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Shandong vs Qingdao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game91.0
ChinaCBARound 37· Shandong Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shandong v Qingdao
14 Mar 2027
SHAN v QING
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
SHAN85
QING76
23 Dec 2024
SHAN92
QING83
03 Feb 2024
SHAN115
QING111
20 Dec 2023
SHAN94
QING104
09 Jan 2023
SHAN97
QING81
30 Dec 2021
SHAN112
QING105
15 Jan 2021
SHAN110
QING106
09 Dec 2020
SHAN111
QING93
21 Jan 2020
SHAN109
QING122
15 Dec 2018
SHAN92
QING121
20 Dec 2017
SHAN111
QING115
19 Feb 2017
SHAN112
QING111
24 Jan 2016
SHAN131
QING99
23 Nov 2014
SHAN105
QING101
16 Feb 2014
SHAN124
QING95
22 Jan 2013
SHAN106
QING99
25 Dec 2011
SHAN94
QING100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 84
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 84
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 84
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
27-22
26-6
17-32
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
179.9Avg total
88.2Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.093.6184.6-2.643%
Season at home (4)91.591.8183.2-0.250%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.291.7179.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)95.694.2189.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.597.0181.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.287.5174.8-0.354%
vs Weaker (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
82avg 84
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
76avg 84
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
84avg 84
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
22-18
27-12
16-28
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
26-23
19-26
24-23
17-23
180.2Avg total
89.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.691.0179.6-2.429%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (3)82.088.3170.3-6.30%
Last 10 (10)89.490.8180.2-1.430%
Last 5 (5)89.491.6181.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.991.8180.7-2.838%
vs Weaker (12)96.585.8182.2+10.883%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
ShandongQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
92.7Avg total
44.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.549.195.6-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.448.193.5-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.248.592.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.494.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.852.995.7-10.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.948.094.9-1.146%-
vs Weaker (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#13
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
CBA
93.3Avg total
47.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.945.794.6+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)47.247.995.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.393.3+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.644.294.8+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.848.895.6-2.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.546.893.4-0.346%-
vs Weaker (12)52.243.295.4+9.175%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
WLLWWLLLLW
Qingdao
LLWWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
-1.1
96.8
Offensive rating
99.7
99.6
Defensive rating
100.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.9%
3-point %
32.5%
58.8%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 99.7Defence99.6 · 100.8Shooting52.1% · 51.8%3-point %33.9% · 32.5%Ball care14.8% · 11.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Shandong   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shandong wins
5
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Shandong v Qingdao85-76
28/12/25Qingdao v Shandong93-87
23/12/24Shandong v Qingdao92-83
07/12/24Qingdao v Shandong98-102
02/04/24Qingdao v Shandong119-102
03/02/24Shandong v Qingdao115-111
20/12/23Shandong v Qingdao94-104
11/12/23Qingdao v Shandong115-100
09/01/23Shandong v Qingdao97-81
07/12/22Qingdao v Shandong98-97
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
03/05/26HLiaoning98-82
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AFujian86-95
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT
24/04/26HXinjiang94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game91.091.590.3
Allowed / game93.691.896.0
Point differential-2.6-0.2-5.7
Avg total184.6183.2186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game88.693.582.0
Allowed / game91.093.088.3
Point differential-2.4+0.5-6.3
Avg total179.6186.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai76186%97.186.3+10.9
3 Liaoning76186%96.687.0+9.6
4 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%99.181.0+18.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian74357%91.788.3+3.4
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
11 Guangdong73443%85.787.3-1.6
12 Shandong73443%91.093.6-2.6
13 Xinjiang73443%86.089.9-3.9
14 Shenzhen73443%76.794.4-17.7
15 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
16 Qingdao72529%88.691.0-2.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi72529%87.497.3-9.9
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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