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Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 66-58
9-16 20-20 16-10 21-12
Position#10
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#16
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeAsia Cup· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
62avg 62
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 62
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 62
A22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
21-15
25-17
20-17
11-21
17-17
10-23
28-20
20-26
26-16
14-20
14-5
32-17
16-11
29-15
18-29
6-25
21-17
9-23
21-11
19-23
27-13
19-19
14-19
11-23
23-22
10-31
16-16
17-13
10-16
17-16
20-13
18-16
20-23
11-20
15-20
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
144.5Avg total
71.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.067.7134.7-0.767%
Season at home (1)64.079.0143.0-15.00%
Season away (2)68.562.0130.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)71.872.7144.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)68.073.8141.8-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)61.580.1141.6-18.67%
vs Similar (3)79.775.0154.7+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.865.9142.7+10.892%
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
India
#17
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
46avg 59
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 59
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 59
A22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
13-23
21-13
19-21
22-16
14-15
13-26
28-23
25-26
17-14
25-21
14-30
23-16
17-21
27-16
24-27
19-20
23-15
11-16
22-19
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
151.3Avg total
76.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.073.6149.6+2.462%
Season at home (4)78.270.8149.0+7.575%
Season away (4)73.876.5150.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)76.375.0151.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)72.269.6141.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.174.0141.1-6.925%
vs Similar (8)77.581.2158.8-3.838%
vs Weaker (8)74.474.9149.2-0.538%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
Saudi ArabiaIraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A26/09
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H28/09
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
72.6Avg total
37.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.573.7+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)33.237.170.3-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.572.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.471.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.740.670.4-10.97%-
vs Similar (3)47.734.782.3+13.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.233.271.3+5.069%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
India
#17
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
73.5Avg total
38.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.836.872.6-1.054%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.736.371.0-1.758%-
Last 30 away (12)36.937.274.2-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.573.5+2.590%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.069.4+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.435.971.2-0.562%-
vs Similar (8)37.136.974.0+0.262%-
vs Weaker (8)34.937.672.5-2.838%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
49.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.37.7
26.1%
32.7%23.0
🏀 Free throws21.712.7
58.5%
70.1%12.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.7
44.8%
49.3%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.3
25.3%
32.7%19.0
🏀 Free throws22.014.0
63.6%
70.1%14.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
WLWLWLWWLW
Iraq
LWLWWWWLLL
#10
League position
#16
-1.8
Net rating
-6.4
90.7
Offensive rating
87.8
92.6
Defensive rating
94.2
44.7%
Effective FG%
41.9%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
26.1%
3-point %
25.3%
61.8%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 87.8Defence92.6 · 94.2Shooting44.7% · 41.9%3-point %26.1% · 25.3%Ball care18.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 30.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Iraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saudi Arabia wins
0
Iraq wins
DateGameScore
23/02/24Iraq v Saudi Arabia58-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24APalestine73-66
26/02/24HJordan64-79
23/02/24AIraq64-58
06/10/23AIran60-92
04/10/23HJapan79-74
03/10/23AJordan57-76
02/10/23HHong Kong95-72
30/09/23HUnited Arab Emirates74-67
28/09/23HIran66-81
26/09/23AKazakhstan86-62
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74
20/02/23AQatar75-70
03/06/22HKuwait91-80
02/06/22APalestine81-91
22/02/21ABahrain77-80
20/02/21AIndia78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game67.064.068.5
Allowed / game67.779.062.0
Point differential-0.7-15.0+6.5
Avg total134.7143.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraq
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game76.078.273.8
Allowed / game73.670.876.5
Point differential+2.4+7.5-2.8
Avg total149.6149.0150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines440100%96.565.0+31.5
3 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
6 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
7 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
8 New Zealand43175%86.868.8+18.0
9 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
10 Saudi Arabia32167%67.067.7-0.7
11 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
12 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
13 Iraq85362%76.073.6+2.4
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
16 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
21 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
22 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
23 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
24 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
25 Chinese Taipei41325%67.882.8-15.0
26 Hong Kong92722%65.380.0-14.7
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia4040%64.094.2-30.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saudi Arabia920162166
Iraq1620101258
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