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San Jose State vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 59-64
27-30 32-34
Position#251
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#115
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
L
50-82
50
82
-32
A21/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H24/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A13/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#336
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A11/11
NCAA
Life Pacific
#596
W
93-56
93
56
+37
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-38
34-44
29-34
34-50
22-29
42-43
18-33
32-35
37-53
33-37
29-34
33-38
29-25
26-34
29-38
38-42
38-34
31-46
41-20
52-36
138.6Avg total
64.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.068.8139.8+2.225%
Season at home (2)61.069.5130.5-8.50%
Season away (2)81.068.0149.0+13.050%
Last 10 (10)64.374.3138.6-10.010%
Last 5 (5)69.269.4138.6-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.879.1144.9-13.311%
vs Similar (9)71.273.7144.9-2.433%
vs Weaker (3)79.072.3151.3+6.733%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#149
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A08/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H10/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H14/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#610
W
96-47
96
47
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
94-53
94
53
+41
A09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
52-37
29-46
40-35
37-34
46-41
36-43
34-36
37-28
39-46
30-46
34-35
39-38
40-41
40-20
56-27
47-28
47-25
37-34
54-52
153.8Avg total
80.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.762.0155.7+31.7100%
Season at home (2)93.566.5160.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)94.053.0147.0+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.473.4153.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)85.870.8156.6+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.876.2138.0-14.40%
vs Similar (17)75.373.5148.8+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.966.6151.4+18.3100%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +6.7+6.7
San Jose StateUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#70
L
16-38
16
38
-22
A21/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
18-33
18
33
-15
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#336
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/11
NCAA
Life Pacific
#596
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A12/11
NCAA
62.6Avg total
28.8Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.068.7-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.272.1-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)30.734.765.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)28.833.862.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.263.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.137.267.3-7.128%-
vs Similar (9)37.035.772.7+1.356%-
vs Weaker (3)36.029.365.3+6.767%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#149
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H17/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H10/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H14/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#610
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.069.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.936.371.2-1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)34.933.368.2+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.170.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.271.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.441.067.4-14.60%-
vs Similar (17)34.935.270.2-0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.132.372.4+7.986%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Jose State wins
0
UC Santa Barbara wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24ALife Pacific93-56
11/11/24AHawaii69-80
09/11/24HPacific67-80
05/11/24HWestern Illinois55-59
13/03/24AColorado State62-72
07/03/24HUtah State70-90
03/03/24AUNLV50-68
28/02/24ASan Diego State64-72
24/02/24HNevada63-84
21/02/24ABoise State50-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HFresno State91-86
09/11/24APortland94-53
05/11/24HSan Francisco State96-47
14/03/24HCS Northridge84-87 OT
10/03/24HUC Riverside64-81
08/03/24ALong Beach State76-74
03/03/24ACS Fullerton70-79
01/03/24HCal Poly83-75
23/02/24AUC Irvine69-81
17/02/24HHawaii77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game71.061.081.0
Allowed / game68.869.568.0
Point differential+2.2-8.5+13.0
Avg total139.8130.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.793.594.0
Allowed / game62.066.553.0
Point differential+31.7+27.0+41.0
Avg total155.7160.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State330100%107.057.7+49.3
2 San Diego State220100%81.553.5+28.0
3 Nevada440100%81.861.2+20.5
4 Boise State43175%86.065.8+20.2
5 Colorado State43175%78.071.0+7.0
6 New Mexico43175%83.578.5+5.0
7 Wyoming43175%81.079.0+2.0
8 UNLV32167%82.376.0+6.3
9 Grand Canyon32167%79.779.3+0.3
10 Fresno State31233%69.374.0-4.7
11 San Jose State41325%71.068.8+2.2
12 Air Force41325%63.870.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara330100%93.762.0+31.7
2 UC Irvine440100%77.056.2+20.8
3 Hawaii330100%84.065.3+18.7
4 CSU Bakersfield43175%88.869.5+19.2
5 CS Northridge43175%82.566.0+16.5
6 Cal Poly42250%81.278.5+2.8
7 UC San Diego42250%71.869.2+2.5
8 UC Riverside42250%76.274.2+2.0
9 UC Davis42250%74.275.8-1.5
10 Long Beach State41325%71.868.8+3.0
11 CS Fullerton4040%59.080.5-21.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State273259
UC Santa Barbara303464
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