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Samsunspor vs OGM Ormanspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 85-73
16-16 27-18 17-23 25-16
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game71.4
Samsunspor 🏆
Turkey
vs
OGM Ormanspor
Turkey
Position#11
Record5-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game73.4
TurkeyTBLRound 15
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samsunspor v OGM Ormanspor
15 Jan 2023
SAM85
OOR73
23 Sep 2022
SAM74
OOR64
08 Oct 2021
SAM90
OOR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samsunspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
OGM Ormanspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamsunsporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A05/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H11/11
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/11
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A07/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
19-13
26-19
24-33
19-12
17-13
27-17
20-15
20-17
18-16
15-27
23-13
26-20
30-15
27-17
22-20
19-26
21-17
13-16
20-19
22-21
24-14
24-19
22-20
23-12
26-21
22-16
15-13
25-15
23-24
28-31
17-14
25-26
27-18
14-21
15-21
11-26
34-11
33-13
18-14
159.9Avg total
87.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.271.4157.6+14.879%
Season at home (7)85.765.3151.0+20.486%
Season away (7)86.777.6164.3+9.171%
Last 10 (10)87.072.9159.9+14.180%
Last 5 (5)89.674.0163.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)87.485.6172.9+1.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.270.0155.2+15.288%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A06/11
TBL
Gemlik
#15
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H12/11
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A19/11
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H27/11
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A04/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H09/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A18/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H25/12
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A30/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H06/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
8-16
11-16
15-18
23-13
15-18
19-16
17-10
16-12
15-22
11-17
23-19
25-7
18-14
20-15
19-14
23-20
14-24
10-15
19-22
25-23
16-18
20-31
18-18
22-17
26-17
10-22
25-16
18-14
16-15
11-17
19-22
13-18
21-21
20-30
30-21
20-21
19-23
22-17
17-25
147.2Avg total
73.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.173.4146.6-0.336%
Season at home (7)75.770.1145.9+5.657%
Season away (7)70.676.7147.3-6.114%
Last 10 (10)73.473.8147.2-0.430%
Last 5 (5)77.681.2158.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.680.9154.4-7.322%
vs Similar (12)75.682.0157.6-6.48%
vs Weaker (9)78.064.4142.4+13.689%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
SamsunsporOGM Ormanspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/11
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A20/11
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/11
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A07/01
TBL
79.6Avg total
44.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.881.5+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.534.979.4+9.693%-
Last 30 away (16)43.140.383.4+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.179.6+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)48.037.685.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)44.242.086.2+2.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.434.177.4+9.388%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/11
TBL
Gemlik
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/11
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/11
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H27/11
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A04/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A18/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H25/12
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A30/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H06/01
TBL
73.5Avg total
37.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.877.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.537.175.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.780.3-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.773.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.141.280.3-2.133%-
vs Similar (12)39.641.581.1-1.933%-
vs Weaker (9)38.132.770.8+5.467%-
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
72.1%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.4
52.2%
51.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
34.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.3
66.8%
72.1%13.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samsunspor
WLWWWLWWWW
OGM Ormanspor
LLLWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#11
+11.3
Net rating
-12.8
116.1
Offensive rating
100.9
104.8
Defensive rating
113.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.2%
3-point %
31.7%
74.2%
Assist %
73.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 100.9Defence104.8 · 113.7Shooting53.8% · 50.5%3-point %39.2% · 31.7%Ball care14.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Samsunspor   ■ OGM Ormanspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samsunspor wins
1
OGM Ormanspor wins
DateGameScore
23/09/22Samsunspor v OGM Ormanspor74-64
29/01/22OGM Ormanspor v Samsunspor72-68 OT
08/10/21Samsunspor v OGM Ormanspor90-80
23/09/21OGM Ormanspor v Samsunspor79-86
Samsunsporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AAntalya Güneşi96-64
30/12/22HiLab Basketbol81-86
24/12/22ABalıkesir BŞB93-84
18/12/22HAnkaragucu Mamak86-62
10/12/22HFinal Spor92-74
05/12/22AMersin BŞB73-78
27/11/22HHarem Spor105-72
20/11/22AYalovaspor76-73
11/11/22HAnkara Kolejliler83-57
05/11/22AFenerbahce 285-79
OGM Ormansporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HFinal Spor78-86
30/12/22AMersin BŞB84-90
25/12/22HHarem Spor64-68
18/12/22AYalovaspor83-72
09/12/22HAnkara Kolejliler79-90
04/12/22AFenerbahce 266-81
27/11/22HBornova82-50
19/11/22AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor65-70
12/11/22HGemlik74-57
06/11/22AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor59-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samsunspor
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game86.285.786.7
Allowed / game71.465.377.6
Point differential+14.8+20.4+9.1
Avg total157.6151.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%86%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
OGM Ormanspor
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game73.175.770.6
Allowed / game73.470.176.7
Point differential-0.3+5.6-6.1
Avg total146.6145.9147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin BŞB1513287%82.170.8+11.3
2 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1513287%79.370.9+8.5
3 Samsunspor1411379%86.271.4+14.8
4 Final Spor1510567%81.776.3+5.4
5 Ankara Kolejliler1510567%86.681.6+5.0
6 iLab Basketbol1510567%74.974.1+0.8
7 Yalovaspor148657%74.969.6+5.4
8 Balıkesir BŞB157847%79.582.4-2.9
9 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor146843%73.177.9-4.8
10 Ankaragucu Mamak156940%78.178.5-0.4
11 Fenerbahce 2156940%76.979.9-3.0
12 OGM Ormanspor145936%73.173.4-0.3
13 Harem Spor145936%74.182.4-8.2
14 Gemlik1531220%71.381.6-10.3
15 Bornova1421214%69.480.4-11.1
16 Antalya Güneşi1521313%70.180.5-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samsunspor1627172585
OGM Ormanspor1618231673
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