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Sichuan vs Shandong Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#15
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game96.5
ChinaCBARound 20· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sichuan v Shandong
30 Dec 2026
SICH v SHAN
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
SICH83
SHAN116
24 Mar 2025
SICH80
SHAN105
15 Nov 2024
SICH72
SHAN97
15 Jan 2024
SICH105
SHAN95
17 Mar 2023
SICH99
SHAN93
06 Oct 2022
SICH76
SHAN78
09 Jan 2022
SICH83
SHAN94
04 Mar 2021
SICH114
SHAN106
27 Jun 2020
SICH79
SHAN68
17 Dec 2019
SICH103
SHAN119
03 Nov 2018
SICH97
SHAN103
03 Dec 2017
SICH105
SHAN121
15 Feb 2017
SICH97
SHAN90
22 Jan 2016
SICH99
SHAN125
30 Nov 2014
SICH86
SHAN94
01 Dec 2013
SICH70
SHAN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sichuan
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.2
75.6▲ 0.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 101.2
97.8▼ 3.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
55%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.5
14.8▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Shandong
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.1
93.6▲ 1.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.0
96.8▲ 6.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.0
17.8▼ 2.2
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-20
18-28
28-23
18-19
18-21
23-26
12-27
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
176.8Avg total
79.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.295.7174.8-16.533%
Season at home (3)75.789.0164.7-13.333%
Season away (3)82.7102.3185.0-19.733%
Last 10 (10)79.697.2176.8-17.620%
Last 5 (5)75.697.8173.4-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)74.8101.5176.3-26.87%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
29-28
20-13
24-24
28-22
27-22
26-6
17-32
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
182.6Avg total
89.9Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.096.5188.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)93.797.0190.7-3.333%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)89.992.7182.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)93.696.8190.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.597.0181.5-12.50%
vs Similar (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)105.892.5198.2+13.288%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
SichuanShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
91.3Avg total
39.3Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.252.488.7-16.212%-
Last 30 away (14)38.350.588.8-12.214%-
Last 10 (10)39.352.091.3-12.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.252.489.6-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.251.588.7-14.313%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
95.5Avg total
46.0Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.249.696.8-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.749.095.7-2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)46.049.595.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.493.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.852.995.7-10.110%-
vs Similar (12)47.548.896.2-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)52.246.698.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLWWLLLL
Shandong
LLWWLLLLWW
#17
League position
#15
-18.7
Net rating
-2.8
90.8
Offensive rating
96.8
109.5
Defensive rating
99.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
33.9%
53.2%
Assist %
58.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 96.8Defence109.5 · 99.6Shooting51.4% · 52.1%3-point %34.2% · 33.9%Ball care15.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sichuan   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sichuan wins
8
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Sichuan v Shandong83-116
17/12/25Shandong v Sichuan94-87
24/03/25Sichuan v Shandong80-105
30/12/24Shandong v Sichuan111-80
15/11/24Sichuan v Shandong72-97
15/01/24Sichuan v Shandong105-95
29/10/23Shandong v Sichuan114-101
17/03/23Sichuan v Shandong99-93
05/03/23Shandong v Sichuan115-86
06/10/22Sichuan v Shandong76-78
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101
17/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters71-93
15/04/26ATianjin84-100
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
03/05/26HLiaoning98-82
01/05/26ALiaoning102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.275.782.7
Allowed / game95.789.0102.3
Point differential-16.5-13.3-19.7
Avg total174.8164.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game92.093.790.3
Allowed / game96.597.096.0
Point differential-4.5-3.3-5.7
Avg total188.5190.7186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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