2.550%
Season at home (3)93.776.0169.7+17.767%
Season away (1)70.0113.0183.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)80.577.3157.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.282.4165.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.484.0154.4-13.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.376.7154.0+0.545%
vs Weaker (14)78.665.7144.3+12.993%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
SamfordFlorida Gulf Coast
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
78.4Avg total
36.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.675.0-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.233.770.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.678.1-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.678.4-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.438.171.6-4.729%-
vs Weaker (14)42.436.178.4+6.386%-
This opponent (Florida Gulf Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida Gulf CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#51
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
27-59
27
59
-32
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H12/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H15/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
37.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.471.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.631.869.4+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)34.439.674.1-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.174.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.842.075.8-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.138.874.9-2.745%-
vs Weaker (14)37.030.467.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Florida Gulf Coast wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT
15/11/25AArkansas75-79
13/11/25ATexas Southern93-90 OT
08/11/25HSouth Carolina St82-72
04/11/25ATulane72-85
19/03/25AGeorge Mason69-86
09/03/25HFurman78-95
01/03/25ANC Greensboro100-108
27/02/25AVMI95-83
22/02/25HWestern Carolina93-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HChattanooga Mocs91-73
12/11/25HGeorgia Southern94-95
08/11/25AIllinois70-113
04/11/25HNew College (FL)96-60
04/03/25HQueens Royals65-71
27/02/25HBellarmine80-61
25/02/25HNorth Florida86-82
21/02/25AStetson83-80
18/02/25HJacksonville Dolphins72-56
15/02/25ALipscomb68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game81.282.081.0
Allowed / game80.672.082.8
Point differential+0.6+10.0-1.8
Avg total161.8154.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %40%0%50%
Florida Gulf Coast
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game87.893.770.0
Allowed / game85.276.0113.0
Point differential+2.5+17.7-43.0
Avg total173.0169.7183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St43175%79.863.8+16.0
2 VMI53260%88.272.2+16.0
3 Samford53260%81.280.6+0.6
4 Mercer42250%80.880.0+0.8
5 Western Carolina42250%72.074.5-2.5
6 Wofford42250%72.081.2-9.2
7 Furman52340%70.866.8+4.0
8 Citadel41325%82.583.2-0.8
9 Chattanooga Mocs41325%75.079.5-4.5
10 NC Greensboro4040%70.291.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay53260%80.263.0+17.2
2 West Georgia53260%79.280.6-1.4
3 Florida Gulf Coast42250%87.885.2+2.5
4 Queens Royals52340%79.480.4-1.0
5 North Alabama52340%74.882.4-7.6
6 North Florida31233%84.090.0-6.0
7 Eastern Kentucky41325%85.283.0+2.2
8 Lipscomb41325%75.079.8-4.8
9 Central Arkansas41325%74.283.5-9.2
10 Bellarmine41325%77.587.8-10.2
11 Stetson41325%73.587.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford332962
Florida Gulf Coast413677
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