San Francisco hosts Radford on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Gators at 61% to 39% and projecting a 77-73 win. The Gators' last five outings include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 82-65 home victory over Portland and a narrow 77-78 loss to Oregon State on the road. Radford's recent five games also feature two wins and three defeats, with a 71-59 home win over USC Upstate and losses to Presbyterian and Longwood. The projected total of 149.9 points sits below the 154.5 over-under line, giving the model an 38% chance of the over. The home team's spread of -13.5 carries an 18% probability of covering. An overtime probability of 5% suggests the game could stretch beyond regulation, but the Gators' higher win probability and stronger recent form point to a likely victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 73.4 | 79.2 | 152.6 | -5.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.6 | 75.6 | 148.2 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 66.9 | 82.3 | 149.1 | -15.4 | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 75.4 | 73.9 | 149.3 | +1.5 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 76.5 | 69.2 | 145.7 | +7.2 | 69% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.7 | 78.9 | 159.6 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 76.8 | 153.8 | +0.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 77.7 | 86.7 | 164.3 | -9.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 79.2 | 79.0 | 158.2 | +0.2 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 85.3 | 78.7 | 164.0 | +6.6 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.8 | 33.8 | 67.6 | +0.1 | 50% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.1 | 35.8 | 70.9 | -0.7 | 47% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.5 | 31.7 | 64.3 | +0.8 | 53% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.0 | 37.9 | 70.9 | -4.9 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.0 | 35.8 | 69.8 | -1.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 30.0 | 38.3 | 68.3 | -8.3 | 0% | 14% |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.4 | 34.6 | 71.0 | +1.8 | 60% | 30% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 33.9 | 30.7 | 64.6 | +3.2 | 69% | 31% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 35.1 | 74.0 | +3.9 | 60% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.8 | 34.5 | 75.3 | +6.3 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 36.8 | 35.7 | 72.5 | +1.1 | 57% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.3 | 33.7 | 72.0 | +4.6 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.6 | 31.6 | 68.2 | +5.0 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 37.3 | 37.3 | 74.7 | +0.0 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Similar (13) | 37.7 | 35.0 | 72.7 | +2.7 | 54% | 54% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 40.3 | 36.0 | 76.3 | +4.3 | 69% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radford +12 | 78.7% | 2.07 | 2.25 | 2.00 | 1.97 | - | - | +36.6pp | Lost |
| Radford +11.5 | 76.7% | 2.03 | 2.35 | 2.15 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.00 | +36.3pp | Lost |
| Radford +12.5 | 79.3% | 1.94 | 2.15 | 2.05 | 1.95 | 1.92 | 1.85 | +35.1pp | Lost |
| Radford +13 | 81.2% | 1.96 | 2.05 | 1.94 | 1.90 | - | - | +34.7pp | Lost |
| Radford +9.5 | 70.9% | 2.36 | 2.52 | 2.50 | 2.07 | - | - | +33.4pp | Lost |
| Radford +13.5 | 81.6% | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.88 | 1.88 | +32.7pp | Lost |
| Radford +14 | 83.5% | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.71 | - | - | +32.1pp | Push |
| Radford +10 | 73.1% | 2.21 | 2.35 | 2.07 | - | - | - | +30.9pp | Lost |
| Radford +11 | 76.0% | 2.04 | 2.15 | 1.92 | - | - | - | +30.4pp | Lost |
| Radford +14.5 | 83.8% | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.75 | 1.68 | +30.3pp | Won |
| Radford +15 | 85.5% | 1.67 | 1.71 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +29.9pp | Won |
| Radford +15.5 | 85.8% | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.58 | - | +28.3pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 84 | 77.5% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +27.8pp | Won |
| Radford +10.5 | 73.9% | 2.08 | 2.32 | 2.22 | 2.00 | 1.99 | 1.85 | +27.7pp | Lost |
| Radford +16.5 | 87.6% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +27.0pp | Won |
| Radford +16 | 87.3% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +26.9pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 84.5 | 78.2% | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.80 | - | - | +26.7pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 83.5 | 75.2% | 1.90 | 1.98 | 1.92 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.86 | +26.5pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 82.5 | 72.0% | 1.92 | 2.10 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.86 | +26.0pp | Won |
| Radford +17.5 | 89.2% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +25.9pp | Won |
| Radford +17 | 89.0% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +24.8pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 83 | 74.4% | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +24.5pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 86.5 | 83.5% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +24.1pp | Won |
| Radford +18.5 | 90.6% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +23.7pp | Won |
| Radford +18 | 90.5% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +22.9pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 85.5 | 81.0% | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +22.4pp | Won |
| Radford +19.5 | 91.9% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 88.5 | 87.9% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Won |
| Radford +19 | 91.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +21.3pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 82 | 71.0% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +21.0pp | Won |
| Radford +20.5 | 93.0% | 1.28 | 1.31 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 87.5 | 85.8% | 1.41 | 1.47 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Radford +20 | 92.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Radford +21.5 | 94.0% | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 89.5 | 89.7% | 1.27 | 1.32 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| Radford +21 | 93.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 90.5 | 91.3% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +17.3pp | Won |
