Santa Clara hosts Towson on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Santa Clara at 70% to 30%. Santa Clara has gone 3-2 in its last five outings, including a 76-71 win over St. Marys (CA) and losses to Kentucky 84-89 and Gonzaga 68-79, all on the road. Towson has won four of its last five, dropping a 65-68 loss to Hofstra but then securing decisive victories over Charleston 81-56 and Hampton 74-68, the latter at home. The Pythia model projects a 75-69 score, 144.3 total points, and a 25% chance that Santa Clara will cover the -13.5 spread while the over on the 146.5 line has a 44% probability; overtime is expected in 5% of games. Santa Clara's recent form and the model's confidence suggest a comfortable win, but Towson's strong finish could keep the game closer than the spread implies.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Santa Clara winWon
69.6%fair 1.44
Best odds1.11
Implied88.4%
Edge-18.8pp
Towson winLost
30.4%fair 3.29
Best odds8.50
Implied11.6%
Edge+18.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Santa Clara total 77.5Actual: Santa Clara over 77.5
Over 77.5
40.4%
@ 1.54-20.0pp
Under 77.5
59.6%
@ 2.38+20.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
Santa Clara total 81.5 · main lineActual: Santa Clara over 81.5
Over 81.5
26.1%
@ 2.07-23.5pp
Under 81.5
73.9%
@ 1.87+23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.67
Santa Clara total 85.5Actual: Santa Clara over 85.5
Over 85.5
15.0%
@ 3.10-15.3pp
Under 85.5
85.0%
@ 1.33+15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.10
Betano
2.95
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
Towson total 63Actual: Towson over 63
Over 63
73.3%
Under 63
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Towson total 67 · main lineActual: Towson over 67
Over 67
58.5%
@ 1.85+8.5pp
Under 67
41.5%
@ 1.85-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Towson total 71Actual: Towson under 71
Over 71
42.5%
Under 71
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Santa Clara -16Actual: Santa Clara -16
SANT -16
17.7%
@ 2.40-25.4pp
TOWS +16
82.3%
@ 1.68+25.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.22
TOWS
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.52
Spread Santa Clara -13 · main lineActual: Santa Clara -13
SANT -13
25.4%
@ 1.91-25.6pp
TOWS +13
74.6%
@ 1.96+25.6pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
TOWS
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Spread Santa Clara -10Actual: Santa Clara -10
SANT -10
35.0%
@ 1.52-26.2pp
TOWS +10
65.0%
@ 2.40+26.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
1.52
TOWS
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Santa ClaraTowson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Santa ClaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Santa Clara win
SANT win
no forecast
@ 1.27
TOWS win
no forecast
@ 3.85
2nd half Spread Santa Clara -6.5 · main lineActual: Santa Clara -6.5
SANT -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
TOWS +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Santa Clara (regulation)
SANT
no forecast
@ 1.30
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
TOWS
no forecast
@ 3.85
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Towson +12
71.6%
2.08
Pinnacle
2.15
Bet365
2.00
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
Towson +12.5
72.4%
1.97
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
1.94
1xBet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
+25.7pp
Lost
Towson +13
74.6%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
-
-
+25.6pp
Lost
Towson +16
82.3%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+25.4pp
Lost
Towson +16.5
82.7%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+24.0pp
Lost
Towson +13.5
75.3%
1.84
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
+23.9pp
Lost
Towson +17
84.4%
1.52
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+23.8pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 81.5
73.9%
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.67
-
+23.5pp
Lost
Towson +14
77.4%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+23.5pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 81
73.0%
1.83
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
-
-
-
+22.6pp
Lost
Towson +15
79.9%
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+21.8pp
Lost
Towson +14.5
78.0%
1.78
1xBet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.70
+21.8pp
Lost
Towson +15.5
80.4%
1.63
Marathon Bet
1.73
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
+20.5pp
Lost
Towson +17.5
84.8%
1.43
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+20.3pp
Lost
Towson +18.5
86.6%
1.37
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 80.5
70.6%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
+18.9pp
Lost
Towson +18
86.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 84.5
82.6%
1.43
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+18.1pp
Lost
Towson +19.5
88.3%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Won
Santa Clara under 82.5
77.0%
1.53
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
-
+17.8pp
Lost
Towson +19
88.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Push
Towson +22
92.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Towson +21.5
91.2%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+17.2pp
Won
Towson +21
91.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Towson +20.5
89.9%
1.27
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Santa Clara under 83.5
79.9%
1.45
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
Towson +20
89.7%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Santa Clara under 85.5
85.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 87.5
89.1%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
Santa Clara under 86.5
87.2%
1.27
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
+15.1pp
Lost
Towson +23.5
93.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Towson +22.5
92.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Santa Clara under 90.5
93.7%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Towson over 62.5
74.2%
1.46
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Santa Clara under 89.5
92.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
Santa Clara under 91.5
94.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Towson over 60.5
80.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.20
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Towson over 63.5
70.9%
1.48
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Towson over 59.5
82.8%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Towson over 61.5
77.3%
1.32
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Under 156
76.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Lost
Towson over 56.5
89.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Under 155.5
75.5%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Lost
Under 158.5
80.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Lost
Towson over 57.5
87.3%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Under 155
75.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Lost
Under 154.5
73.6%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Lost
Under 173.5
95.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 153.5
71.6%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Lost
Under 153
71.0%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Lost
Towson over 55.5
91.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 163.5
87.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Under 168.5
92.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 154
73.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Towson over 58.5
85.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
94.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Overtime: no
95.3%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2pp
-
Under 166.5
90.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Under 156.5
77.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Lost
Under 161.5
85.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Over 121.5
91.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Towson under 83.5
91.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Santa Clara over 62.5
89.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Towson under 81.5
88.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Over 123.5
89.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Over 126.5
85.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Santa Clara over 63.5
87.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Santa Clara +7.5
87.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Santa Clara over 64.5
85.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Towson under 79.5
83.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Over 128.5
83.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Santa Clara +6.5
85.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Over 131.5
77.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Santa Clara over 65.5
82.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Towson under 77.5
78.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
Santa Clara over 66.5
80.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.7pp
Won
Towson under 75.5
73.0%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Towson under 76.5
76.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-10.0pp
Won
Santa Clara over 67.5
77.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
74.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.5pp
Won
Santa Clara over 68.5
74.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-12.0pp
Won
Santa Clara +2.5
75.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-13.9pp
Won
Santa Clara over 69.5
70.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.7pp
Won
Santa Clara +1.5
72.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-17.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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