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Sarangani Marlins vs Paranaque Patriots Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 103-89
15-18 19-19 36-27 33-25
Position#22
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#30
Record1-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game96.0
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sarangani Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paranaque Patriots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sarangani MarlinsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H03/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A08/07
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H15/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H28/07
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H11/08
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H19/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A28/08
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
67-115
67
115
-48
H03/09
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
68-114
68
114
-46
A10/09
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A13/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
25-26
27-25
26-24
22-14
30-15
20-20
24-34
17-12
20-15
13-17
16-10
10-21
19-19
13-23
13-18
10-14
18-16
16-15
28-23
11-19
22-23
22-27
24-17
15-27
25-21
24-22
13-24
14-24
12-27
19-31
22-33
9-31
15-29
23-21
21-33
12-27
14-20
23-27
13-16
160.7Avg total
72.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.988.3168.2-8.433%
Season at home (12)80.284.3164.5-4.242%
Season away (15)79.791.5171.2-11.927%
Last 10 (10)72.788.0160.7-15.330%
Last 5 (5)70.699.8170.4-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.190.4159.4-21.30%
vs Similar (8)87.182.2169.4+4.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)118.393.7212.0+24.7100%
This opponent (Paranaque Patriots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Paranaque PatriotsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A03/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
L
59-106
59
106
-47
A10/07
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
74-128
74
128
-54
H16/07
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
76-133
76
133
-57
A31/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
76-135
76
135
-59
H07/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
L
105-113
105
113
-8
H18/08
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
L
83-132
83
132
-49
A25/08
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A01/09
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
74-121
74
121
-47
A09/09
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
78-135
78
135
-57
A12/09
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
13-22
34-32
30-21
22-33
12-28
17-30
8-15
9-28
20-26
23-52
22-22
19-27
22-28
17-41
18-37
16-30
13-34
26-36
21-35
25-24
29-23
25-34
26-32
8-18
19-35
28-43
28-36
13-16
12-20
30-32
20-22
9-21
27-25
18-44
20-31
15-32
32-20
15-45
16-38
197.2Avg total
78.7Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.296.0166.2-25.84%
Season at home (10)70.893.1163.9-22.310%
Season away (16)69.897.8167.6-28.10%
Last 10 (10)78.7118.5197.2-39.80%
Last 5 (5)83.0118.2201.2-35.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.297.0167.2-26.84%
vs Similar (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-20-10+0+10+20Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -15.6-15.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -8.0-8.0
-20-10+0+10+20Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -15.6-15.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -8.0-8.0
Sarangani MarlinsParanaque Patriots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sarangani MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A08/07
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H15/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H28/07
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/08
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/08
MPBL
Quezon Huskers
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A28/08
MPBL
Nueva Ecija Vanguards
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H03/09
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A10/09
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A13/09
MPBL
74.7Avg total
32.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.942.478.3-6.626%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.839.875.7-4.025%-
Last 30 away (15)35.944.580.5-8.627%-
Last 10 (10)32.742.074.7-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.849.679.4-19.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.644.474.1-14.86%-
vs Similar (8)41.540.982.4+0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)54.336.090.3+18.3100%-
This opponent (Paranaque Patriots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Paranaque PatriotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A03/07
MPBL
GenSan Warriors
#13
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A10/07
MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat
#14
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H16/07
MPBL
Batang Kankaloo
#5
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A31/07
MPBL
Pangasinan Heatwaves
#9
L
29-64
29
64
-35
H07/08
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H18/08
MPBL
Bataan Risers
#17
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A25/08
MPBL
Quezon City
#24
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/09
MPBL
Rizal Golden Coolers
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A09/09
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A12/09
MPBL
85.2Avg total
34.5Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.042.875.8-9.827%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.441.473.8-9.040%-
Last 30 away (16)33.343.777.0-10.419%-
Last 10 (10)34.550.785.2-16.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)33.243.676.8-10.424%-
vs Similar (1)28.023.051.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sarangani Marlins wins
0
Paranaque Patriots wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/25ABataan Risers62-90
10/09/25ASan Juan Knights68-114
03/09/25HNueva Ecija Vanguards67-115
28/08/25AQuezon Huskers77-94
19/08/25HBasilan Viva Portmasters79-86
11/08/25HMuntinlupa Cagers72-68
28/07/25HPangasinan Heatwaves55-81
15/07/25HDavao Tigers66-54
08/07/25AMarikina Verdiamonds96-83
03/07/25HPampanga Giant Lanterns85-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/09/25APampanga Giant Lanterns78-135
09/09/25ARizal Golden Coolers74-121
01/09/25AQuezon City75-90
25/08/25ABataan Risers83-132
18/08/25HValenzuela City Darkhorse105-113
07/08/25HPangasinan Heatwaves76-135
31/07/25ABatang Kankaloo76-133
16/07/25HZamboanga Sikat74-128
10/07/25AGenSan Warriors59-106
03/07/25AMarikina Verdiamonds87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sarangani Marlins
MPBL 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL42%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %33%42%27%
Points / game79.980.279.7
Allowed / game88.384.391.5
Point differential-8.4-4.2-11.9
Avg total168.2164.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paranaque Patriots
MPBL 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261016
Win %4%10%0%
Points / game70.270.869.8
Allowed / game96.093.197.8
Point differential-25.8-22.3-28.1
Avg total166.2163.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2524196%90.168.8+21.3
2 Nueva Ecija Vanguards2725293%89.770.3+19.3
3 San Juan Knights2725293%83.169.7+13.4
4 Quezon Huskers2723485%83.768.0+15.7
5 Batang Kankaloo2518772%78.871.4+7.4
6 Pangasinan Heatwaves2618869%86.376.4+9.9
7 Pasay Voyagers2618869%82.374.8+7.5
8 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2618869%83.577.3+6.2
9 Rizal Golden Coolers2517868%86.475.6+10.8
10 Batangas City2819968%78.470.1+8.3
11 Zamboanga Sikat27171063%80.173.3+6.9
12 GenSan Warriors27161159%82.174.2+7.9
13 Binan Tatak Gel27161159%75.970.6+5.3
14 Basilan Viva Portmasters27161159%79.375.0+4.3
15 Mindoro Tamaraws27151256%81.779.3+2.4
16 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys28141450%79.574.9+4.6
17 Pasig City27121544%77.780.6-3.0
18 Bataan Risers27111641%83.079.6+3.4
19 Davao Tigers25101540%74.480.1-5.8
20 Muntinlupa Cagers26101638%73.477.8-4.4
21 Cebu Classic28101836%74.680.2-5.6
22 Imus Braderhood2791833%76.784.3-7.6
23 Sarangani Marlins2791833%79.988.3-8.4
24 Quezon City2671927%74.080.8-6.8
25 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2872125%76.287.1-10.8
26 Bacolod Masskara2642215%72.582.4-9.9
27 Marikina Verdiamonds2642215%74.888.5-13.7
28 Bulacan Kuyas2732411%72.695.3-22.7
29 Manila Batang Quiapo2732411%79.1107.7-28.6
30 Paranaque Patriots261254%70.296.0-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sarangani Marlins15193633103
Paranaque Patriots1819272589
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