| Radford +23.5 | 95.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| San Francisco under 91.5 | 92.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 70.4% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 72.4% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 74.3% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Under 159 | 71.8% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Under 160 | 73.8% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 76.2% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Radford over 67.5 | 71.2% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Lost |
| Under 161 | 75.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Radford over 65.5 | 77.5% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Under 162 | 77.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Radford over 66.5 | 74.5% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Radford over 64.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Under 162.5 | 78.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Radford over 63.5 | 82.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Lost |
| Under 164.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Radford over 61.5 | 87.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Radford over 55.5 | 95.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Radford over 57.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Radford over 59.5 | 91.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 79.7% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 88.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Radford over 56.5 | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Radford over 62.5 | 85.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 92.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Radford over 58.5 | 92.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Radford over 60.5 | 89.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 86.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 92.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +1.7pp | - |
| Over 128.5 | 90.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 89.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Radford under 84.5 | 85.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 63.5 | 89.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.8pp | Won |
| Radford under 83.5 | 83.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Won |
| Radford under 82.5 | 81.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 83.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 64.5 | 88.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
| Radford under 80.5 | 75.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -5.8pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 65.5 | 86.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.8pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 82.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -7.1pp | Won |
| Radford under 81.5 | 78.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -7.6pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 66.5 | 83.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.8pp | Won |
| Radford under 79.5 | 72.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -7.9pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 75.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -9.3pp | Lost |
| San Francisco over 67.5 | 81.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -10.0pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 73.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -11.2pp | Lost |
| San Francisco over 68.5 | 78.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -11.8pp | Won |
| San Francisco +6.5 | 79.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -12.0pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 69.5 | 75.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -13.9pp | Won |
| San Francisco over 70.5 | 72.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -16.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 | A | Oregon State | 77-78 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Portland | 82-65 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Pacific | 72-61 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Santa Clara | 73-94 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Gonzaga | 59-80 |
| 15/02/26 | A | San Diego Toreros | 92-79 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Oregon State | 63-90 |
| 08/02/26 | A | St. Marys (CA) | 54-79 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Loyola Marymount | 75-84 |
| 01/02/26 | H | Pacific | 87-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Presbyterian | 85-91 OT |
| 28/02/26 | A | Longwood | 74-90 |
| 27/02/26 | H | USC Upstate | 71-59 |
| 21/02/26 | A | UNC Asheville | 73-74 OT |
| 20/02/26 | H | Gardner Webb | 82-70 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Charleston Southern | 90-80 |
| 08/02/26 | A | High Point | 77-86 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Winthrop | 78-80 |
| 31/01/26 | A | Presbyterian | 93-84 OT |
| 30/01/26 | A | Charleston Southern | 84-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 154.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 154.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 133.0 | 89.0 | +44.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 102.0 | 61.0 | +41.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 62.0 | +17.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 85.0 | 86.0 | -1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 78.0 | -6.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 61.0 | 76.0 | -15.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 123.0 | 67.0 | +56.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 87.0 | -9.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 70.0 | 83.0 | -13.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 77.0 | 100.0 | -23.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 71.0 | 98.0 | -27.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 46.0 | 86.0 | -40.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 39 | 76 | |
| 30 | 32 | 62 |
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