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San Pablo Burgos vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 109-102 (OT)
17-25 21-18 21-23 25-18 25-18
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#17
Record6-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game83.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 28· Coliseum Burgos
Other2023-24
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Caceres
06 Apr 2024
SPB109
CACE102
10 Dec 2022
SPB73
CACE63
20 Dec 2016
SPB91
CACE69
15 Apr 2016
SPB73
CACE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caceres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#18
W
79-62
79
62
+17
77avg 80
A21/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
88-69
88
69
+19
83avg 80
H03/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
103-104
103
104
-1
91avg 80
A11/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
91avg 80
H17/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
76avg 80
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
104-97 OT
104
97
+7
no box
H09/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 80
A13/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
99-72
99
72
+27
100avg 80
H16/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 80
H23/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A30/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
21-20
18-15
19-11
21-20
21-17
21-12
25-20
19-17
37-31
17-30
30-26
24-20
27-21
20-16
19-12
14-9
22-19
21-14
20-15
24-21
14-15
23-12
15-28
22-25
20-16
19-14
11-22
26-15
20-22
24-17
29-18
17-18
21-17
15-17
22-18
26-23
22-20
16-24
20-24
163.9Avg total
87.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.477.1163.6+9.370%
Season at home (13)89.376.0165.3+13.385%
Season away (14)83.878.1161.9+5.657%
Last 10 (10)87.176.8163.9+10.370%
Last 5 (5)86.881.4168.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)86.585.7172.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.473.5158.9+12.080%
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaceres
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
44avg 62
H19/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 62
A02/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
72-99
72
99
-27
54avg 62
A10/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
69avg 62
H16/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 62
A03/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
62avg 62
H08/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
76-78
76
78
-2
63avg 62
A13/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
63-56
63
56
+7
53avg 62
H17/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 62
A24/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 62
H31/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
20-24
15-27
19-11
18-21
19-18
21-24
15-25
15-19
17-19
15-29
25-32
13-19
22-22
27-21
19-22
20-24
21-23
18-28
20-20
22-13
10-18
18-21
21-21
17-21
20-10
24-20
15-27
18-14
11-16
12-8
22-18
18-25
21-19
16-18
25-35
8-20
20-17
16-18
20-11
154.9Avg total
72.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.683.1156.7-9.522%
Season at home (14)73.676.7150.3-3.143%
Season away (13)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
Last 10 (10)72.782.2154.9-9.510%
Last 5 (5)70.874.0144.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.783.8157.5-10.124%
vs Similar (5)83.485.4168.8-2.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
San Pablo BurgosCaceres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A11/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A03/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H23/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/03
Primera FEB
82.1Avg total
43.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.480.1+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.436.478.8+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.938.381.2+4.675%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.282.1+5.7100%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.480.8+4.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.835.979.7+7.985%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H19/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A10/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H16/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A13/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H17/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H31/03
Primera FEB
73.0Avg total
34.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.678.7-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.640.878.3-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.742.579.2-5.814%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.673.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.667.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.341.778.0-5.424%-
vs Similar (5)41.641.082.6+0.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cacerestheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Pablo Burgos wins
1
Caceres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AReal Valladolid84-91
23/03/24HGipuzkoa75-70
16/03/24HMelilla99-72
13/03/24AForca Lleida72-77
09/03/24HTizona Burgos104-97 OT
03/03/24AEstudiantes77-57
17/02/24HHestia Menorca90-69
11/02/24ALeyma Coruna103-104
03/02/24HEstela88-69
21/01/24AClavijo79-62
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HTizona Burgos64-66
24/03/24ALeyma Coruna80-97
17/03/24HHestia Menorca63-56
13/03/24AClavijo76-78
08/03/24HEstela71-73
03/03/24AMelilla79-95
16/02/24HCastello81-84
10/02/24AReal Valladolid72-99
02/02/24AAlicante73-88
19/01/24HGipuzkoa68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%85%57%
Points / game86.489.383.8
Allowed / game77.176.078.1
Point differential+9.3+13.3+5.6
Avg total163.6165.3161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Caceres
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%43%0%
Points / game73.673.673.7
Allowed / game83.176.790.0
Point differential-9.5-3.1-16.3
Avg total156.7150.3163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2822679%90.581.7+8.8
2 Tizona Burgos2821775%88.980.7+8.1
3 Gipuzkoa2820871%83.076.5+6.4
4 Forca Lleida2820871%80.674.9+5.7
5 San Pablo Burgos2719870%86.477.1+9.3
6 Estudiantes2819968%83.977.2+6.7
7 Real Valladolid28181064%79.178.8+0.4
8 Alicante28171161%79.475.4+4.0
9 Real Betis28131546%81.278.9+2.3
10 Ourense28121643%73.578.6-5.1
11 Oviedo28111739%79.680.6-1.0
12 Fuenlabrada28111739%76.679.2-2.6
13 Hestia Menorca28111739%70.775.0-4.3
14 Estela28101836%78.182.4-4.2
15 Melilla2891932%75.681.9-6.2
16 Castello2882029%78.686.8-8.2
17 Caceres2762122%73.683.1-9.5
18 Clavijo2842414%67.778.2-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
San Pablo Burgos1721212525109
Caceres2518231818102
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