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Sencur vs Pelister Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-82 (OT)
16-20 17-20 21-17 15-12 9-13
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sencur
vs
Pelister 🏆
Position#11
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA League 2Round 1· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelister winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A24/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
no box
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 71
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
88avg 71
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
28-18
18-25
17-17
23-14
16-19
24-24
27-19
27-14
20-22
17-15
11-24
18-19
20-25
25-20
23-19
23-26
12-29
28-21
13-21
23-14
12-20
21-17
31-21
16-16
17-26
17-19
14-11
25-27
19-22
11-18
15-24
23-20
8-24
16-14
17-18
19-20
27-16
29-22
20-10
159.7Avg total
79.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.979.8159.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.576.9145.4-8.425%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.078.4158.4+1.657%
vs Weaker (15)82.672.1154.7+10.587%
This opponent (Pelister) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H30/04
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A03/05
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#4
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A28/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A31/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H04/06
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
34avg 55
A01/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
89-92
89
92
-3
76avg 55
H07/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-18
16-18
25-26
20-19
20-24
28-24
13-16
22-18
14-16
26-11
19-11
34-18
28-25
24-25
14-12
34-27
16-18
18-20
16-17
18-18
11-23
20-20
15-23
17-25
18-19
15-18
17-13
24-21
15-20
18-27
26-24
18-16
17-25
19-20
14-14
28-21
18-30
18-25
25-16
161.2Avg total
80.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.780.5161.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)74.283.6157.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.188.8164.9-12.710%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.881.5171.3+8.383%
vs Weaker (13)91.176.6167.7+14.577%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
SencurPelister
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A24/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
81.2Avg total
40.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.078.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.637.077.6+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)37.641.679.2-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.281.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.078.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.040.975.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.741.379.0-3.643%-
vs Weaker (15)42.336.979.3+5.473%-
This opponent (Pelister) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H30/04
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/05
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H14/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A28/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A31/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/06
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H07/10
Prva Liga
84.6Avg total
42.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.840.287.0+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.582.3-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.584.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.680.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.645.082.6-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)50.342.893.2+7.583%-
vs Weaker (13)44.437.682.0+6.869%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.023.0
47.9%
53.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.5
28.3%
31.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
73.7%13.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.5
51.2%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.0
29.1%
31.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.5
83.3%
73.7%12.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WLLLWLWLWW
Pelister
LLLLLWWWLW
#12
League position
#11
+10.3
Net rating
-6.7
107.5
Offensive rating
103.2
97.2
Defensive rating
109.8
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
41.4%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.3%
3-point %
29.1%
55.9%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 103.2Defence97.2 · 109.8Shooting46.1% · 48.1%3-point %28.3% · 29.1%Ball care17.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds41.4% · 30.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ Pelister
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sencur wins
1
Pelister wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Pelister v Sencur71-67
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HPerspektiva Ilirija95-68
30/09/23AKK Triglav Kranj64-76
21/05/23ACedevita Olimpija70-91
19/05/23HCedevita Olimpija64-72
16/05/23HPerspektiva Ilirija87-72
14/05/23APerspektiva Ilirija76-97
11/05/23HPerspektiva Ilirija86-83
08/05/23APerspektiva Ilirija80-82 OT
27/04/23HTajfun Sentjur90-76
24/04/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek87-81
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HRabotnicki89-92
01/10/23AGostivar68-75
04/06/23HMZT Skopje83-92
31/05/23AMZT Skopje67-75
28/05/23AMZT Skopje64-84
18/05/23ATFT Skopje84-82
14/05/23HTFT Skopje100-80
07/05/23HFeniks 201081-56
03/05/23AFeniks 201081-83
30/04/23HFeniks 201090-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pelister
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor110100%93.074.0+19.0
2 Cedevita Junior110100%92.079.0+13.0
3 Siroki Brijeg110100%80.071.0+9.0
4 Borac Banja Luka110100%88.081.0+7.0
5 Spartak Subotica110100%80.073.0+7.0
6 Sutjeska110100%98.091.0+7.0
7 Vojvodina Novi Sad54180%85.078.0+7.0
8 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
9 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
10 GKK Sibenka1010%81.088.0-7.0
11 Helios Domzale1010%73.080.0-7.0
12 Podgorica1010%91.098.0-7.0
13 MZT Skopje1010%79.092.0-13.0
14 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
15 TFT Skopje1010%74.093.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sencur16172115978
Pelister202017121382
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